T.J. Sikkema
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 28
LHP
6'0" / 211 lbs
AAA
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION5 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110120vR 129
ERA4.86
FIP4.86
K%15.6%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%6.3%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 18 | 69 | 297 | 83 | 24 | 9 | 95% | 3.6 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 4.83 | 4.71 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 18 | 69 | 297 | 83 | 24 | 9 | 95% | 3.6 | 27.9% | 8.1% | 19.9% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 3.43 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 34 | 0 | 72 | 316 | 63 | 38 | 11 | 0% | 2.1 | 16.1% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.85 | 6.50 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 34 | 0 | 72 | 316 | 63 | 38 | 11 | 0% | 2.1 | 19.9% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 5.85 | 4.91 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 14 | 72 | 304 | 72 | 16 | 7 | 70% | 3.6 | 18.5% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 2.0% | 3.61 | 3.39 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 14 | 72 | 304 | 72 | 16 | 7 | 70% | 3.6 | 23.7% | 5.3% | 18.4% | 2.3% | 3.61 | 3.03 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 15 | 87 | 367 | 72 | 31 | 7 | 65% | 3.8 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 4.57 | 4.13 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 15 | 87 | 367 | 72 | 31 | 7 | 65% | 3.8 | 19.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 1.9% | 4.57 | 3.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 2 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 2.3 | — | — | — | — | 9.64 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 43 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 4.86 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | BOS | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 4.86 | 4.86 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 69 | 301 | 47 | 30 | 9 | — | — | 15.5% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 5.18 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 6 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 15.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 4.86 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 66 | 280 | 45 | 27 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 4.88 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 10 | 10 | 62 | 263 | 43 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 4.97 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 4.88 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 4.97 | 5.07 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 11 | 65 | 275 | 44 | 27 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 4.93 | 4.62 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 135 | 83 | 25 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 4.93 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 98 | 49 | 305 | 1311 | 236 | 126 | 46 | 50% | 3.1 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 4.78 | 4.70 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 32 | 200 | 860 | 155 | 82 | 30 | 50% | 3.1 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 4.78 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| T.J. Sikkema (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.86 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 2.8% | — | 5.00 | 16.2% | 6.6% | 128 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Laffey L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 83 |
| Carlos Teller L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.72 | 13.8% | 10.9% | 0.7% | .329 | 4.99 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 187 | +1.27 | 3.72 | 333 | 80 |
| Enrique Lechuga L 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.64 | 10.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .354 | 3.90 | 10.5% | 4.4% | 59 | -0.74 | 3.90 | 137 | 77 |
| Everett Teaford L 2029 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 76 |
| John Anderson L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 14.3% | 8.7% | 1.9% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 235 | 75 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 74 |
| Chris Reed L 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 74 |
| Eric Wooten L 2023 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 116 | 74 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .321 | 7.40 | 16.6% | 2.7% | 21 | +2.96 | 4.08 | 165 | 74 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2024 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 73 |
| Jack Dashwood L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.80 | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 309 | 73 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2025 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 72 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.56 | 16.9% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 491 | 72 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 71 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.64 | 3.24 | 298 | 71 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 71 |
| Roy Merritt L 2028 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 70 |
| Jordan Carr L 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.24 | 13.1% | 8.8% | 2.1% | .295 | 7.18 | 11.4% | -3.7% | 38 | +2.94 | 3.39 | 261 | 69 |
| Chipper Smith L 2023 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.83 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 109 | 69 |
| Steven Moyers L 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.94 | 14.7% | 8.1% | 3.7% | .371 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 464 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 16.0% | 9.5% | 1.14 | 4.90 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |