Raisel Iglesias

P Atlanta Braves

Age 37 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR
2024	34	MLBATL	66	69	1.95	2.32	26.3%	3.9%	1.9
2025	35	MLBATL	70	67	3.21	3.10	27.4%	5.3%	1.2
2026	36	MLBATL	59	60	2.55	3.07	26.8%	6.7%	1.1
2027PROJ	37	MLBATL	50	53	3.33	3.48	27.1%	6.1%	0.7
2028PROJ	38	MLBATL	34	36	3.68	3.91	25.9%	6.8%	0.3
2029PROJ	39	MLBATL	20	21	4.08	4.34	24.8%	7.5%	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 4.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

K%75

xwOBA vs74

FB Velo47

Form2.86 ERA (proj 3.33) · K 23.6% (proj 27.1%) · BB 10.1% (proj 6.1%) ▼▼ last 90d · 22 IP through Oct 27

CompsMatt Bush (age 37) · Chris Nichting (age 36) · Pete Walker (age 37)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9688vR 80

ERA3.33

FIP3.48

K%27.1%

BB%6.1%

K-BB%21.0%

Proj IP53

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP

Statcast · Contract

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4794.3

Whiff%

p8030.0%

p7526.8%

xwOBA vs

p740.289

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	124	516	125	36	15	92%	5.2	23.7%	7.1%	16.7%	2.8%	3.98	3.54	+2.8
2015	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	22	124	516	125	36	15	92%	5.2	24.2%	7.0%	17.2%	2.9%	3.98	3.53	+2.8
2016	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	7	83	344	88	25	7	18%	2.1	25.5%	7.7%	17.8%	2.0%	2.38	3.01	+1.5
2016	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	7	83	344	88	25	7	18%	2.1	25.6%	7.3%	18.3%	2.0%	2.38	2.98	+1.6
2017	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	63	0	76	306	92	26	5	0%	1.2	30.1%	8.5%	21.6%	1.5%	2.49	2.47	+1.9
2017	27	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	63	0	76	306	92	26	5	0%	1.2	30.1%	8.5%	21.6%	1.6%	2.49	2.56	+1.8
2018	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	66	0	72	291	80	23	12	0%	1.1	27.5%	7.9%	19.6%	3.8%	2.38	3.88	+0.6
2018	28	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	66	0	72	291	80	23	12	0%	1.1	27.5%	7.9%	19.6%	4.1%	2.38	4.00	+0.5
2019	29	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	68	0	67	279	89	17	12	0%	1.0	31.9%	6.1%	25.8%	4.0%	4.16	3.36	+0.9
2019	29	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	68	0	67	279	89	17	12	0%	1.0	31.9%	6.1%	25.8%	4.3%	4.16	3.53	+0.8
2020	30	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	22	0	23	91	31	4	1	0%	1.0	34.1%	4.4%	29.7%	1.0%	2.74	1.34	+0.9
2020	30	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	22	0	23	91	31	4	1	0%	1.0	34.1%	4.4%	29.7%	1.1%	2.74	1.49	+0.9
2021	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	65	0	70	273	103	12	11	0%	1.1	37.7%	4.4%	33.3%	4.0%	2.57	2.64	+1.6
2021	31	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	65	0	70	273	103	12	11	0%	1.1	37.7%	4.4%	33.3%	4.0%	2.57	2.71	+1.5
2022	32	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	67	0	62	246	78	13	5	0%	0.9	31.7%	5.3%	26.4%	2.0%	2.47	2.21	+1.7
2022	32	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	67	0	62	246	78	13	5	0%	0.9	31.7%	5.3%	26.4%	2.0%	2.47	2.26	+1.7
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	61	0	59	242	73	13	7	0%	1.0	29.4%	5.6%	23.8%	3.0%	2.76	2.99	+1.1
2023	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	61	0	59	242	73	13	7	0%	1.0	30.2%	5.4%	24.8%	2.9%	2.76	2.83	+1.2
2024	34	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	66	0	69	259	68	10	4	0%	1.1	26.3%	3.9%	22.4%	1.5%	1.95	2.22	+1.9
2024	34	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	66	0	69	259	68	10	4	0%	1.1	26.3%	3.9%	22.4%	1.5%	1.95	2.22	+1.9
2024	34	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	66	0	69	259	68	10	4	0%	1.1	26.3%	3.9%	22.4%	1.5%	1.95	2.32	+1.9
2025	35	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	70	0	67	266	73	14	8	0%	1.0	27.4%	5.3%	22.2%	3.0%	3.21	3.10	+1.2
2025	35	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	70	0	67	266	73	14	8	0%	1.0	27.4%	5.3%	22.2%	3.0%	3.21	3.10	+1.2
2025	35	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	70	0	67	266	73	14	8	0%	1.0	27.4%	5.3%	22.2%	3.0%	3.21	3.10	+1.2
2026	36	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	59	0	60	239	64	16	6	0%	1.0	26.8%	6.7%	20.1%	2.5%	2.55	3.06	+1.1
2026	36	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	59	0	60	239	64	16	6	0%	1.0	26.8%	6.7%	20.1%	2.5%	2.55	3.06	+1.1
2026	36	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	59	0	60	239	64	16	6	0%	1.0	26.8%	6.7%	20.1%	2.5%	2.55	3.07	+1.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			659	21	796	3201	933	201	89	3%	1.2	29.1%	6.3%	22.9%	2.8%	2.87	2.97	+15.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	37	MLB	ATL	50	0	53	224	61	14	6	0%	1.1	27.1%	6.1%	21.0%	2.7%	3.33	3.48	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	38	MLB MLE	ATL	34	0	36	152	39	10	5	0%	1.1	25.9%	6.8%	19.1%	3.2%	3.68	3.91	+0.3
2029	39	MLB MLE	ATL	20	0	21	88	22	7	3	0%	1.0	24.8%	7.5%	17.3%	3.6%	4.08	4.34	+0.1
2028	38	MLB CTX	ATL	34	0	36	152	39	10	5	0%	1.1	25.9%	6.8%	19.1%	3.2%	3.68	3.91	+0.3
2029	39	MLB CTX	ATL	20	0	21	89	22	7	3	0%	1.1	24.8%	7.5%	17.3%	3.6%	4.08	4.34	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		713	21	853	3440	994	218	97	3%	1.2	28.9%	6.3%	22.6%	2.8%	2.94	3.01	+15.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		167	5	200	807	233	51	23	3%	1.2	28.9%	6.3%	22.6%	2.8%	2.94	3.01	+3.7
Career	—	MLE		671	29	833	3352	960	211	90	4%	1.2	28.6%	6.3%	22.3%	2.7%	2.87	2.96	+15.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	7	200	805	230	51	22	4%	1.2	28.6%	6.3%	22.3%	2.7%	2.87	2.96	+3.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAALouisville Bats · 29 IPFIP 4.29 → 4.67 (+0.38)K% 17.4% → 15.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	17.36%	—	×0.880	15.27%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.61%	—	×1.050	6.94%
HR / BF /BF	3.31%	÷1.009	×1.100	3.60%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 102).

