Brendan Cellucci

Brendan Cellucci P Buffalo Bisons

Age 28 LHP 6'4" / 211 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%22.3%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	36	0	37	173	59	28	3	0%	1.0	26.3%	18.6%	7.6%	2.4%	5.30	4.57	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	36	0	37	173	59	28	3	0%	1.0	34.1%	16.2%	17.9%	1.7%	5.30	3.23	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	10	64	290	85	44	6	22%	1.4	22.4%	17.9%	4.4%	2.7%	4.34	4.95	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	10	64	290	85	44	6	22%	1.4	29.3%	15.2%	14.1%	2.1%	4.34	3.72	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	37	0	51	241	63	32	7	0%	1.4	21.2%	14.6%	6.6%	3.3%	5.29	4.99	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	37	0	51	241	63	32	7	0%	1.4	21.2%	14.6%	6.6%	3.3%	5.29	4.99	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	37	0	51	241	63	32	7	0%	1.4	26.1%	13.3%	12.9%	2.9%	5.29	4.30	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	65	293	91	49	4	0%	1.8	26.3%	16.6%	9.7%	1.8%	4.18	3.98	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	65	293	91	49	4	0%	1.8	26.3%	16.6%	9.7%	1.8%	4.18	3.98	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	65	293	91	49	4	0%	1.8	31.1%	16.7%	14.3%	1.4%	4.18	3.36	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	30	146	35	23	3	0%	1.6	19.8%	15.0%	4.8%	2.4%	7.28	4.66	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	30	146	35	23	3	0%	1.6	19.8%	15.0%	4.8%	2.4%	7.28	4.66	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	30	146	35	23	3	0%	1.6	24.0%	15.8%	8.2%	2.1%	7.28	4.38	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	46	0	53	218	59	26	6	0%	1.2	21.5%	10.6%	10.9%	3.1%	3.06	4.33	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	46	0	53	218	59	26	6	0%	1.2	21.5%	10.6%	10.9%	3.1%	3.06	4.33	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	TOR	1	0	2	6	4	1	0	0%	1.7	66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-0.42	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	TOR	45	0	51	212	55	25	6	0%	1.1	25.9%	11.8%	14.2%	2.8%	3.16	3.96	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	TOR	21	0	22	93	21	13	3	0%	1.0	22.2%	14.4%	7.8%	2.9%	5.00	5.05	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	TOR	8	0	8	34	7	5	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	14.4%	7.8%	2.9%	5.00	5.05	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	34	8	5	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	14.4%	7.8%	2.9%	5.00	4.67	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	124	25	0%	1.1	22.2%	14.4%	7.8%	2.9%	5.00	4.67	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		217	10	300	1361	314	213	36	5%	1.4	23.1%	15.7%	7.4%	2.6%	4.65	4.57	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	7	200	907	210	142	24	5%	1.4	23.1%	15.7%	7.4%	2.6%	4.65	4.57	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brendan Cellucci (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	22.3%	14.8%	2.8%	—	5.05	22.2%	7.8%	22	+0.06	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	82
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	80
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	79
Trevor Lane L 2022 · 4.05 FIP	28	SU	4.05	22.2%	12.7%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	246	77
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.90	18.7%	4.0%	103	+0.49	3.16	199	77
Josh Osich L 2017 · 5.00 FIP	28	SU	5.00	21.4%	12.9%	3.8%	.328	4.47	21.1%	14.1%	143	-0.53	3.41	315	77
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	77
Braulio Lara L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	28	SU	5.80	19.8%	17.8%	3.9%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	118	77
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	76
Sam Freeman L 2015 · 4.21 FIP	28	SU	4.21	23.4%	14.6%	2.2%	.265	3.52	22.0%	10.3%	166	-0.69	3.03	299	76
Adam Loewen L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	31	SU	3.84	25.1%	15.9%	1.6%	.287	3.63	23.2%	7.3%	98	-0.21	2.96	176	75
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	74
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	74
Keith Hessler L 2017 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	15.5%	11.8%	3.5%	.324	4.96	19.8%	6.5%	53	-0.22	3.31	228	73
Rex Brothers L 2015 · 4.05 FIP	27	SU	4.05	27.2%	23.5%	0.5%	.286	4.05	26.4%	9.1%	64	+0.00	3.10	205	73
Bryan Harper L 2018 · 4.63 FIP	28	SU	4.63	14.9%	13.9%	1.9%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	133	73
Jordan Harrison L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	28	SU	3.80	19.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	244	72
Zac Rosscup L 2015 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	24.6%	11.0%	4.4%	.296	2.85	29.5%	21.7%	40	-1.99	2.56	160	72
Jack Leathersich L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	28	SU	4.55	21.7%	19.8%	1.4%	.224	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	101	72
Hunter Schryver L 2022 · 4.00 FIP	27	SU	4.00	17.7%	12.8%	1.4%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	206	72