Carson Whisenhunt
P
Sacramento River Cats
Age 25
LHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
AAA
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 0.4 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION88 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106115vR 124
ERA4.48
FIP4.63
K%19.8%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%10.0%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 155 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (48%)
SL (15%)
FB (48%)
CH-2.7 (37%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 1.9 | 46.7% | 3.3% | 43.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.42 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 1.9 | 46.7% | 3.3% | 43.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.16 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 16 | 59 | 235 | 83 | 23 | 3 | 100% | 3.7 | 27.4% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 1.8% | 2.45 | 3.18 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 16 | 59 | 235 | 83 | 23 | 3 | 100% | 3.7 | 35.3% | 9.8% | 25.5% | 1.3% | 2.45 | 2.11 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 110 | 496 | 141 | 56 | 14 | 100% | 4.1 | 25.0% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 5.17 | 4.21 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 110 | 496 | 141 | 56 | 14 | 100% | 4.1 | 28.4% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 2.8% | 5.17 | 3.72 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 131 | 556 | 111 | 47 | 19 | 100% | 5.0 | 17.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 4.53 | 4.95 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 131 | 556 | 111 | 47 | 19 | 100% | 5.0 | 20.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.53 | 4.37 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 18 | 17 | 88 | 389 | 88 | 42 | 5 | 94% | 4.9 | 21.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 1.3% | 4.30 | 3.42 | +1.8 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 56 | 28 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 4.48 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 56 | 28 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 4.40 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 155 | 672 | 144 | 70 | 15 | — | — | 21.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 4.38 | 3.95 | +2.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 78 | 328 | 144 | 70 | 15 | — | — | 43.9% | 21.3% | 22.7% | 4.5% | 8.66 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 26 | 26 | 158 | 667 | 132 | 65 | 24 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 4.98 | 5.01 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 27 | 27 | 160 | 674 | 135 | 65 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 4.96 | 4.99 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 27 | 27 | 160 | 674 | 135 | 66 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 4.99 | 5.04 | +0.7 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 25 | 25 | 150 | 633 | 126 | 62 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 4.90 | 4.93 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 25 | 25 | 152 | 642 | 128 | 62 | 22 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.91 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 25 | 25 | 152 | 642 | 128 | 63 | 23 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 4.91 | 4.96 | +0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 96 | 96 | 554 | 2345 | 460 | 232 | 83 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 4.81 | 4.64 | +4.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 846 | 166 | 84 | 30 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 4.81 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 89 | 395 | 1706 | 384 | 177 | 48 | 98% | 4.3 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.05 | +6.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 45 | 200 | 864 | 194 | 89 | 24 | 98% | 4.3 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carson Whisenhunt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.13 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 3.8% | — | 5.01 | 20.0% | 10.2% | 477 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| James Paxton L 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.26 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .288 | 3.00 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.26 | 2.48 | 924 | 79 |
| Mike Minor L 2029 · 5.50 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.50 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .330 | 3.78 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.72 | 2.42 | 807 | 75 |
| Dominic Perachi L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.83 | 13.7% | 11.3% | 2.6% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 273 | 70 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2027 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.52 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | .257 | 4.63 | 14.5% | 5.5% | 228 | -0.89 | 3.09 | 299 | 70 |
| David Peterson L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.46 | 24.0% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .298 | 3.65 | 24.2% | 14.0% | 401 | -0.81 | 2.80 | 1,080 | 69 |
| Derek Holland L 2029 · 4.87 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.87 | 16.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | .270 | 4.62 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 414 | -0.25 | 3.76 | 686 | 69 |
| Zach Thornton L 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.22 | 20.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 221 | 69 |
| Matt Portland L 2025 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.64 | 17.4% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 143 | 68 |
| Jordan Fowler L 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.30 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 124 | 67 |
| Caden Grice L 2025 · 5.28 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.28 | 17.3% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 66 |
| Connor Wietgrefe L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 18.7% | 8.5% | 3.0% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 200 | 66 |
| Grant Watson L 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.68 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 180 | 66 |
| Justin Sinibaldi L 2025 · 6.01 FIP | 24 | SP | 6.01 | 14.0% | 10.6% | 5.0% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.79 | 163 | 66 |
| Manny Banuelos L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.05 | 15.1% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .322 | 4.02 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 254 | -1.03 | 2.92 | 486 | 66 |
| Zach Penrod L 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.33 | 17.3% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .263 | 4.44 | 23.1% | 6.9% | 133 | +0.11 | 3.47 | 165 | 65 |
| Eric Jokisch L 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.47 | 11.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .307 | 4.10 | 14.7% | 6.8% | 342 | -0.37 | 3.80 | 412 | 65 |
| Tate Kuehner L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.97 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 1.8% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 245 | 65 |
| Emmett Olson L 2024 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.58 | 16.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 137 | 65 |
| Adam Scott L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.71 | 22.8% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .289 | 5.15 | 19.3% | 3.3% | 122 | +0.44 | 4.53 | 315 | 65 |
| Matt Moore L 2027 · 4.18 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.18 | 21.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .323 | 4.45 | 19.7% | 11.3% | 475 | +0.27 | 2.82 | 845 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 145 | 19.9% | 9.7% | 1.41 | 4.98 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |
| James Shields ('18) | 4 | 176 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 1.71 | 4.81 |
| Dan Straily ('19) | 4 | 136 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 1.72 | 4.54 |