Result: FIP 4.29 → 4.67, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raisel Iglesias (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	2.7%	—	4.07	25.5%	18.4%	57	+0.59	—	—	—
Matt Bush R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	37	SU	3.79	26.2%	8.7%	3.3%	.225	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	65
Chris Nichting R 2002 · 4.67 FIP	36	SU	4.67	16.6%	3.3%	4.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	103	58
Pete Walker R 2006 · 4.45 FIP	37	SU	4.45	19.6%	8.0%	3.6%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	327	56
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	55
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	53
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2016 · 2.99 FIP	37	SU	2.99	16.4%	6.5%	0.8%	.333	3.51	13.3%	10.8%	35	+0.52	2.99	119	51
Scott Atchison R 2013 · 3.80 FIP	37	SU	3.80	14.4%	6.2%	2.1%	.273	3.60	16.7%	12.9%	92	-0.20	2.52	340	50
Roy Corcoran R 2015 · 2.87 FIP	35	SU	2.87	17.7%	8.2%	0.4%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	129	50
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	47
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	43
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	3.93	194	42
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	40
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	39
Brian Sweeney R 2010 · 4.63 FIP	36	SU	4.63	9.5%	3.4%	3.5%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	108	35
Tony Pena Jr. R 2017 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	10.9%	4.3%	1.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	128	35
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	29
Brian Shouse L 2006 · 4.19 FIP	37	SU	4.19	13.2%	7.5%	2.3%	.269	3.37	15.3%	11.0%	127	-0.82	2.32	339	22
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	22

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.5	60	28.8%	6.8%	1.09	2.96
Sergio Romo ('22)	3.6	52	27.0%	6.1%	1.06	3.21
Jeff Montgomery ('87-'99, 19 WAR*)	4.3	72	26.2%*	7.6%*	1.01*	3.16*
Trevor Hoffman ('10)	5.4	64	25.8%	7.0%	0.83	2.87
Joakim Soria ('21)	3.8	54	26.4%	7.3%	0.79	3.11
Paul Assenmacher ('86-'99, 12 WAR*)	4.3	61	27.8%*	8.3%*	0.98*	3.61*
Dan Plesac ('86-'03, 16 WAR*)	5.4	60	28.6%*	8.5%*	1.02*	3.65*