Brandon Woodruff
P
Milwaukee Brewers
Age 33
RHP
6'4" / 241 lbs
MLB
Svc 7.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 1.1 · 2027
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 30 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8475vR 65
ERA3.05
FIP3.14
K%27.9%
BB%5.8%
K-BB%22.1%
ROS IP30
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 85 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1291.8
Whiff%
p3823.6%
K%
p7627.0%
xwOBA vs
p900.263
CT+1.9 (10%)
SI (19%)
CU (4%)
CH (21%)
FB (63%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | 21 | 19 | 110 | 457 | 71 | 33 | 2 | 90% | 5.2 | 12.0% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 3.45 | 3.53 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | 21 | 19 | 110 | 457 | 71 | 33 | 2 | 90% | 5.2 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 0.4% | 3.45 | 2.94 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 158 | 633 | 173 | 40 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.8% | 7.0% | 14.8% | 0.8% | 2.68 | 2.61 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 158 | 633 | 173 | 40 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 27.3% | 6.3% | 21.0% | 0.9% | 2.68 | 2.16 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 25 | 120 | 518 | 103 | 38 | 13 | 100% | 4.8 | 18.4% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.16 | +1.8 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 25 | 120 | 518 | 103 | 38 | 13 | 100% | 4.8 | 19.9% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 4.49 | 3.74 | +2.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 21 | 114 | 486 | 115 | 46 | 12 | 58% | 3.2 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 2.3% | 3.88 | 3.75 | +2.2 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 21 | 114 | 486 | 115 | 46 | 12 | 58% | 3.2 | 23.7% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 2.5% | 3.88 | 3.66 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 22 | 22 | 122 | 493 | 143 | 30 | 12 | 100% | 5.5 | 29.0% | 6.1% | 22.9% | 2.5% | 3.62 | 2.81 | +3.7 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 22 | 22 | 122 | 493 | 143 | 30 | 12 | 100% | 5.5 | 29.0% | 6.1% | 22.9% | 2.4% | 3.62 | 2.77 | +3.7 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 13 | 13 | 74 | 293 | 91 | 18 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 31.1% | 6.1% | 24.9% | 3.2% | 3.05 | 3.01 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 13 | 13 | 74 | 293 | 91 | 18 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 31.1% | 6.1% | 24.9% | 3.1% | 3.05 | 2.95 | +1.6 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 30 | 30 | 179 | 708 | 211 | 43 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 29.8% | 6.1% | 23.7% | 2.6% | 2.56 | 2.81 | +5.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 30 | 30 | 179 | 708 | 211 | 43 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 29.8% | 6.1% | 23.7% | 2.5% | 2.56 | 2.77 | +5.5 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 29 | 161 | 649 | 204 | 44 | 19 | 100% | 5.6 | 30.6% | 6.8% | 23.9% | 3.0% | 3.02 | 3.03 | +4.5 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 29 | 161 | 649 | 204 | 44 | 19 | 100% | 5.6 | 31.4% | 6.8% | 24.7% | 2.9% | 3.02 | 2.92 | +4.7 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 14 | 79 | 297 | 85 | 17 | 9 | 100% | 5.6 | 29.2% | 5.9% | 23.3% | 3.7% | 2.40 | 3.41 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 14 | 79 | 297 | 85 | 17 | 9 | 100% | 5.6 | 28.6% | 5.7% | 22.9% | 3.0% | 2.40 | 3.07 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 22 | 107 | 427 | 118 | 26 | 11 | 100% | 4.8 | 26.3% | 6.3% | 20.0% | 2.6% | 3.04 | 3.11 | +2.9 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 22 | 107 | 427 | 118 | 26 | 11 | 100% | 4.8 | 27.6% | 6.1% | 21.5% | 2.6% | 3.04 | 2.96 | +3.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 11 | 11 | 54 | 212 | 58 | 12 | 6 | 100% | 4.9 | 27.0% | 5.2% | 21.8% | 2.9% | 3.48 | 3.05 | +1.0 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | MIL | 5 | 5 | 30 | 128 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.9% | 5.8% | 22.1% | 3.0% | 3.05 | 3.14 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | MIL | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 35 | 7 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.9% | 5.8% | 22.1% | 3.0% | 3.01 | 3.10 | +0.5 |
| 2026 TOT | 33 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 85 | 340 | 94 | 19 | 10 | — | — | 27.6% | 5.7% | 21.8% | 2.9% | 3.32 | 3.08 | +2.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 33 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 76 | 319 | 94 | 19 | 10 | — | — | 29.3% | 6.1% | 23.2% | 3.1% | 3.71 | 3.07 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 63 | 15 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 27.2% | 6.4% | 20.9% | 3.3% | 3.65 | 3.81 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | MIL | 8 | 8 | 49 | 209 | 55 | 14 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 26.3% | 6.9% | 19.4% | 3.7% | 3.95 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | MIL | 7 | 7 | 44 | 185 | 47 | 14 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 25.2% | 7.5% | 17.7% | 4.0% | 4.29 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 63 | 15 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 27.2% | 6.4% | 20.9% | 3.2% | 3.61 | 3.77 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | MIL | 8 | 8 | 49 | 207 | 54 | 14 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 26.3% | 6.9% | 19.4% | 3.6% | 3.91 | 4.10 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | MIL | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 47 | 14 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 25.2% | 7.5% | 17.7% | 3.9% | 4.25 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 182 | 167 | 969 | 3911 | 1118 | 248 | 115 | 92% | 5.3 | 28.6% | 6.4% | 22.2% | 2.9% | 3.22 | 3.11 | +26.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 34 | 200 | 807 | 231 | 51 | 24 | 92% | 5.3 | 28.6% | 6.4% | 22.2% | 2.9% | 3.22 | 3.11 | +5.4 | ||
| Career | — | 251 | 234 | 1277 | 5173 | 1295 | 359 | 124 | 93% | 5.1 | 25.0% | 6.9% | 18.1% | 2.4% | 3.21 | 3.18 | +33.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 37 | 200 | 810 | 203 | 56 | 19 | 93% | 5.1 | 25.0% | 6.9% | 18.1% | 2.4% | 3.21 | 3.18 | +5.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brandon Woodruff (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.52 | 28.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.13 | 26.3% | 19.4% | 148 | +0.61 | — | — | — |
| Carlos Carrasco R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.42 | 29.3% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .288 | 4.25 | 20.8% | 13.5% | 296 | +0.83 | 2.67 | 1,455 | 68 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.66 | 27.2% | 8.4% | 3.3% | .308 | 4.62 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 255 | +0.96 | 3.66 | 348 | 68 |
| Alex Cobb R 2026 · 2.78 FIP | 33 | SP | 2.78 | 24.9% | 8.4% | 1.3% | .311 | 3.33 | 21.8% | 15.6% | 317 | +0.55 | 2.78 | 844 | 63 |
| Lance Lynn R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.86 | 25.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% | .235 | 4.08 | 25.1% | 18.6% | 462 | +0.22 | 2.87 | 1,390 | 61 |
| Kenta Maeda R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.78 | 24.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | .307 | 4.32 | 23.6% | 17.0% | 230 | +0.54 | 2.86 | 1,092 | 59 |
| Jose Oyervides R 2026 · 2.98 FIP | 33 | SP | 2.98 | 19.1% | 6.2% | 1.3% | .333 | 4.17 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 184 | +1.19 | 2.98 | 407 | 58 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.49 | 18.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.58 | 17.3% | 9.6% | 253 | +1.09 | 3.49 | 393 | 57 |
| Josh Lowey R 2025 · 2.38 FIP | 32 | SP | 2.38 | 24.7% | 6.9% | 0.9% | .330 | 3.43 | 22.4% | 15.6% | 53 | +1.05 | 2.28 | 426 | 56 |
| Ian Kennedy R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.58 | 20.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .296 | 4.03 | 26.7% | 20.7% | 134 | -0.55 | 2.87 | 864 | 56 |
| Hisashi Iwakuma R 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.79 | 21.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | .270 | 4.50 | 16.9% | 11.2% | 230 | +0.71 | 3.79 | 360 | 54 |
| Clay Buchholz R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.50 | 19.0% | 6.4% | 2.2% | .254 | 5.36 | 15.4% | 9.5% | 59 | +1.86 | 2.49 | 433 | 53 |
| Corey Kluber R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.63 | 22.6% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .360 | 3.48 | 21.4% | 16.2% | 244 | -0.15 | 2.27 | 1,190 | 53 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2025 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.44 | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.6% | .273 | 6.28 | 10.4% | 2.9% | 91 | +2.84 | 3.44 | 155 | 52 |
| Charlie Morton R 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.05 | 26.4% | 7.9% | 2.1% | .284 | 2.86 | 29.2% | 21.3% | 400 | -0.19 | 2.55 | 1,534 | 52 |
| Manuel Flores R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.08 | 17.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 515 | 51 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.95 | 17.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | .355 | 3.47 | 16.3% | 10.6% | 117 | -0.48 | 3.42 | 214 | 51 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2024 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 51 |
| Jason Hammel R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.25 | 20.8% | 7.7% | 3.5% | .262 | 4.26 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 307 | +0.01 | 3.43 | 645 | 50 |
| Jake Peavy R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.09 | 17.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | .278 | 4.36 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 119 | +0.27 | 4.09 | 262 | 48 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.79 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .270 | 4.53 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.74 | 3.79 | 264 | 47 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 26.8% | 6.7% | 1.36 | 3.83 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |
| Erik Swanson ('24) | 5 | 51 | 26.2% | 6.5% | 1.57 | 3.70 |
| Chris Devenski ('24) | 6 | 62 | 26.0% | 6.9% | 1.25 | 3.61 |
| Eli Morgan ('24) | 4 | 66 | 23.8% | 6.4% | 1.46 | 3.97 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Sean Doolittle ('21) | 5 | 49 | 28.7% | 6.2% | 1.18 | 3.31 |