Houston Harding
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 28
LHP
6'1" / 230 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 126
ERA4.75
FIP4.75
K%20.3%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%10.0%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 2.5 | 18.6% | 2.3% | 16.3% | 2.3% | 4.50 | 3.10 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 2.5 | 18.6% | 2.3% | 16.3% | 2.3% | 4.50 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 23 | 0 | 37 | 164 | 43 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.58 | 6.05 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 23 | 0 | 37 | 164 | 43 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.2% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 3.74 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 2 | 60 | 273 | 61 | 37 | 9 | 7% | 2.2 | 17.9% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.00 | 5.80 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 2 | 60 | 273 | 61 | 37 | 9 | 7% | 2.2 | 22.3% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 6.00 | 4.87 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 14 | 80 | 342 | 71 | 36 | 7 | 67% | 3.8 | 16.5% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.14 | 4.74 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 14 | 80 | 342 | 71 | 36 | 7 | 67% | 3.8 | 20.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 2.0% | 3.14 | 3.81 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 20 | 92 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 2.5 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 1.4% | 5.03 | 3.39 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 20 | 92 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 2.5 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 1.1% | 5.03 | 3.35 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 21 | 2 | 45 | 221 | 25 | 29 | 10 | 10% | 2.1 | 9.2% | 13.9% | -4.7% | 3.6% | 7.66 | 6.08 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | LAA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 69 | 322 | 46 | 39 | 13 | — | — | 14.1% | 12.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 6.64 | 5.62 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.75 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.78 | 4.44 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 166 | 92 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.78 | 4.44 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 104 | 18 | 252 | 1135 | 184 | 138 | 42 | 17% | 2.4 | 16.2% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 5.28 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 14 | 200 | 901 | 146 | 109 | 33 | 17% | 2.4 | 16.2% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 5.28 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Houston Harding (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.75 | 20.3% | 10.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.84 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 23 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 78 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 77 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 75 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 75 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 75 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 74 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 73 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 73 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.93 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 244 | 73 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 72 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 72 |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 72 |
| Aaron Brown L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 70 |
| Tristan Garnett L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.13 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 185 | 70 |
| Will Lamb L 2024 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 70 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 70 |
| A.J. Block L 2025 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 70 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.92 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.70 | 2.22 | 286 | 70 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 70 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.61 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 1.8% | .336 | 3.52 | 20.7% | 8.3% | 27 | -0.09 | 3.41 | 160 | 69 |