Jordan Fowler
P
Clearwater Threshers
Age 27
LHP
6'3" / 180 lbs
A
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 118
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%22.5%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP49
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 7 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14% | 1.1 | 11.8% | 2.9% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 3.38 | 4.09 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 7 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14% | 1.1 | 11.8% | 2.9% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 3.38 | 4.10 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 6 | 56 | 231 | 53 | 12 | 8 | 30% | 2.8 | 17.0% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 2.56 | 4.98 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 6 | 56 | 231 | 53 | 12 | 8 | 30% | 2.8 | 22.9% | 5.2% | 17.7% | 3.5% | 2.56 | 3.70 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 15 | 15 | 70 | 291 | 50 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 4.7 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 3.73 | 4.30 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 15 | 15 | 70 | 291 | 50 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 4.7 | 17.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 1.4% | 3.73 | 3.27 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 6 | 21 | 82 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 75% | 2.7 | 19.5% | 6.1% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 1.69 | 3.56 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 6 | 21 | 82 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 75% | 2.7 | 19.5% | 6.1% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 1.69 | 3.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 49 | 207 | 47 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.5% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 48 | 201 | 45 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.5% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 45 | 192 | 43 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.3% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.50 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 7 | 43 | 180 | 40 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 3 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.5% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.3% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.50 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 12 | 71 | 300 | 67 | 29 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.22 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 82 | 28 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 28 | 156 | 638 | 98 | 43 | 21 | 56% | 3.1 | 15.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 3.01 | 4.44 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 36 | 200 | 820 | 126 | 55 | 27 | 56% | 3.1 | 15.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 3.01 | 4.44 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Fowler (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 22.5% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.57 | 22.3% | 12.8% | 136 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 4.31 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 300 | -0.22 | 3.88 | 523 | 78 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 75 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 75 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 74 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 74 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 74 |
| Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.39 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 310 | 72 |
| Andy Otero L 2028 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.38 | 14.5% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.30 | 2.85 | 200 | 72 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 69 |
| Manny Banuelos L 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.46 | 23.8% | 8.9% | 2.2% | .338 | 5.84 | 18.7% | 5.9% | 51 | +2.38 | 2.92 | 486 | 69 |
| Chris Reed L 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 68 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | .246 | 6.63 | 13.0% | 0.2% | 68 | +1.65 | 4.98 | 179 | 67 |
| Chris O'Grady L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 21.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 232 | 67 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 67 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.68 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 1.3% | .328 | 4.26 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 129 | +0.58 | 3.24 | 298 | 66 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 66 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2024 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.77 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 154 | 66 |
| Justin Marks L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .323 | 3.78 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.78 | 3.75 | 324 | 65 |
| Nate Peterson L 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.67 | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 288 | 65 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2024 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 17.3% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .374 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 135 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 46 | 22.3% | 9.4% | 1.22 | 4.47 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |