C.J. Widger — OGILVIE

C.J. Widger P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 28 LHP 6'6" / 170 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123131vR 139

ERA5.58

FIP5.58

K%19.9%

BB%16.9%

K-BB%3.0%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	28	117	35	5	2	0%	1.4	16.6%	3.1%	13.4%	3.2%	1.91	3.83	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	28	117	35	5	2	0%	1.4	29.9%	4.3%	25.6%	1.7%	1.91	2.08	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	39	170	59	23	3	0%	1.1	26.0%	16.0%	10.0%	2.3%	5.03	4.21	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	39	170	59	23	3	0%	1.1	26.0%	16.0%	10.0%	2.3%	5.03	4.21	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	39	170	59	23	3	0%	1.1	34.7%	13.5%	21.2%	1.8%	5.03	2.85	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	33	0	35	171	41	28	5	0%	1.1	18.5%	18.8%	-0.4%	3.9%	7.64	6.06	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	33	0	35	171	41	28	5	0%	1.1	18.5%	18.8%	-0.4%	3.9%	7.64	6.06	—
2025	26	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	33	0	35	171	41	28	5	0%	1.1	24.0%	16.4%	7.6%	2.9%	7.64	5.00	—
2026	27	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	22	0	22	110	25	18	2	0%	1.0	17.5%	18.8%	-1.3%	2.3%	6.95	5.25	—
2026	27	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	22	0	22	110	25	18	2	0%	1.0	17.5%	18.8%	-1.3%	2.3%	6.95	5.25	—
2026	27	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	22	0	22	110	25	18	2	0%	1.0	22.7%	16.4%	6.4%	1.8%	6.95	4.46	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	SD	15	0	16	68	13	11	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	16.9%	3.0%	3.0%	5.58	5.58	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SD	19	0	20	84	17	14	3	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.3%	3.7%	3.1%	5.53	5.58	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	SD	6	0	6	25	5	4	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	16.3%	3.7%	3.1%	5.53	5.58	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	5	4	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	16.3%	3.7%	3.1%	5.53	5.20	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	132	33	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.3%	3.7%	3.1%	5.53	5.20	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		112	0	125	568	114	84	17	0%	1.1	20.2%	14.8%	5.4%	3.0%	5.40	4.89	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		179	0	200	909	183	134	27	0%	1.1	20.2%	14.8%	5.4%	3.0%	5.40	4.89	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
C.J. Widger (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.58	19.9%	16.9%	3.0%	—	5.58	20.0%	3.7%	20	+0.00	—	—	—
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	87
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	82
Braulio Lara L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	28	SU	5.80	19.8%	17.8%	3.9%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	118	82
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	80
Bryan Harper L 2018 · 4.63 FIP	28	SU	4.63	14.9%	13.9%	1.9%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	133	76
Andrew Mitchell L 2022 · 6.04 FIP	27	SU	6.04	18.2%	17.0%	4.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	119	76
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	76
Travis Bergen L 2022 · 4.93 FIP	28	SU	4.93	19.3%	20.5%	1.6%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	143	75
Jack Leathersich L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	28	SU	4.55	21.7%	19.8%	1.4%	.224	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	101	75
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	74
Keith Hessler L 2017 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	15.5%	11.8%	3.5%	.324	4.96	19.8%	6.5%	53	-0.22	3.31	228	74
Justin Wright L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	26	SU	4.42	14.7%	13.7%	1.5%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	109	73
Josh Osich L 2017 · 5.00 FIP	28	SU	5.00	21.4%	12.9%	3.8%	.328	4.47	21.1%	14.1%	143	-0.53	3.41	315	73
R.C. Orlan L 2019 · 6.15 FIP	28	SU	6.15	13.8%	19.5%	3.2%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	1.71	206	72
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	72
Cam Booser L 2022 · 6.54 FIP	30	SU	6.54	20.8%	20.7%	4.7%	.350	4.49	24.8%	15.2%	157	-2.05	2.76	314	72
Kit Scheetz L 2021 · 5.08 FIP	27	SU	5.08	16.2%	13.6%	2.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.34	195	72
Armando Almanza L 2001 · 5.21 FIP	28	SU	5.21	25.3%	14.0%	4.5%	.260	4.73	25.3%	14.7%	108	-0.48	2.90	211	72
Pedro Feliciano L 2004 · 4.85 FIP	27	SU	4.85	17.1%	14.6%	2.4%	.222	3.09	21.7%	13.0%	124	-1.76	2.69	378	71
Matt Thornton L 2005 · 5.92 FIP	28	SU	5.92	21.8%	15.3%	5.0%	.270	2.98	24.4%	17.2%	178	-2.94	1.71	663	71