Avery Weems
P
Frisco RoughRiders
Age 29
LHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 122
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%22.4%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 4 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 3.2 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 0.69 | 2.46 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 4 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 3.2 | 27.5% | 5.9% | 21.6% | 0.0% | 0.69 | 1.64 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 20 | 19 | 85 | 359 | 124 | 27 | 16 | 95% | 4.3 | 26.6% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 7.3% | 5.06 | 5.96 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 20 | 19 | 85 | 359 | 124 | 27 | 16 | 95% | 4.3 | 34.5% | 7.5% | 27.0% | 4.5% | 5.06 | 3.58 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 26 | 17 | 91 | 407 | 107 | 32 | 14 | 65% | 3.5 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 5.14 | 5.13 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 26 | 17 | 91 | 407 | 107 | 32 | 14 | 65% | 3.5 | 26.3% | 7.9% | 18.4% | 3.4% | 5.14 | 3.80 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 11.25 | 3.97 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 11.25 | 4.10 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 34 | 0 | 38 | 174 | 44 | 13 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 6.63 | 5.19 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 34 | 0 | 38 | 174 | 44 | 13 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 7.5% | 17.8% | 4.0% | 6.63 | 4.21 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 21 | 0 | 22 | 94 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 4.65 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 4.65 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 4.65 | 4.34 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 92 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 4.65 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 41 | 235 | 1030 | 234 | 87 | 56 | 45% | 2.6 | 22.7% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 5.32 | 5.25 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 35 | 200 | 875 | 199 | 74 | 48 | 45% | 2.6 | 22.7% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 5.32 | 5.25 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Avery Weems (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 3.4% | — | 4.72 | 22.1% | 13.0% | 21 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 74 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 71 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 69 |
| David Huff L 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 69 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 68 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 67 |
| Alex Wood L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.91 | 23.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | .349 | 3.58 | 22.8% | 15.9% | 367 | -0.33 | 3.05 | 1,009 | 66 |
| Josh Outman L 2028 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.70 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | .323 | 5.71 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.01 | 4.70 | 106 | 66 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 18.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 393 | 65 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 65 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 65 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .318 | 6.37 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +2.53 | 2.66 | 230 | 64 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 64 |
| Felix Doubront L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 4.0% | .304 | 3.39 | 17.6% | 12.6% | 126 | -1.06 | 3.39 | 291 | 64 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 64 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 63 |
| Justin Marks L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.84 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 324 | 62 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.56 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | .300 | 3.44 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -1.12 | 2.81 | 223 | 62 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 62 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 62 |