Eury Pérez
P
Miami Marlins
+1.5
WAR
Age 23
RHP
6'8" / 220 lbs
MLB
Svc 3.0 · Ctrl thru 2028
peak 1.7 · 2029
ERA3.94
FIP4.09
xFIP4.48
SIERA4.18
K%26.7%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%17.9%
IP95
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.7peak
2029
K†6565
FB Velo
p9098.2
Whiff%
p8630.9%
K%
p6024.1%
xwOBA vs
p230.344
FB (53%)
CT (1%)
SI (2%)
CU (7%)
CH-0.9 (10%)
SL-1.0 (29%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | A+ | Beloit Snappers | 20 | 20 | 78 | 305 | 108 | 26 | 7 | 26.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 1.96 | 3.69 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 19 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 18 | 18 | 77 | 318 | 110 | 25 | 9 | 27.6% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 3.97 | 3.73 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 20 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 27 | 27 | 128 | 516 | 162 | 41 | 20 | 29.4% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.16 | 3.82 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 28 | 28 | 118 | 480 | 132 | 42 | 14 | 27.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 3.81 | 3.68 | +2.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 4 | 4 | 20 | 91 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 22.0% | 12.1% | 4.4% | 5.40 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIA | 14 | 14 | 75 | 318 | 86 | 30 | 11 | 27.0% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 3.85 | 3.92 | +1.0 |
| 2026 Total | 23 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 95 | 409 | 106 | 41 | 15 | 25.9% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 4.17 | 4.18 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIA | 21 | 21 | 114 | 480 | 130 | 44 | 17 | 27.2% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 4.24 | 4.24 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 23 | 23 | 127 | 537 | 147 | 48 | 18 | 27.3% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 4.21 | 4.20 | +1.6 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 24 | 24 | 134 | 566 | 155 | 51 | 19 | 27.4% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 4.20 | 4.19 | +1.7 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 25 | 25 | 137 | 579 | 159 | 52 | 20 | 27.5% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 4.20 | 4.20 | +1.7 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 25 | 25 | 137 | 578 | 158 | 53 | 20 | 27.4% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 4.22 | 4.23 | +1.7 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 24 | 24 | 134 | 565 | 152 | 52 | 20 | 26.9% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 4.27 | 4.30 | +1.5 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 24 | 24 | 130 | 548 | 145 | 51 | 20 | 26.4% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 4.34 | 4.39 | +1.3 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 23 | 23 | 125 | 529 | 137 | 50 | 19 | 25.8% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 4.43 | 4.50 | +1.1 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 22 | 22 | 120 | 508 | 128 | 49 | 19 | 25.2% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 4.54 | 4.61 | +0.9 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 21 | 21 | 115 | 486 | 119 | 47 | 19 | 24.5% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 4.66 | 4.74 | +0.7 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 20 | 20 | 109 | 461 | 110 | 46 | 18 | 23.8% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 4.79 | 4.88 | +0.5 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 19 | 103 | 434 | 100 | 44 | 18 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 4.93 | 5.03 | +0.3 |
| 2039 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 17 | 17 | 96 | 406 | 91 | 42 | 17 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 5.09 | 5.19 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 97 | 97 | 421 | 1710 | 470 | 155 | 59 | 27.5% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 3.38 | 3.81 | +7.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 46 | 200 | 812 | 223 | 74 | 28 | 27.5% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 3.38 | 3.81 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eury Pérez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.95 | 29.1% | 8.8% | 3.3% | — | 4.21 | 27.3% | 18.2% | 375 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Nolan McLean R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 20.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% | .292 | 3.12 | 26.2% | 15.9% | 185 | -1.28 | 2.20 | 295 | 78 |
| Brock Stewart R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.12 | 17.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .343 | 3.50 | 20.9% | 14.1% | 304 | -0.62 | 1.56 | 596 | 75 |
| Josh James R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.86 | 18.9% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .341 | 3.20 | 28.9% | 17.8% | 275 | -0.66 | 1.99 | 571 | 75 |
| Dinelson Lamet R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.36 | 20.1% | 11.8% | 2.7% | .272 | 3.77 | 24.2% | 13.1% | 293 | -0.59 | 1.92 | 778 | 73 |
| Drey Jameson R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.14 | 24.6% | 8.7% | 3.7% | .310 | 4.42 | 20.1% | 11.4% | 226 | +0.28 | 4.14 | 349 | 73 |
| Peyton Pallette R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.47 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .309 | 3.67 | 27.7% | 16.5% | 64 | -0.80 | 3.67 | 219 | 73 |
| Blake Beers R 2027 · 4.61 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.61 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .298 | 4.96 | 17.7% | 8.5% | 323 | +0.35 | 4.41 | 416 | 72 |
| Kaleb Fontenot R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 3.7% | .264 | 3.71 | 14.7% | 5.2% | 69 | -0.78 | 3.71 | 155 | 72 |
| Kenten Egbert R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.23 | 19.6% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .257 | 4.02 | 10.6% | 4.0% | 101 | -0.21 | 4.02 | 199 | 72 |
| Kyle Nicolas R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 21.0% | 13.3% | 2.5% | .266 | 4.00 | 23.6% | 11.3% | 227 | -0.37 | 3.30 | 417 | 72 |
| Colin Peluse R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.20 | 20.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | .299 | 5.61 | 15.0% | 6.8% | 236 | +1.41 | 3.05 | 395 | 72 |
| Duncan Davitt R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.53 | 20.4% | 8.7% | 3.7% | .296 | 4.22 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 289 | -0.31 | 4.13 | 369 | 72 |
| Logan Workman R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 19.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .287 | 3.98 | 20.4% | 12.5% | 362 | -0.36 | 3.84 | 494 | 72 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.38 | 18.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 4.37 | 21.0% | 11.3% | 266 | -0.01 | 3.50 | 368 | 71 |
| Seth Shuman R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.90 | 18.9% | 7.6% | 4.4% | .297 | 4.45 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 109 | -0.45 | 3.67 | 306 | 71 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .300 | 4.44 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 78 | +0.55 | 3.89 | 183 | 71 |
| Jonathan Hernández R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.3% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .314 | 3.49 | 22.6% | 11.7% | 75 | -0.88 | 2.76 | 723 | 71 |
| Louis Varland R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.07 | 25.4% | 8.3% | 1.9% | .313 | 4.29 | 22.5% | 14.9% | 435 | +1.22 | 2.85 | 611 | 71 |
| Austin Cates R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.95 | 19.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 110 | 71 |
| James Hicks R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.23 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .338 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 10.4% | 61 | +0.12 | 3.67 | 167 | 71 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-1
MLB Debut 2023
Service 3.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2028
First FA Year 2029
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $3M | +1.4 | $11M | +$8M |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $5M | +1.4 | $12M | +$6M |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $10M | +1.6 | $14M | +$4M |
| Totals | $18M | $36M | +$19M | ||