Christian MacLeod
P
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 26
LHP
6'4" / 227 lbs
AA
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113122vR 131
ERA4.97
FIP4.97
K%19.4%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%6.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Twins | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 62.5% | 25.0% | 37.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.99 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Twins | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 62.5% | 25.0% | 37.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.70 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 16 | 71 | 310 | 69 | 32 | 7 | 94% | 4.2 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 4.08 | 4.36 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 16 | 71 | 310 | 69 | 32 | 7 | 94% | 4.2 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 2.3% | 4.08 | 3.79 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 20 | 92 | 394 | 107 | 46 | 11 | 95% | 4.4 | 21.5% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 3.41 | 4.83 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 20 | 92 | 394 | 107 | 46 | 11 | 95% | 4.4 | 27.2% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 2.8% | 3.41 | 3.83 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 17 | 87 | 391 | 94 | 47 | 7 | 63% | 3.2 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 4.34 | 3.84 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 17 | 87 | 391 | 94 | 47 | 7 | 63% | 3.2 | 24.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 1.8% | 4.34 | 3.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 15 | 3 | 20 | 96 | 27 | 19 | 5 | 20% | 1.3 | 28.8% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 6.1% | 9.15 | 5.90 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIN | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 57 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 13.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 13.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 90 | 392 | 84 | 59 | 13 | — | — | 21.5% | 14.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 5.89 | 5.17 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 19.4% | 13.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 4.97 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 69 | 291 | 58 | 38 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.8% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 4.92 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 56 | 36 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 19.8% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 4.92 | 4.94 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 11 | 67 | 284 | 56 | 37 | 8 | 92% | 5.6 | 19.9% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 4.93 | 4.58 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 167 | 110 | 24 | 89% | 5.5 | 19.9% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 4.93 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 81 | 56 | 271 | 1199 | 244 | 152 | 32 | 69% | 3.3 | 20.3% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 4.28 | 4.45 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 41 | 200 | 884 | 180 | 112 | 23 | 69% | 3.3 | 20.3% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 4.28 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Christian MacLeod (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.97 | 19.4% | 13.4% | 2.6% | — | 4.96 | 19.8% | 6.9% | 136 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Irwin Delgado L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 78 |
| Ben Holmes L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .264 | 5.63 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 61 | +1.74 | 3.12 | 451 | 77 |
| Tommy Vail L 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 19.7% | 16.4% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 151 | 77 |
| Houston Harding L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.5% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .268 | 5.21 | 12.2% | 0.1% | 54 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 232 | 76 |
| Justin Marks L 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .323 | 3.78 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.78 | 3.75 | 324 | 76 |
| Cole Reynolds L 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.26 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 2.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.81 | 108 | 76 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 14.4% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .306 | 4.04 | 14.7% | 5.5% | 208 | +0.03 | 3.24 | 298 | 76 |
| Connor Oliver L 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.91 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 200 | 75 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2024 · 5.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.49 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.8% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 121 | 74 |
| Nico Tellache L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 72 |
| Chris Reed L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 72 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.01 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 381 | 72 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 71 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.77 | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .278 | 5.20 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 45 | +0.43 | 4.77 | 118 | 71 |
| Luis Ysla L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.88 | 18.9% | 13.9% | 2.9% | .325 | 6.13 | 18.0% | 3.6% | 86 | +1.25 | 3.58 | 378 | 71 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2024 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 71 |
| Adam Scott L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.27 | 21.1% | 13.5% | 4.1% | .317 | 4.96 | 16.5% | -3.6% | 46 | -0.31 | 4.53 | 315 | 71 |
| Drake Britton L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.82 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 2.6% | .268 | 4.93 | 8.0% | -2.2% | 41 | +0.11 | 4.82 | 125 | 70 |
| Matt Walker L 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 156 | 70 |
| Scott DeCecco L 2024 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.58 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.58 | 125 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 19.7% | 13.1% | 1.05 | 4.94 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |