Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 20 | 18 | 83 | 385 | 73 | 35 | 12 | 90% | 4.2 | 14.0% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.91 | 5.40 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 20 | 18 | 83 | 385 | 73 | 35 | 12 | 90% | 4.2 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 6.91 | 4.48 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 17 | 9 | 58 | 248 | 53 | 18 | 6 | 53% | 3.4 | 15.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.99 | 5.07 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 17 | 9 | 58 | 248 | 53 | 18 | 6 | 53% | 3.4 | 21.4% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 2.4% | 4.99 | 3.55 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 94 | 407 | 69 | 25 | 15 | 100% | 4.5 | 13.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.27 | 5.39 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 94 | 407 | 69 | 25 | 15 | 100% | 4.5 | 17.0% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 5.27 | 4.50 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 167 | 707 | 111 | 36 | 15 | 100% | 5.8 | 13.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 4.30 | 4.01 | +2.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 167 | 707 | 111 | 36 | 15 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.7% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 2.1% | 4.30 | 3.58 | +3.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 131 | 608 | 88 | 70 | 24 | 100% | 4.8 | 14.2% | 11.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.68 | 5.65 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 131 | 608 | 88 | 70 | 24 | 100% | 4.8 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.68 | 5.75 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 13 | 13 | 64 | 296 | 47 | 35 | 7 | 100% | 4.9 | 15.9% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 6.19 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAA | 7 | 7 | 43 | 180 | 27 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.2% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.97 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAA | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.2% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.97 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 107 | 476 | 74 | 55 | 13 | — | — | 15.6% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.70 | 4.70 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 107 | 450 | 74 | 55 | 13 | — | — | 16.5% | 12.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.70 | 4.79 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 17 | 17 | 103 | 434 | 68 | 48 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.7% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.29 | 5.25 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 18 | 18 | 105 | 445 | 70 | 49 | 14 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.7% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.29 | 5.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 16 | 16 | 98 | 414 | 65 | 45 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.7% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.29 | 5.25 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 17 | 17 | 100 | 422 | 66 | 47 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.7% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.29 | 5.29 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 89 | 89 | 481 | 2089 | 303 | 210 | 67 | 100% | 5.4 | 14.5% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.56 | 4.91 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 869 | 126 | 87 | 28 | 100% | 5.4 | 14.5% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.56 | 4.91 | +1.2 | ||
| Career | — | 127 | 117 | 597 | 2651 | 376 | 235 | 94 | 92% | 4.7 | 14.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.61 | 4.96 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 39 | 200 | 888 | 126 | 79 | 31 | 92% | 4.7 | 14.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.61 | 4.96 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack Kochanowicz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.53 | 14.3% | 10.3% | 3.6% | — | 5.27 | 15.7% | 4.7% | 208 | -0.26 | — | — | — |
| Jarred Cosart R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 78 |
| Chase Solesky R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .322 | 4.57 | 16.0% | 7.7% | 241 | -0.16 | 4.08 | 536 | 77 |
| Justin Hancock R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.45 | 14.2% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .316 | 3.55 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 73 | -0.90 | 3.49 | 193 | 77 |
| Roman Angelo R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.10 | 17.4% | 13.7% | 3.1% | .277 | 6.80 | 21.0% | 8.1% | 34 | +1.70 | 4.19 | 285 | 75 |
| Carlos Pimentel R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.56 | 17.1% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .266 | 4.17 | 15.8% | 5.8% | 158 | -0.39 | 4.14 | 301 | 75 |
| Kyle Haynes R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.58 | 15.7% | 9.9% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 240 | 75 |
| Elliot Morris R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 102 | 75 |
| Scarlyn Reyes R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.39 | 13.5% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .296 | 4.69 | 13.8% | 3.2% | 189 | +0.30 | 4.39 | 317 | 74 |
| James Needy R 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.93 | 14.2% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .326 | 2.82 | 18.1% | 8.2% | 36 | -2.11 | 2.82 | 167 | 74 |
| Thomas Farr R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.21 | 12.6% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .295 | 5.50 | 9.9% | -1.1% | 67 | +0.29 | 4.93 | 408 | 74 |
| Chandler Champlain R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.75 | 16.9% | 9.3% | 3.5% | .298 | 4.76 | 14.9% | 7.1% | 202 | +0.01 | 4.26 | 583 | 74 |
| Nestor Molina R 2028 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 73 |
| Gabriel Arias R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.37 | 13.1% | 7.2% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.96 | 195 | 73 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.05 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 106 | 73 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.79 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.16 | 19.9% | 6.6% | 108 | +0.37 | 4.09 | 414 | 73 |
| Allen Webster R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.50 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.51 | 4.43 | 177 | 73 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.52 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 5.47 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.95 | 4.52 | 239 | 73 |
| Wily Peralta R 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.64 | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .314 | 4.52 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 312 | -0.12 | 4.02 | 748 | 73 |
| Aaron Davenport R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 17.4% | 11.4% | 3.5% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 498 | 73 |
| Rafael Montero R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.66 | 16.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .325 | 3.79 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 177 | -0.87 | 2.38 | 663 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 91 | 15.4% | 10.8% | 1.26 | 5.36 |
| Sal Romano ('21) | 3 | 86 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 1.29 | 5.10 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |