Chad Kuhl
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA5.02
FIP4.84
K%18.4%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%7.2%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5795.0
Whiff%
p6227.1%
K%
p5222.5%
xwOBA vs
p390.325
SL+6.1 (45%)
SI (23%)
CH-1.3 (13%)
CT-3.1 (11%)
FB-6.3 (32%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | 26 | 26 | 153 | 620 | 101 | 41 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 13.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 2.48 | 4.20 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | 26 | 26 | 153 | 620 | 101 | 41 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 1.6% | 2.48 | 3.43 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 154 | 640 | 119 | 36 | 16 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.4% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 3.21 | 3.95 | +2.6 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 154 | 640 | 119 | 36 | 16 | 100% | 5.1 | 18.6% | 5.6% | 13.0% | 2.5% | 3.21 | 3.61 | +3.2 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 31 | 31 | 157 | 680 | 142 | 65 | 17 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 2.5% | 4.35 | 3.93 | +2.7 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 31 | 31 | 157 | 680 | 142 | 65 | 17 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 2.5% | 4.35 | 3.94 | +2.7 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 16 | 16 | 85 | 373 | 81 | 32 | 14 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.7% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 3.8% | 4.55 | 4.43 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 16 | 16 | 85 | 373 | 81 | 32 | 14 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.7% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 3.8% | 4.55 | 4.46 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 11 | 9 | 46 | 197 | 44 | 28 | 8 | 82% | 4.2 | 22.3% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 4.27 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 11 | 9 | 46 | 197 | 44 | 28 | 8 | 82% | 4.2 | 22.3% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 4.27 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 16 | 87 | 373 | 84 | 45 | 13 | 53% | 2.9 | 21.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 4.57 | 4.87 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 16 | 87 | 373 | 84 | 45 | 13 | 53% | 2.9 | 22.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 4.57 | 4.67 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 142 | 638 | 116 | 61 | 25 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 5.51 | 4.47 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 142 | 638 | 116 | 61 | 25 | 100% | 5.1 | 18.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 5.51 | 5.04 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 16 | 5 | 38 | 187 | 31 | 26 | 8 | 31% | 2.4 | 16.6% | 13.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.45 | 5.81 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 16 | 5 | 38 | 187 | 31 | 26 | 8 | 31% | 2.4 | 16.6% | 13.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.45 | 6.23 | -0.8 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 12 | 109 | 483 | 96 | 57 | 10 | 27% | 2.5 | 18.8% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 4.69 | 4.20 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 12 | 109 | 483 | 96 | 57 | 10 | 27% | 2.5 | 19.9% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 4.69 | 4.10 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 7 | 3 | 22 | 105 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 43% | 3.1 | 15.1% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 6.55 | 4.59 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 7 | 3 | 22 | 105 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 43% | 3.1 | 17.1% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 6.55 | 4.28 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 7 | 42 | 175 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.4% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 5.02 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 6 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 28 | 19 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 17.5% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 5.09 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 6 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 28 | 19 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 17.5% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 5.09 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 180 | 123 | 706 | 3104 | 618 | 313 | 102 | 68% | 3.9 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.99 | 4.50 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 35 | 200 | 879 | 175 | 89 | 29 | 68% | 3.9 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.99 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 239 | 176 | 994 | 4296 | 792 | 408 | 127 | 74% | 4.2 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.37 | +12.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 35 | 200 | 864 | 159 | 82 | 26 | 74% | 4.2 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chad Kuhl (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 18.4% | 11.2% | 2.7% | — | 5.14 | 17.5% | 5.8% | 38 | +0.30 | — | — | — |
| Deck McGuire R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.81 | 15.7% | 13.1% | 2.5% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 622 | 72 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2024 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 71 |
| Mike Pelfrey R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.65 | 14.5% | 10.6% | 4.4% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 404 | 71 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2024 · 5.44 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.44 | 10.6% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.44 | 117 | 71 |
| Marco Quevedo R 2025 · 5.40 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.40 | 13.6% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 300 | 70 |
| Matt Garza R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.74 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 365 | 69 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.03 | 18.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% | .278 | 5.32 | 16.9% | 6.9% | 252 | +0.29 | 3.69 | 521 | 68 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.37 | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 275 | 68 |
| Brandon McCarthy R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.88 | 22.5% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .288 | 3.86 | 19.0% | 12.4% | 171 | -1.02 | 3.16 | 248 | 68 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.79 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .270 | 4.53 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.74 | 3.79 | 264 | 66 |
| David Fletcher R 2023 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 66 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.26 | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .287 | 4.22 | 13.8% | 6.8% | 86 | -0.04 | 4.22 | 171 | 65 |
| Jeff Samardzija R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.30 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 4.3% | .277 | 4.87 | 18.0% | 11.9% | 198 | -0.43 | 3.63 | 885 | 65 |
| Jason Berken R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.31 | 11.5% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 219 | 65 |
| Sergio Valenzuela R 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.47 | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 244 | 64 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.94 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.56 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.38 | 4.56 | 143 | 64 |
| Yovani Gallardo R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.35 | 14.9% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 577 | 63 |
| Tim Lincecum R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.96 | 17.9% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 5.91 | 14.4% | -1.1% | 13 | +0.95 | 4.20 | 166 | 63 |
| Jerome Williams R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | .326 | 5.94 | 11.7% | 5.6% | 74 | +1.15 | 4.79 | 195 | 63 |
| Kameron Loe R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.90 | 11.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | .356 | 3.47 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 133 | -0.43 | 3.47 | 201 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 40 | 18.0% | 11.4% | 1.11 | 5.05 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |