Sam Moll
P
Cincinnati Reds
+0.3
WAR
Age 34
LHP
5'9" / 190 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA3.95
FIP4.14
xFIP5.11
SIERA4.61
K%24.2%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%14.7%
IP33
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL4040
CMD5050
K†5555
SL+1.8 (40%)
CH (16%)
FB (45%)
SI (36%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | 38 | 0 | 68 | 264 | 74 | 16 | 7 | 21.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.63 | 4.38 | +0.5 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 44 | 0 | 49 | 215 | 44 | 18 | 5 | 16.4% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 4.74 | 4.12 | +0.5 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 61 | 0 | 61 | 278 | 54 | 22 | 6 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 4.43 | 3.80 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 15 | 0 | 19 | 88 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 19.0% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 5.30 | 2.89 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 41 | 0 | 49 | 213 | 54 | 20 | 1 | 20.2% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 2.39 | 2.80 | +1.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 41 | 0 | 46 | 200 | 55 | 25 | 6 | 26.5% | 13.5% | 3.8% | 4.34 | 4.64 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 53 | 0 | 43 | 187 | 46 | 16 | 5 | 24.6% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 2.91 | 3.69 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 70 | 1 | 62 | 268 | 68 | 22 | 2 | 25.4% | 8.2% | 0.7% | 3.03 | 2.35 | +1.8 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 57 | 0 | 46 | 192 | 47 | 15 | 4 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 3.91 | 2.93 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 51 | 0 | 45 | 194 | 49 | 20 | 6 | 23.6% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 5.56 | 4.18 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.93 | — | — |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | CIN | 24 | — | 24 | 100 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 3.85 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 34 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 33 | 138 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 1.9% | 3.31 | 3.01 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 31 | — | 31 | 132 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 22.5% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 4.15 | 4.35 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | CIN | 29 | — | 29 | 123 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.37 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 480 | 1 | 498 | 2137 | 469 | 196 | 46 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 3.74 | 3.60 | +9.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 193 | 0 | 200 | 858 | 188 | 79 | 18 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 3.74 | 3.60 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sam Moll (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.19 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 2.7% | — | 4.43 | 22.1% | 11.4% | 60 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Francisley Bueno L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 3.99 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.21 | 3.51 | 138 | 78 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.97 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 181 | 76 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.75 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .310 | 3.42 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 49 | -0.33 | 2.97 | 117 | 76 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.83 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.6% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 127 | 76 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.48 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 3.98 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 32 | -0.50 | 2.66 | 166 | 75 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.02 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 73 |
| Boone Logan L 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.22 | 24.1% | 12.1% | 4.8% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 113 | 72 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.89 | 14.0% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 127 | 71 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.84 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | .269 | 2.55 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.29 | 2.19 | 195 | 71 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.02 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 259 | 70 |
| Manny Parra L 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.33 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.90 | 2.43 | 114 | 70 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.32 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .296 | 2.55 | 29.1% | 23.7% | 120 | -0.77 | 1.56 | 219 | 69 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.59 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 190 | 69 |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 68 |
| Adam Loewen L 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.20 | 23.4% | 17.4% | 1.6% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 176 | 67 |
| Colt Hynes L 2024 · 3.79 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.79 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 152 | 66 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.04 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.48 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.56 | 4.28 | 159 | 66 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.03 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 280 | 66 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 154 | 65 |
| Gio Gonzalez L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.84 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 3.7% | .362 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 864 | 65 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.