Miguel Cienfuegos
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 29
LHP
6'4" / 195 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117126vR 135
ERA5.15
FIP5.15
K%13.0%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%1.9%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 104 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 16 | 78 | 338 | 62 | 30 | 7 | 89% | 4.3 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.04 | 5.52 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 16 | 78 | 338 | 62 | 30 | 7 | 89% | 4.3 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 4.04 | 3.83 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 19 | 124 | 542 | 84 | 41 | 17 | 70% | 4.6 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.36 | 5.34 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 19 | 124 | 542 | 84 | 41 | 17 | 70% | 4.6 | 15.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 5.36 | 4.52 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 6 | 69 | 294 | 57 | 26 | 1 | 20% | 2.3 | 16.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 0.4% | 4.33 | 3.09 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 6 | 69 | 294 | 57 | 26 | 1 | 20% | 2.3 | 19.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 0.3% | 4.33 | 2.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 25 | 2 | 35 | 171 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 8% | 1.4 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 7.46 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | SD | 65 | 0 | 69 | 290 | 38 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.0% | 11.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.15 | 5.15 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | SD | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.0% | 11.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.15 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | SD | — | — | 104 | 461 | 72 | 50 | 13 | — | — | 15.5% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.93 | 5.15 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | SD | — | — | 7 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 13.0% | 11.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.15 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SD | 61 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.18 | 5.25 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SD | 57 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 36 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.0% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.27 | 5.38 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | SD | 53 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.0% | 11.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.42 | 5.55 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SD | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.18 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SD | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 19 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.0% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.27 | 5.38 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | SD | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 22 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.0% | 11.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.42 | 5.55 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 97 | 0 | 101 | 428 | 59 | 49 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.9% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.30 | 5.02 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 116 | 97 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.9% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.30 | 5.02 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 100 | 43 | 306 | 1345 | 192 | 127 | 44 | 43% | 3.1 | 14.3% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.03 | 4.87 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 28 | 200 | 879 | 126 | 83 | 29 | 43% | 3.1 | 14.3% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.03 | 4.87 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Miguel Cienfuegos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.15 | 13.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | — | 5.39 | 13.9% | 2.5% | 180 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Kelvin Marte L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 83 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 81 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 75 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 75 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 74 |
| Enrique Lechuga L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.64 | 10.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .354 | 3.90 | 10.5% | 4.4% | 59 | -0.74 | 3.90 | 137 | 74 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 73 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 71 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 68 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 10.1% | 7.8% | 1.7% | .333 | 3.67 | 19.1% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.49 | 3.21 | 241 | 67 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.25 | 16.3% | 11.8% | 1.9% | .345 | 4.05 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 169 | -0.20 | 3.03 | 299 | 67 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 66 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 17.9% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .336 | 4.86 | 17.6% | 10.1% | 69 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 523 | 66 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.22 | 11.8% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .253 | 2.74 | 19.0% | 16.6% | 57 | -1.48 | 2.22 | 487 | 65 |
| Travis Blackley L 2029 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 64 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 64 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.34 | 17.4% | 12.8% | 2.0% | .275 | 5.22 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 66 | +0.88 | 3.88 | 269 | 63 |
| Colton Johnson L 2024 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.49 | 12.2% | 12.6% | 1.5% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 106 | 62 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2024 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 62 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.72 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 2.1% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 133 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 62 | 13.6% | 11.3% | 1.10 | 5.25 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |