Brendan Cellucci
P
Buffalo Bisons
Age 28
LHP
6'4" / 211 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108118vR 127
ERA4.76
FIP4.76
K%23.1%
BB%13.5%
K-BB%9.6%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 36 | 0 | 37 | 173 | 59 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.3% | 18.6% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 5.30 | 4.76 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 36 | 0 | 37 | 173 | 59 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.1% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 1.7% | 5.30 | 3.23 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 10 | 64 | 290 | 85 | 44 | 6 | 22% | 1.4 | 22.4% | 17.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.34 | 4.95 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 10 | 64 | 290 | 85 | 44 | 6 | 22% | 1.4 | 29.3% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 2.1% | 4.34 | 3.72 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 37 | 0 | 51 | 241 | 63 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.2% | 14.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 5.29 | 4.91 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 37 | 0 | 51 | 241 | 63 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.1% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 5.29 | 4.30 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 65 | 293 | 91 | 49 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 26.3% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 1.8% | 4.18 | 3.96 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 65 | 293 | 91 | 49 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 31.1% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 1.4% | 4.18 | 3.36 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 30 | 146 | 35 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.0% | 17.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 7.28 | 4.89 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 30 | 146 | 35 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.0% | 15.8% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 7.28 | 4.38 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 29 | 0 | 31 | 132 | 36 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 3.82 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TOR | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TOR | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 54 | 229 | 58 | 29 | 7 | — | — | 25.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 23.1% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.44 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 115 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.44 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 200 | 10 | 278 | 1275 | 299 | 210 | 34 | 5% | 1.4 | 23.4% | 16.5% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 4.86 | 4.66 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 144 | 7 | 200 | 918 | 215 | 151 | 24 | 5% | 1.4 | 23.4% | 16.5% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 4.86 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brendan Cellucci (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.76 | 23.1% | 13.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.84 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 22 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 81 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.61 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 1.8% | .336 | 3.52 | 20.7% | 8.3% | 27 | -0.09 | 3.41 | 160 | 81 |
| Aaron Brown L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 80 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 80 |
| Josh Edgin L 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .359 | 3.67 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.09 | 3.36 | 113 | 79 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 79 |
| Josh Osich L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.01 | 21.4% | 12.9% | 3.8% | .328 | 4.42 | 21.1% | 14.1% | 143 | -0.59 | 3.47 | 315 | 79 |
| Trevor Lane L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.04 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 246 | 78 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 78 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 77 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 77 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 76 |
| Dan Runzler L 2028 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.77 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.24 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.47 | 3.77 | 127 | 76 |
| Mike Dunn L 2028 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 76 |
| A.J. Block L 2025 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 76 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 2.3% | .265 | 3.53 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 166 | -0.70 | 3.03 | 299 | 76 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 75 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 75 |
| Adam Loewen L 2029 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 75 |
| Tommy Layne L 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 75 |