Trent Baker — OGILVIE

Trent Baker P St. Paul Saints

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 243 lbs AAA peak 0.6 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION70 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%18.6%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%10.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 77 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

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CMD5555

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	8	0	8	34	10	2	2	0%	1.0	29.4%	5.9%	23.5%	5.9%	5.87	4.59	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	8	0	8	34	10	2	2	0%	1.0	29.4%	5.9%	23.5%	5.9%	5.87	4.67	—
2022	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	25	25	123	530	138	48	8	100%	4.9	19.3%	10.7%	8.6%	2.2%	3.14	4.05	—
2022	23	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	25	25	123	530	138	48	8	100%	4.9	26.0%	9.1%	17.0%	1.5%	3.14	2.87	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	23	22	120	497	105	26	11	96%	5.2	16.3%	6.0%	10.3%	2.5%	3.69	3.88	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	23	22	120	497	105	26	11	96%	5.2	16.3%	6.0%	10.3%	2.5%	3.69	3.88	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	23	22	120	497	105	26	11	96%	5.2	21.1%	5.2%	15.9%	2.2%	3.69	3.19	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	22	14	81	357	81	43	10	64%	3.7	18.4%	13.2%	5.1%	2.4%	4.89	4.56	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	22	14	81	357	81	43	10	64%	3.7	18.4%	13.2%	5.1%	2.4%	4.89	4.56	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	22	14	81	357	81	43	10	64%	3.7	22.7%	12.0%	10.6%	2.8%	4.89	4.30	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	15	96	413	99	32	12	43%	2.7	19.6%	7.6%	12.1%	2.7%	3.86	3.89	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	15	96	413	99	32	12	43%	2.7	19.6%	7.6%	12.1%	2.7%	3.86	3.89	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	15	96	413	99	32	12	43%	2.7	24.0%	7.7%	16.2%	2.9%	3.86	3.66	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	38	11	70	299	70	21	11	29%	1.9	19.4%	6.3%	13.1%	4.0%	4.73	4.48	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	38	11	70	299	70	21	11	29%	1.9	19.4%	6.3%	13.1%	4.0%	4.73	4.48	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	MIN	38	11	70	299	70	21	11	29%	1.8	23.4%	7.0%	16.4%	3.7%	4.73	4.03	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	MIN	6	0	6	27	5	2	1	0%	1.1	18.6%	8.0%	10.6%	2.9%	4.53	4.53	+0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	77	326	75	23	12	—	—	23.0%	7.1%	15.9%	3.6%	4.72	4.49	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	65	0	68	287	54	24	9	0%	1.0	18.9%	8.2%	10.7%	3.0%	4.56	4.59	-0.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	62	0	65	274	52	23	9	0%	1.0	19.0%	8.5%	10.5%	3.2%	4.64	4.70	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	28	0	29	122	23	10	4	0%	1.0	18.9%	8.2%	10.7%	3.0%	4.56	4.59	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	36	0	38	160	31	14	5	0%	1.1	19.0%	8.5%	10.5%	3.2%	4.64	4.70	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		65	0	68	286	54	24	9	0%	1.0	19.0%	8.4%	10.6%	3.1%	4.60	4.28	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	71	27	0%	1.1	19.0%	8.4%	10.6%	3.1%	4.60	4.28	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		151	87	498	2130	398	186	58	58%	3.3	18.7%	8.7%	9.9%	2.7%	3.96	4.13	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	35	200	856	160	75	23	58%	3.3	18.7%	8.7%	9.9%	2.7%	3.96	4.13	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trent Baker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	18.6%	8.0%	2.9%	—	4.64	19.0%	10.6%	133	+0.11	—	—	—
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	85
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	84
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	81
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	81
Logan Bawcom R 2016 · 3.73 FIP	27	SW	3.73	16.6%	9.2%	1.6%	.251	4.85	16.0%	6.7%	234	+1.12	3.73	399	80
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	79
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	79
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	221	79
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	79
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	78
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	78
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	77
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	77
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	77
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	77
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	77
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	76
Kurt Heyer R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	14.1%	6.7%	2.2%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	178	76
André Rienzo R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	27	SW	4.22	15.7%	11.1%	1.9%	.264	4.02	19.8%	5.1%	74	-0.20	3.53	200	75
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	18.8%	8.2%	1.18	4.58
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78