Brian Moran
P
Columbus Clingstones
Age 37
LHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 95104vR 114
ERA4.15
FIP4.15
K%20.8%
BB%6.3%
K-BB%14.5%
ROS IP59
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL-1.2
FB-1.3
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 33 | 143 | 29 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.24 | 4.66 | — |
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 33 | 143 | 29 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.3% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 1.4% | 3.24 | 3.76 | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | 6 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.06 | 5.21 | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | 6 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.06 | 5.16 | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 19 | 0 | 19 | 71 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 4.6% | 26.2% | 1.1% | 1.89 | 1.67 | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 19 | 0 | 19 | 71 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 38.0% | 4.2% | 33.8% | 1.4% | 1.89 | 1.42 | — |
| 2018 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 61 | 268 | 76 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 1.3% | 3.71 | 2.93 | — |
| 2018 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 61 | 268 | 76 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.4% | 7.8% | 20.5% | 1.5% | 3.71 | 2.49 | — |
| 2019 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 1 | 66 | 281 | 87 | 25 | 7 | 2% | 1.3 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 2.2% | 3.26 | 3.29 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 1 | 66 | 281 | 87 | 25 | 7 | 2% | 1.3 | 31.0% | 8.9% | 22.1% | 2.5% | 3.26 | 2.98 | +1.3 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 7 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 26.9% | 23.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 9.64 | 5.86 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 7 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 26.9% | 23.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 9.64 | 6.74 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 53 | 0 | 50 | 196 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.2% | 7.0% | 22.2% | 0.5% | 2.16 | 1.79 | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 53 | 0 | 50 | 196 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 33.2% | 6.6% | 26.5% | 0.5% | 2.16 | 1.54 | — |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 1 | 49 | 216 | 52 | 14 | 8 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 14.7% | 3.8% | 4.41 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 1 | 49 | 216 | 52 | 14 | 8 | 2% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 6.5% | 17.6% | 3.7% | 4.41 | 3.96 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 34 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 38 | 0 | 48 | 205 | 58 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.9% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 3.3% | 3.21 | 4.12 | — |
| 2023 | 34 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 38 | 0 | 48 | 205 | 58 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.3% | 9.8% | 18.5% | 2.9% | 3.21 | 3.56 | — |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 27 | 2 | 46 | 210 | 48 | 16 | 6 | 7% | 1.7 | 20.1% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 5.91 | 4.26 | — |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 27 | 2 | 46 | 210 | 48 | 16 | 6 | 7% | 1.7 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 5.91 | 3.76 | — |
| 2025 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 4 | 59 | 227 | 57 | 12 | 4 | 17% | 2.6 | 20.8% | 5.8% | 15.0% | 2.3% | 3.36 | 3.32 | — |
| 2025 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 4 | 59 | 227 | 57 | 12 | 4 | 17% | 2.6 | 25.1% | 5.3% | 19.8% | 1.8% | 3.36 | 2.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | ATL | 56 | 0 | 59 | 248 | 52 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 6.3% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.15 | 4.15 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | ATL | 48 | 0 | 51 | 214 | 43 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 3.4% | 4.41 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | ATL | 41 | 0 | 44 | 184 | 36 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | 4.73 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 40 | MLB | ATL | 36 | 0 | 37 | 158 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 5.07 | 5.32 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.3% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 3.4% | 4.41 | 4.57 | — |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | 4.73 | 4.95 | — |
| 2029 | 40 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 5.07 | 5.32 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 0 | 11 | 60 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 28.3% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 5.0% | 7.94 | 4.93 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 318 | 0 | 200 | 1059 | 300 | 124 | 53 | 0% | 0.6 | 28.3% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 5.0% | 7.94 | 4.93 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 349 | 8 | 441 | 1865 | 437 | 160 | 44 | 2% | 1.3 | 23.5% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 2.4% | 3.64 | 3.50 | +9.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 158 | 4 | 200 | 846 | 199 | 73 | 20 | 2% | 1.3 | 23.5% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 2.4% | 3.64 | 3.50 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brian Moran (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.15 | 20.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.91 | 19.8% | 11.7% | 132 | +0.76 | — | — | — |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2024 · 3.56 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.56 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 117 | 83 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.99 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 405 | 79 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.24 | 25.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 156 | 78 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.47 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 109 | 71 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.08 | 27.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .300 | 1.99 | 19.4% | 15.2% | 18 | -1.09 | 1.56 | 219 | 67 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.02 | 17.8% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .400 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 159 | 53 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 37 | SU | 4.04 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .289 | 4.08 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.04 | 3.51 | 219 | 42 |
| Jean Machi R 2024 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 42 |
| Luis Ayala R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.02 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.22 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.20 | 2.99 | 119 | 42 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.65 | 23.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 240 | 42 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 41 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 41 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2025 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 40 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.61 | 21.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .241 | 4.59 | 15.4% | 9.2% | 34 | +0.98 | 2.51 | 174 | 40 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 40 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 38 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2024 · 3.63 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.63 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 140 | 38 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 37 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 37 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.03 | 16.4% | 6.5% | 0.9% | .333 | 3.66 | 13.3% | 10.8% | 35 | +0.63 | 3.03 | 119 | 37 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 20.1% | 7.5% | 1.37 | 4.53 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |