Avery Weems — OGILVIE

Avery Weems P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 29 LHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104112vR 121

ERA4.60

FIP4.60

K%21.2%

BB%8.4%

K-BB%12.8%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	4	4	13	51	14	3	0	100%	3.2	18.7%	7.4%	11.3%	0.0%	0.69	2.46	—
2019	22	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	4	4	13	51	14	3	0	100%	3.2	27.5%	5.9%	21.6%	0.0%	0.69	1.64	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	20	19	85	359	124	27	16	95%	4.3	26.6%	8.6%	17.9%	6.3%	5.06	5.42	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	20	19	85	359	124	27	16	95%	4.3	34.5%	7.5%	27.0%	4.5%	5.06	3.58	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	26	17	91	407	107	32	14	65%	3.5	21.3%	8.6%	12.6%	4.5%	5.14	4.87	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	26	17	91	407	107	32	14	65%	3.5	26.3%	7.9%	18.4%	3.4%	5.14	3.80	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	1	8	39	7	3	1	14%	1.1	17.9%	7.7%	10.3%	2.6%	11.25	3.97	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	1	8	39	7	3	1	14%	1.1	17.9%	7.7%	10.3%	2.6%	11.25	3.97	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	1	8	39	7	3	1	14%	1.1	17.9%	7.7%	10.3%	2.6%	11.25	4.10	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	34	0	38	174	44	13	7	0%	1.1	20.5%	8.2%	12.3%	4.9%	6.63	5.13	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	34	0	38	174	44	13	7	0%	1.1	20.5%	8.2%	12.3%	4.9%	6.63	5.13	—
2025	28	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	34	0	38	174	44	13	7	0%	1.1	25.3%	7.5%	17.8%	4.0%	6.63	4.21	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	TEX	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	21.2%	8.4%	12.8%	3.4%	4.60	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	TEX	20	0	21	88	19	8	3	0%	1.0	21.1%	8.8%	12.3%	3.5%	4.68	4.75	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	TEX	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	8.8%	12.3%	3.5%	4.68	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	7	28	6	2	1	0%	1.1	21.1%	8.8%	12.3%	3.5%	4.68	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	61	31	0%	1.1	21.1%	8.8%	12.3%	3.5%	4.68	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		91	41	235	1030	234	87	51	45%	2.6	22.7%	8.5%	14.3%	4.9%	5.32	4.95	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	35	200	875	199	74	43	45%	2.6	22.7%	8.5%	14.3%	4.9%	5.32	4.95	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Avery Weems (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.60	21.2%	8.4%	3.4%	—	4.75	21.1%	12.3%	21	+0.15	—	—	—
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	75
David Huff L 2015 · 3.40 FIP	30	SW	3.40	17.1%	3.8%	2.3%	.271	4.06	19.5%	14.6%	52	+0.66	3.40	158	70
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	70
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	69
Josh Outman L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	31	SU	4.53	15.3%	3.7%	4.1%	.323	5.73	12.8%	-1.0%	86	+1.20	4.53	106	69
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	67
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	66
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	66
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	66
Chad Bell L 2018 · 4.38 FIP	29	SU	4.38	18.8%	7.4%	3.5%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	393	65
Brian Flynn L 2019 · 4.49 FIP	29	SW	4.49	17.7%	10.1%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	277	65
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	63
Josh Smoker L 2018 · 3.66 FIP	29	SU	3.66	22.1%	8.4%	2.5%	.318	6.58	14.2%	3.4%	14	+2.92	2.71	230	63
Felix Doubront L 2017 · 4.12 FIP	29	SU	4.12	23.7%	9.0%	3.4%	.304	3.44	17.6%	12.6%	126	-0.68	3.44	291	63
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	63
Arturo Barradas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SU	3.42	18.1%	7.0%	1.8%	.288	3.24	16.1%	9.5%	34	-0.18	3.24	163	63
Justin Marks L 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SW	3.83	18.7%	11.0%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	324	63
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	63
Buddy Boshers L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	29	SU	4.56	18.9%	8.0%	3.7%	.300	3.47	24.1%	15.6%	112	-1.09	2.80	223	63
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	63