Miguel Cienfuegos

Miguel Cienfuegos P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 29 LHP 6'4" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%12.5%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%2.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	16	78	338	62	30	7	89%	4.3	13.6%	10.5%	3.1%	3.4%	4.04	5.12	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	16	78	338	62	30	7	89%	4.3	13.6%	10.5%	3.1%	3.4%	4.04	5.12	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	16	78	338	62	30	7	89%	4.3	18.3%	8.9%	9.5%	2.1%	4.04	3.83	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	19	124	542	84	41	17	70%	4.6	12.4%	7.9%	4.5%	3.9%	5.36	5.19	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	19	124	542	84	41	17	70%	4.6	12.4%	7.9%	4.5%	3.9%	5.36	5.19	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	19	124	542	84	41	17	70%	4.6	15.5%	7.6%	7.9%	3.1%	5.36	4.52	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	6	69	294	57	26	1	20%	2.3	16.0%	8.1%	7.9%	0.4%	4.33	2.99	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	6	69	294	57	26	1	20%	2.3	16.0%	8.1%	7.9%	0.4%	4.33	2.99	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	6	69	294	57	26	1	20%	2.3	19.4%	8.8%	10.5%	0.3%	4.33	2.77	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	31	2	49	234	44	27	8	6%	1.6	15.6%	10.4%	5.2%	3.8%	7.35	5.16	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	31	2	49	234	44	27	8	6%	1.6	15.6%	10.4%	5.2%	3.8%	7.35	5.16	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	SD	31	2	49	234	44	27	8	6%	1.6	18.8%	11.5%	7.3%	3.4%	7.35	4.85	—
ROS	29	MLB MLE	SD	6	0	6	26	3	3	1	0%	1.0	12.5%	9.8%	2.7%	2.4%	5.00	5.00	-0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	SD	—	—	55	260	47	30	9	—	—	18.2%	11.4%	6.8%	3.3%	7.08	5.14	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	SD	61	0	64	272	36	27	7	0%	1.1	13.2%	10.0%	3.2%	2.7%	5.04	5.11	-0.4
2028	31	MLB MLE	SD	57	0	60	254	35	26	7	0%	1.1	13.6%	10.3%	3.3%	2.9%	5.15	5.26	-0.5
2027	30	MLB CTX	SD	23	0	24	101	13	10	3	0%	1.0	13.2%	10.0%	3.2%	2.7%	5.04	5.11	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	SD	31	0	33	139	19	14	4	0%	1.1	13.6%	10.3%	3.3%	2.9%	5.15	5.26	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	0	57	243	33	25	7	0%	1.0	13.4%	10.2%	3.2%	2.8%	5.10	4.81	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	115	87	24	0%	1.1	13.4%	10.2%	3.2%	2.8%	5.10	4.81	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		106	43	320	1408	197	126	42	41%	3.0	14.0%	9.0%	5.0%	3.0%	5.12	4.71	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	27	200	880	123	79	26	41%	3.0	14.0%	9.0%	5.0%	3.0%	5.12	4.71	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Miguel Cienfuegos (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	12.5%	9.8%	2.4%	—	5.18	13.4%	3.2%	125	+0.18	—	—	—
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	83
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	81
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	77
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	76
Ross Detwiler L 2015 · 5.50 FIP	29	SW	5.50	14.2%	12.2%	3.8%	.356	4.80	14.1%	5.9%	242	-0.70	3.49	512	73
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	72
Brian Flynn L 2019 · 4.49 FIP	29	SW	4.49	17.7%	10.1%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	277	71
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	71
Jeremy Bleich L 2016 · 4.35 FIP	29	SU	4.35	10.1%	7.8%	2.1%	.333	3.64	19.1%	13.1%	146	-0.71	3.20	241	70
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	68
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	67
Justin Marks L 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SW	3.83	18.7%	11.0%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	324	67
Sam Freeman L 2016 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	16.3%	11.8%	1.8%	.345	4.02	22.1%	10.5%	169	-0.20	3.03	299	67
Caleb Thielbar L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	28	SU	4.15	11.8%	10.8%	1.2%	.253	2.68	19.0%	16.6%	57	-1.47	2.22	505	66
Travis Blackley L 2015 · 4.91 FIP	32	SP-	4.91	15.4%	6.4%	4.2%	.324	4.45	10.5%	0.0%	137	-0.46	3.85	225	66
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	65
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	65
Kraig Sitton L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	29	SU	3.87	14.7%	6.1%	2.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	166	64
Brian Duensing L 2015 · 4.47 FIP	32	SU	4.47	11.5%	8.1%	2.4%	.252	3.76	20.2%	11.8%	137	-0.71	2.57	198	63
Aaron Brown L 2021 · 4.13 FIP	29	SU	4.13	17.4%	12.8%	1.6%	.275	5.38	21.3%	8.8%	66	+1.25	4.04	269	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	64	13.1%	10.0%	1.04	5.06
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74