Chad Kuhl
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.1
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA5.44
FIP4.70
xFIP4.30
SIERA4.04
K%19.7%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%8.5%
IP45
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†4545
FB Velo
p5795.0
Whiff%
p6227.1%
K%
p5222.5%
xwOBA vs
p390.325
SL+6.1 (45%)
SI (23%)
CH-1.3 (13%)
CT-3.1 (11%)
FB-6.3 (32%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | 26 | 26 | 153 | 620 | 101 | 41 | 10 | 13.2% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 2.48 | 4.04 | +2.2 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 30 | 30 | 154 | 640 | 119 | 36 | 16 | 17.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.21 | 3.96 | +2.3 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 31 | 31 | 157 | 680 | 142 | 65 | 17 | 20.9% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.35 | 4.02 | +2.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 16 | 16 | 85 | 373 | 81 | 32 | 14 | 21.7% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 4.55 | 4.50 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 11 | 9 | 46 | 197 | 44 | 28 | 8 | 22.3% | 14.2% | 4.7% | 4.27 | 5.57 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 30 | 16 | 87 | 373 | 84 | 45 | 13 | 21.5% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 4.57 | 4.88 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 28 | 28 | 142 | 638 | 116 | 61 | 25 | 17.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 5.51 | 4.38 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 16 | 5 | 38 | 187 | 31 | 26 | 8 | 16.6% | 13.9% | 4.4% | 8.45 | 5.86 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 44 | 12 | 109 | 483 | 96 | 57 | 10 | 18.8% | 12.1% | 2.1% | 4.69 | 4.20 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 7 | 3 | 22 | 105 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 15.1% | 12.0% | 2.2% | 6.55 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 42 | — | 42 | 175 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 19.6% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 5.56 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 29 | 18 | 4 | 18.9% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 5.15 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 25 | 16 | 4 | 18.2% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 5.07 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 28 | — | 28 | 118 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 17.4% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 5.14 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 239 | 176 | 994 | 4296 | 792 | 408 | 127 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.37 | +10.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 35 | 200 | 864 | 159 | 82 | 26 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.37 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chad Kuhl (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 19.6% | 11.2% | 2.7% | — | 5.01 | 18.2% | 6.6% | 97 | +0.28 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 86 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 85 |
| Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 83 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 81 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2024 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 80 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 79 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2029 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 79 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.50 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .347 | 3.82 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.68 | 3.32 | 119 | 78 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 77 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.14 | 17.0% | 8.4% | 2.6% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 227 | 77 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.78 | 20.4% | 14.1% | 2.9% | .344 | 5.06 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 43 | +0.28 | 2.00 | 320 | 77 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.39 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 148 | 77 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.82 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 272 | 75 |
| Jeff Manship R 2024 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 114 | 75 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .286 | 3.13 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.70 | 2.31 | 403 | 75 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 75 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2024 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 125 | 75 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 74 |
| Jake Petricka R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.57 | 19.1% | 8.0% | 3.8% | .340 | 3.19 | 18.3% | 10.4% | 24 | -1.38 | 3.04 | 252 | 74 |
| Hector Navarro R 2028 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.