Brian Moran — OGILVIE

Brian Moran P Columbus Clingstones

Age 37 LHP 6'4" / 225 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 95103vR 111

ERA4.11

FIP4.11

K%20.1%

BB%5.7%

K-BB%14.4%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD5555

K†5050

SL-1.2

FB-1.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	33	143	29	18	2	0%	1.2	17.7%	14.1%	3.6%	2.0%	3.24	4.50	—
2015	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	33	143	29	18	2	0%	1.2	20.3%	12.6%	7.7%	1.4%	3.24	3.76	—
2016	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	6	0	5	22	1	0	1	0%	0.9	4.5%	0.0%	4.5%	4.5%	5.06	5.21	—
2016	27	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Braves	6	0	5	22	1	0	1	0%	0.9	4.5%	0.0%	4.5%	4.5%	5.06	5.16	—
2017	28	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	19	0	19	71	27	3	1	0%	1.0	30.8%	4.6%	26.2%	1.3%	1.89	1.80	—
2017	28	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	19	0	19	71	27	3	1	0%	1.0	38.0%	4.2%	33.8%	1.4%	1.89	1.42	—
2018	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	61	268	76	21	4	0%	1.2	23.2%	8.5%	14.7%	1.5%	3.71	3.04	—
2018	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	61	268	76	21	4	0%	1.2	28.4%	7.8%	20.5%	1.5%	3.71	2.49	—
2019	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	1	66	281	87	25	7	2%	1.3	26.9%	10.0%	16.9%	2.4%	3.26	3.40	+0.9
2019	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	1	66	281	87	25	7	2%	1.3	31.0%	8.9%	22.1%	2.5%	3.26	2.98	+1.2
2020	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	7	0	5	26	7	6	1	0%	0.7	26.9%	23.1%	3.8%	3.8%	9.64	5.86	-0.1
2020	31	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	7	0	5	26	7	6	1	0%	0.7	26.9%	23.1%	3.8%	3.8%	9.64	6.74	-0.1
2021	32	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	53	0	50	196	65	13	1	0%	0.9	29.2%	7.0%	22.2%	0.5%	2.16	1.81	—
2021	32	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	53	0	50	196	65	13	1	0%	0.9	33.2%	6.6%	26.5%	0.5%	2.16	1.54	—
2022	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	1	49	216	52	14	8	2%	1.1	21.7%	7.0%	14.7%	3.7%	4.41	4.20	+0.2
2022	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	1	49	216	52	14	8	2%	1.1	24.1%	6.5%	17.6%	3.7%	4.41	3.96	+0.3
2023	34	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	38	0	48	205	58	20	6	0%	1.3	23.5%	8.8%	14.7%	3.3%	3.21	4.02	—
2023	34	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	38	0	48	205	58	20	6	0%	1.3	23.5%	8.8%	14.7%	3.3%	3.21	4.02	—
2023	34	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	38	0	48	205	58	20	6	0%	1.3	28.3%	9.8%	18.5%	2.9%	3.21	3.56	—
2024	35	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	27	2	46	210	48	16	6	7%	1.7	19.0%	6.9%	12.1%	3.2%	5.91	4.15	—
2024	35	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	27	2	46	210	48	16	6	7%	1.7	19.0%	6.9%	12.1%	3.2%	5.91	4.15	—
2024	35	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	27	2	46	210	48	16	6	7%	1.7	22.9%	7.6%	15.2%	2.9%	5.91	3.76	—
2025	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	4	59	227	57	12	4	17%	2.6	20.5%	5.6%	14.8%	2.1%	3.36	3.26	—
2025	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	4	59	227	57	12	4	17%	2.6	20.5%	5.6%	14.8%	2.1%	3.36	3.26	—
2025	36	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	4	59	227	57	12	4	17%	2.6	25.1%	5.3%	19.8%	1.8%	3.36	2.66	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			18	0	11	60	17	7	3	0%	0.6	28.3%	11.7%	16.7%	5.0%	7.94	5.39	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	37	MLB	ATL	5	0	5	21	4	1	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	5.7%	14.4%	2.9%	4.11	4.11	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	38	MLB MLE	ATL	48	0	51	214	42	14	7	0%	1.1	19.6%	6.7%	12.9%	3.4%	4.37	4.53	+0.0
2028	39	MLB MLE	ATL	41	0	44	184	35	14	7	0%	1.1	19.1%	7.6%	11.5%	3.8%	4.69	4.92	-0.2
2027	38	MLB CTX	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.6%	6.7%	12.9%	3.4%	4.37	4.53	—
2028	39	MLB CTX	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.1%	7.6%	11.5%	3.8%	4.69	4.92	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	11	60	17	7	3	0%	0.6	28.3%	11.7%	16.7%	5.0%	7.94	4.93	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		318	0	200	1059	300	124	53	0%	0.6	28.3%	11.7%	16.7%	5.0%	7.94	4.93	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		349	8	441	1865	431	154	44	2%	1.3	23.1%	8.3%	14.9%	2.4%	3.64	3.49	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		158	4	200	846	196	70	20	2%	1.3	23.1%	8.3%	14.9%	2.4%	3.64	3.49	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brian Moran (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.11	20.1%	5.7%	2.9%	—	4.71	19.4%	12.2%	94	+0.60	—	—	—
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	82
Neal Cotts L 2017 · 3.21 FIP	37	SU	3.21	25.5%	8.0%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	156	75
Wilfredo Ledezma L 2017 · 3.35 FIP	36	SU	3.35	26.7%	8.3%	2.7%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.58	109	69
Oliver Pérez L 2019 · 3.08 FIP	37	SU	3.08	27.7%	5.8%	2.9%	.300	1.99	19.4%	15.2%	18	-1.09	1.58	219	65
Jorge De La Rosa L 2018 · 4.07 FIP	37	SU	4.07	19.3%	9.5%	2.6%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.86	405	58
Craig Breslow L 2018 · 5.13 FIP	37	SU	5.13	17.8%	15.1%	2.9%	.400	—	—	—	—	—	4.22	159	50
Luis Ayala R 2015 · 3.03 FIP	37	SU	3.03	19.7%	5.0%	1.7%	.270	3.27	12.1%	5.9%	57	+0.24	3.03	119	42
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	42
Santiago Casilla R 2017 · 4.13 FIP	37	SU	4.13	22.0%	8.1%	3.4%	.289	4.14	16.8%	1.6%	44	+0.01	3.50	219	41
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	40
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	40
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	40
Matt Belisle R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	37	SU	3.62	21.9%	6.5%	2.8%	.241	4.60	15.4%	9.2%	34	+0.98	2.51	174	39
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	39
Ronald Belisario R 2019 · 4.16 FIP	36	SU	4.16	12.7%	3.9%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.10	126	39
Ryan Madson R 2018 · 3.49 FIP	37	SU	3.49	23.4%	6.1%	2.9%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	1.42	240	38
Ramon E Ramirez R 2017 · 3.49 FIP	35	SU	3.49	14.0%	5.8%	1.5%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	140	38
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	38
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	37
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2016 · 2.99 FIP	37	SU	2.99	16.4%	6.5%	0.8%	.333	3.51	13.3%	10.8%	35	+0.52	2.99	119	37

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	51	19.6%	6.6%	1.29	4.36
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47