Hayden Wynja — OGILVIE

Hayden Wynja P ACL Giants

Age 27 LHP 6'8" / 232 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 124

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%20.1%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%9.9%

ROS IP47

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	3	0	3	16	3	0	1	0%	1.1	18.8%	0.0%	18.8%	6.2%	8.10	4.95	—
2022	23	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	3	0	3	16	3	0	1	0%	1.1	18.8%	0.0%	18.8%	6.2%	8.10	5.20	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	16	97	422	115	38	12	55%	3.4	20.5%	10.5%	10.0%	3.7%	4.16	4.74	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	16	97	422	115	38	12	55%	3.4	20.5%	10.5%	10.0%	3.7%	4.16	4.74	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	16	97	422	115	38	12	55%	3.4	27.3%	9.0%	18.2%	2.8%	4.16	3.51	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	15	11	56	253	59	23	7	73%	3.8	18.0%	10.5%	7.5%	3.4%	4.95	4.79	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	15	11	56	253	59	23	7	73%	3.8	18.0%	10.5%	7.5%	3.4%	4.95	4.79	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	15	11	56	253	59	23	7	73%	3.8	23.3%	9.1%	14.2%	2.8%	4.95	3.85	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	15	2	23	95	29	11	2	13%	1.5	—	—	—	—	3.52	—	—
YTD	27	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	15	2	23	95	29	11	2	13%	1.5	—	—	—	—	3.52	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	ROK RAW	SF	6	2	11	48	15	5	2	33%	1.8	31.2%	10.4%	20.8%	4.2%	5.91	4.07	—
2026	27	A RAW	SF	7	0	9	34	12	4	0	0%	1.3	35.3%	11.8%	23.5%	0.0%	0.96	1.61	—
2026	27	A+ RAW	SF	2	0	3	13	2	2	0	0%	1.5	15.4%	15.4%	0.0%	0.0%	3.00	3.75	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SF	43	0	45	191	39	20	6	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.3%	10.1%	3.2%	4.77	4.80	-0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	SF	41	0	43	182	37	19	6	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.4%	9.9%	3.3%	4.83	4.89	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	SF	15	0	16	68	14	7	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.3%	10.1%	3.2%	4.77	4.80	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	SF	23	0	24	101	21	11	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	10.4%	9.9%	3.3%	4.83	4.89	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		38	0	40	169	34	18	5	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.4%	10.0%	3.2%	4.81	4.48	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	90	25	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.4%	10.0%	3.2%	4.81	4.48	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		62	29	180	786	164	82	27	47%	2.9	20.9%	10.4%	10.5%	3.5%	4.40	4.57	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	32	200	873	182	91	30	47%	2.9	20.9%	10.4%	10.5%	3.5%	4.40	4.57	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hayden Wynja (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	20.1%	10.2%	3.1%	—	4.84	20.3%	10.0%	88	+0.08	—	—	—
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	74
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	73
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	72
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	72
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	72
Matt Tracy L 2016 · 3.89 FIP	27	SW	3.89	13.8%	8.3%	1.7%	.328	4.22	15.3%	5.5%	129	+0.33	3.24	298	72
Matt Whitehouse L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	27	SW	4.55	17.0%	12.8%	2.3%	.308	4.07	20.1%	9.2%	81	-0.48	3.37	353	71
Brendan Nail L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	18.9%	10.5%	2.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	165	71
Eric Jokisch L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	27	SW	4.64	12.4%	9.6%	2.5%	.330	3.93	15.2%	7.6%	283	-0.71	3.78	412	71
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	70
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	70
Carson Teel L 2022 · 4.26 FIP	26	SU	4.26	17.7%	7.1%	3.2%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	248	68
Brent Headrick L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	25	SW	4.54	22.6%	7.6%	4.3%	.299	2.87	28.1%	21.0%	138	-1.67	2.21	409	68
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	68
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	68
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.94	19.6%	8.8%	307	+0.65	3.59	520	68
Ben Onyshko L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	26	SU	4.39	16.1%	10.2%	2.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	68
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	67
Wyatt Short L 2022 · 4.15 FIP	27	SW	4.15	18.4%	10.1%	2.4%	.255	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	288	67
Jake Drehoff L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SW	5.21	16.8%	9.0%	4.4%	.418	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	153	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	45	20.3%	10.3%	1.23	4.79
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86