Raisel Iglesias
P
Atlanta Braves
+1.0
WAR
Age 36
RHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
MLB
Svc 10.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 1.0 · 2026
ERA3.14
FIP3.48
xFIP2.38
SIERA1.76
K%26.5%
BB%5.8%
K-BB%20.7%
IP57
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2026
K†6565
FB Velo
p5594.9
Whiff%
p8630.9%
K%
p7827.3%
xwOBA vs
p860.277
FB+3.5 (66%)
SL (1%)
SI (13%)
CH (32%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 24 | 22 | 124 | 516 | 125 | 36 | 15 | 23.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 3.98 | 3.57 | +2.4 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 40 | 7 | 83 | 344 | 88 | 25 | 7 | 25.5% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 2.38 | 3.04 | +2.0 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 63 | 0 | 76 | 306 | 92 | 26 | 5 | 30.1% | 8.5% | 1.5% | 2.49 | 2.46 | +2.3 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 66 | 0 | 72 | 291 | 80 | 23 | 12 | 27.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 2.38 | 3.74 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 68 | 0 | 67 | 279 | 89 | 17 | 12 | 31.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.16 | 3.51 | +1.1 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 22 | 0 | 23 | 91 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 34.1% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 2.74 | 1.32 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 65 | 0 | 70 | 273 | 103 | 12 | 11 | 37.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.57 | 2.59 | +1.9 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 67 | 0 | 62 | 246 | 78 | 13 | 5 | 31.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 2.47 | 2.08 | +2.0 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 61 | 0 | 59 | 242 | 73 | 13 | 7 | 29.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.76 | 2.92 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 66 | 0 | 69 | 259 | 68 | 10 | 4 | 26.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.95 | 2.29 | +2.2 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 70 | 0 | 67 | 266 | 73 | 14 | 8 | 27.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.21 | 3.10 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 7 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 10 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | CIN | 49 | — | 49 | 209 | 57 | 12 | 6 | 27.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.99 | 3.41 | +0.9 |
| 2026 Total | 36 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 57 | 235 | 67 | 12 | 6 | 28.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.59 | 2.95 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | CIN | 53 | — | 53 | 224 | 62 | 13 | 6 | 27.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 3.12 | 3.35 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | CIN | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 56 | 12 | 6 | 27.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 3.37 | 3.54 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | CIN | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 50 | 12 | 6 | 26.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 3.58 | 3.73 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 40 | MLB | CIN | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 44 | 11 | 6 | 25.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.78 | 3.91 | +0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 619 | 29 | 781 | 3139 | 906 | 195 | 84 | 28.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 2.87 | 2.92 | +21.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 159 | 7 | 200 | 804 | 232 | 50 | 22 | 28.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 2.87 | 2.92 | +5.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Raisel Iglesias (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.41 | 27.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | — | 3.53 | 27.0% | 21.1% | 147 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.73 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.99 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.26 | 3.50 | 219 | 74 |
| Seunghwan Oh R 2026 · 2.92 FIP | 36 | SW | 2.92 | 28.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | .257 | 5.68 | 18.2% | 11.4% | 18 | +2.76 | 1.80 | 226 | 72 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 67 |
| Luis Ayala R 2027 · 3.03 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.03 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.25 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.22 | 3.01 | 119 | 66 |
| Charlie Morton R 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.14 | 24.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | .342 | 3.29 | 27.5% | 18.4% | 521 | +0.15 | 2.52 | 1,534 | 65 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 62 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.02 | 22.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | .292 | 5.18 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 24 | +1.16 | 2.73 | 316 | 62 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.58 | 30.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | .224 | 3.83 | 26.6% | 17.3% | 36 | +0.25 | 2.88 | 249 | 62 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 61 |
| Max Scherzer R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.40 | 31.2% | 7.5% | 3.6% | .351 | 2.77 | 31.1% | 25.5% | 477 | -0.63 | 1.94 | 1,739 | 61 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 61 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 60 |
| Tony Barnette R 2024 · 2.56 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.56 | 25.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% | .239 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 144 | 60 |
| John Axford R 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.62 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 197 | 59 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 2.51 FIP | 36 | SU | 2.51 | 25.0% | 7.3% | 1.1% | .266 | 3.98 | 25.2% | 17.7% | 37 | +1.47 | 2.00 | 380 | 57 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.19 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.0% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 244 | 56 |
| Jose Valverde R 2027 · 2.49 FIP | 37 | SU | 2.49 | 17.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | .253 | 2.20 | 25.4% | 19.1% | 58 | -0.29 | 2.20 | 122 | 55 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.32 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.4% | .341 | 7.44 | 8.3% | -0.9% | 22 | +4.12 | 3.32 | 209 | 55 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 55 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 2.30 FIP | 36 | SU | 2.30 | 20.1% | 7.0% | 0.0% | .333 | 3.47 | 11.5% | 5.9% | 46 | +1.17 | 2.30 | 126 | 54 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status FA
MLB Debut 2015
Service 10.895 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2026
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Ext / FA-deal | $16M | +1.0 | $8M | -$8M |
| Totals | $16M | $8M | -$8M | ||