Houston Harding
P Salt Lake Bees| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | MIX3 levels | 21 | 14 | 80 | 3.14 | 3.81 | 20.8% | 10.5% | — | K 16.5% · BB 11.2% · FIP 4.54 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX2 levels | 8 | 0 | 20 | 5.03 | 3.35 | 20.7% | 10.9% | — | K 18.5% · BB 8.4% · FIP 3.41 |
| 2026 | 28 | MIX3 levels | 25 | 2 | 52 | 6.97 | 6.78 | 11.5% | 13.8% | — | K 9.3% · BB 12.7% · FIP 5.91 |
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBLAA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5.62 | 5.62 | 12.4% | 11.5% | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ37% MLB | 30 | MLBLAA | 6 | 0 | 6 | 5.59 | 5.66 | 13.1% | 11.6% | -0.1 |
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 4 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 2.5 | 18.6% | 2.3% | 16.3% | 2.3% | 4.50 | 3.10 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 4 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 2.5 | 18.6% | 2.3% | 16.3% | 2.3% | 4.50 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | 23 | 0 | 37 | 164 | 43 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 4.58 | 5.30 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ RAW | Tri-City Dust Devils | 23 | 0 | 37 | 164 | 43 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.2% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 3.74 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 27 | 2 | 60 | 273 | 61 | 37 | 9 | 7% | 2.2 | 17.9% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.00 | 5.74 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 27 | 2 | 60 | 273 | 61 | 37 | 9 | 7% | 2.2 | 22.3% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 6.00 | 4.87 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 21 | 14 | 80 | 342 | 71 | 36 | 7 | 67% | 3.8 | 16.5% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.14 | 4.54 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 21 | 14 | 80 | 342 | 71 | 36 | 7 | 67% | 3.8 | 16.5% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.14 | 4.54 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 21 | 14 | 80 | 342 | 71 | 36 | 7 | 67% | 3.8 | 20.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 2.0% | 3.14 | 3.81 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 20 | 92 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 2.5 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 1.5% | 5.03 | 3.41 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 20 | 92 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 2.5 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 1.5% | 5.03 | 3.41 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 20 | 92 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 2.5 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 1.1% | 5.03 | 3.35 | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 25 | 2 | 52 | 253 | 29 | 35 | 11 | 8% | 2.1 | 9.3% | 12.7% | -3.4% | 3.6% | 6.97 | 5.91 | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 25 | 2 | 52 | 253 | 29 | 35 | 11 | 8% | 2.1 | 9.3% | 12.7% | -3.4% | 3.6% | 6.97 | 5.91 | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 25 | 2 | 52 | 253 | 29 | 35 | 11 | 8% | 2.1 | 11.5% | 13.8% | -2.4% | 4.3% | 6.97 | 6.78 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.4% | 11.5% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 5.62 | 5.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAA | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.1% | 11.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 5.59 | 5.66 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAA | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.1% | 11.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 5.59 | 5.66 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.1% | 11.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 5.59 | 5.28 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 102 | 102 | 34 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.1% | 11.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 5.59 | 5.28 | -1.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 108 | 18 | 259 | 1167 | 187 | 137 | 39 | 17% | 2.4 | 16.0% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.08 | -0.2 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 83 | 14 | 200 | 901 | 144 | 106 | 30 | 17% | 2.4 | 16.0% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.08 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 44 IPFIP 5.78 → 5.91 (+0.13)K% 10.8% → 9.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 10.80% | — | ×0.860 | 9.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 14.08% | — | ×0.900 | 12.68% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.100 | 3.62% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 5.78 → 5.91, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 4 IPFIP 10.91 → 13.01 (+2.09)K% 20.0% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 20.00% | — | ×0.810 | 16.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.00% | — | ×1.100 | 11.00% |
| HR / BF /BF | 15.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | 18.00% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 10.91 → 13.01, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 4 IPFIP 6.90 → 8.07 (+1.17)K% 10.0% → 7.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 10.00% | — | ×0.770 | 7.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 15.00% | — | ×1.150 | 17.25% |
| HR / BF /BF | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.250 | 6.25% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 6.90 → 8.07, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 18 IPFIP 2.83 → 3.41 (+0.58)K% 22.8% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.78% | — | ×0.810 | 18.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 7.59% | — | ×1.100 | 8.35% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.27% | ÷1.028 | ×1.200 | 1.48% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 106).
Result: FIP 2.83 → 3.41, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 46 IPFIP 2.54 → 3.25 (+0.72)K% 23.0% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.99% | — | ×0.770 | 17.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 8.56% | — | ×1.150 | 9.84% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.53% | ÷0.916 | ×1.250 | 0.73% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 83).
Result: FIP 2.54 → 3.25, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASalt Lake Bees · 16 IPFIP 6.33 → 6.97 (+0.64)K% 12.3% → 10.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 12.35% | — | ×0.860 | 10.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.35% | — | ×0.900 | 11.11% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.94% | ÷0.886 | ×1.100 | 6.13% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 77).
Result: FIP 6.33 → 6.97, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 19 IPFIP 4.24 → 5.14 (+0.90)K% 24.3% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 24.32% | — | ×0.810 | 19.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.51% | — | ×1.100 | 14.86% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.70% | ÷0.976 | ×1.200 | 3.32% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 95).
Result: FIP 4.24 → 5.14, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 46 IPFIP 4.88 → 5.82 (+0.94)K% 21.1% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 21.10% | — | ×0.810 | 17.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 14.22% | — | ×1.100 | 15.64% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.21% | ÷0.970 | ×1.200 | 3.97% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 94).
Result: FIP 4.88 → 5.82, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).