Mitchell Tyranski
P
Knoxville Smokies
Age 28
LHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116126vR 135
ERA5.14
FIP5.14
K%20.8%
BB%16.4%
K-BB%4.4%
ROS IP66
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Mota | 6 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 44.8% | 3.4% | 41.4% | 0.0% | 1.12 | -0.25 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Mota | 6 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 44.8% | 3.4% | 41.4% | 0.0% | 1.12 | 0.23 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 36 | 1 | 42 | 177 | 47 | 21 | 5 | 3% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.83 | 5.25 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 36 | 1 | 42 | 177 | 47 | 21 | 5 | 3% | 1.2 | 26.6% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 2.8% | 3.83 | 3.90 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 53 | 213 | 59 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 3.25 | 5.12 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 53 | 213 | 59 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 27.7% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 2.3% | 3.25 | 3.40 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 47 | 0 | 57 | 233 | 59 | 35 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.5% | 16.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 2.37 | 3.46 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 47 | 0 | 57 | 233 | 59 | 35 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.3% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 2.37 | 2.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 61 | 48 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 16.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 5.14 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 58 | 44 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 15.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 5.13 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 54 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 15.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.20 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 18 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 15.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 5.13 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 15.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.20 | 5.30 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 50 | 0 | 53 | 222 | 46 | 35 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 15.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 5.17 | 4.87 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 175 | 133 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 15.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 5.17 | 4.87 | +1.2 | ||
| Career | — | 123 | 1 | 160 | 652 | 142 | 90 | 16 | 1% | 1.3 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 2.98 | 4.32 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 1 | 200 | 815 | 177 | 112 | 20 | 1% | 1.3 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 2.98 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mitchell Tyranski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.14 | 20.8% | 16.4% | 2.4% | — | 5.24 | 20.8% | 5.0% | 128 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 81 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.86 | 19.8% | 17.8% | 4.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 118 | 78 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.72 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 2.1% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 133 | 77 |
| Trey Jeans L 2024 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 76 |
| Justin Wright L 2024 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.48 | 14.7% | 13.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.28 | 109 | 76 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 75 |
| Josh Osich L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.01 | 21.4% | 12.9% | 3.8% | .328 | 4.42 | 21.1% | 14.1% | 143 | -0.59 | 3.47 | 315 | 74 |
| Rex Brothers L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.02 | 27.2% | 23.5% | 0.5% | .286 | 4.09 | 26.4% | 9.1% | 64 | +0.07 | 3.10 | 205 | 74 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.04 | 15.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .324 | 4.73 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 53 | -0.31 | 3.33 | 228 | 74 |
| Jack Leathersich L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.46 | 21.7% | 19.8% | 1.3% | .224 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 101 | 73 |
| Kit Scheetz L 2025 · 5.20 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.20 | 16.2% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 195 | 73 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 2.3% | .265 | 3.53 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 166 | -0.70 | 3.03 | 299 | 73 |
| Will Lamb L 2024 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 73 |
| Hayden Harris L 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.0% | 19.6% | 1.4% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.86 | 180 | 72 |
| Luke Westphal L 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.63 | 21.2% | 19.7% | 1.5% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 294 | 72 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2024 · 5.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.07 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 152 | 72 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.28 | 16.1% | 16.0% | 0.9% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 226 | 72 |
| Tyler Thomas L 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.90 | 18.9% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 279 | 72 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 72 |
| Travis Bergen L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.3% | 20.5% | 1.4% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 143 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 20.8% | 16.0% | 1.02 | 5.16 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |