Mark Manfredi Sr.

Mark Manfredi Sr. P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 26 LHP 6'4" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99107vR 115

ERA4.33

FIP4.33

K%24.8%

BB%15.7%

K-BB%9.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3030

CMD5050

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4894.4

Whiff%

p5025.3%

p7126.0%

xwOBA vs

p340.330

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	24	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	28	12	76	332	95	43	7	43%	2.7	22.0%	14.9%	7.1%	2.7%	3.91	4.60	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	28	12	76	332	95	43	7	43%	2.7	22.0%	14.9%	7.1%	2.7%	3.91	4.60	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	28	12	76	332	95	43	7	43%	2.7	28.6%	13.0%	15.7%	2.1%	3.91	3.49	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	44	0	60	255	76	38	2	0%	1.4	24.1%	16.4%	7.7%	0.8%	3.30	3.58	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	44	0	60	255	76	38	2	0%	1.4	24.1%	16.4%	7.7%	0.8%	3.30	3.58	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	44	0	60	255	76	38	2	0%	1.4	29.8%	14.9%	14.9%	0.8%	3.30	2.90	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			10	0	12	50	13	7	0	0%	1.2	26.0%	14.0%	12.0%	0.0%	3.00	2.68	+0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	48	0	63	270	88	33	2	0%	1.3	27.6%	11.9%	15.7%	0.9%	3.88	2.75	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	48	0	63	270	88	33	2	0%	1.3	27.6%	11.9%	15.7%	0.9%	3.88	2.75	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	COL	16	0	22	97	38	9	1	0%	1.4	39.2%	9.3%	29.9%	1.0%	3.63	1.53	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	COL	22	0	28	123	37	17	1	0%	1.3	30.1%	13.8%	16.3%	0.8%	4.45	2.76	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	COL	10	0	12	50	13	7	0	0%	1.2	26.0%	14.0%	12.0%	0.0%	3.00	2.68	+0.3
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	COL	10	0	12	50	13	7	0	0%	1.2	26.0%	14.0%	12.0%	0.0%	3.00	2.68	+0.3
ROS	26	MLB MLE	COL	6	0	6	27	7	4	1	0%	1.1	24.8%	15.7%	9.2%	2.4%	4.33	4.33	+0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	COL	6	0	6	25	6	4	1	0%	1.0	24.8%	15.7%	9.2%	2.4%	4.33	4.33	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	69	297	95	37	3	—	—	31.9%	12.5%	19.4%	0.9%	3.92	2.89	+1.5
FULL	26	MLB A+C	COL	—	—	18	77	95	37	3	—	—	122.4%	48.1%	74.3%	3.4%	14.77	0.74	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	COL	66	0	69	291	71	45	7	0%	1.0	24.3%	15.3%	9.0%	2.4%	4.66	4.68	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	64	0	67	282	68	42	7	0%	1.0	24.1%	15.0%	9.1%	2.5%	4.69	4.73	-0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	COL	61	0	64	270	64	40	7	0%	1.0	23.8%	14.9%	8.9%	2.7%	4.78	4.84	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	COL	63	0	66	279	68	43	7	0%	1.0	24.3%	15.3%	9.0%	2.4%	4.66	4.68	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	61	0	64	270	65	41	7	0%	1.0	24.1%	15.0%	9.1%	2.5%	4.69	4.73	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	COL	58	0	61	258	61	38	7	0%	1.1	23.8%	14.9%	8.9%	2.7%	4.78	4.84	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		197	0	208	878	212	132	21	0%	1.1	24.2%	15.0%	9.2%	2.4%	4.60	4.27	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		189	0	200	844	204	127	20	0%	1.1	24.2%	15.0%	9.2%	2.4%	4.60	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		120	12	199	857	209	123	13	10%	1.7	24.4%	14.4%	10.0%	1.6%	3.71	3.71	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		121	12	200	863	211	124	13	10%	1.7	24.4%	14.4%	10.0%	1.6%	3.71	3.71	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mark Manfredi Sr. (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	24.1%	16.2%	2.5%	—	4.75	24.1%	9.0%	200	-0.11	—	—	—
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	90
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	84
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	83
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.90	18.7%	4.0%	103	+0.49	3.16	199	83
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	82
Christian Chamberlain L 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SU	4.33	26.3%	17.5%	2.2%	.238	3.91	20.7%	0.5%	43	-0.42	3.91	148	81
Andy Fisher L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.5%	15.4%	1.8%	.333	4.25	17.2%	6.3%	52	+0.05	3.13	167	81
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	81
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	80
Jimmy Burnette L 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	24.7%	16.3%	2.3%	.336	3.49	19.7%	4.9%	59	-0.85	3.01	158	79
Chazz Martinez L 2023 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	22.2%	12.7%	1.7%	.361	3.43	20.5%	7.7%	135	-0.33	3.09	199	79
Brian Flynn L 2016 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	21.3%	11.1%	2.0%	.258	4.39	16.6%	8.2%	198	+0.59	3.80	277	78
Caleb Wurster L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	25.0%	16.1%	2.1%	.241	10.33	13.9%	-5.0%	11	+6.17	3.42	100	78
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	78
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	78
Brendan Nail L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	22.6%	12.5%	2.7%	.311	4.39	18.9%	8.4%	53	+0.12	3.45	165	78
Adam McCreery L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	26	SU	4.29	20.7%	14.5%	2.0%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	207	78
Zac Curtis L 2018 · 4.26 FIP	26	SU	4.26	24.3%	15.6%	2.3%	.245	7.10	22.4%	6.3%	30	+2.84	2.48	236	78
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	78
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	24.1%	15.4%	0.97	4.75
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84