Mitchell Tyranski

Mitchell Tyranski P Knoxville Smokies

Age 28 LHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 131

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%20.8%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%4.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3030

CMD4040

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Mota	6	0	8	29	13	1	0	0%	1.3	44.8%	3.4%	41.4%	0.0%	1.12	-0.25	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers Mota	6	0	8	29	13	1	0	0%	1.3	44.8%	3.4%	41.4%	0.0%	1.12	0.23	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	36	1	42	177	47	21	5	3%	1.2	20.4%	13.6%	6.8%	3.7%	3.83	5.14	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	36	1	42	177	47	21	5	3%	1.2	20.4%	13.6%	6.8%	3.7%	3.83	5.14	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	36	1	42	177	47	21	5	3%	1.2	26.6%	11.9%	14.7%	2.8%	3.83	3.90	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	0	53	213	59	23	5	0%	1.5	21.0%	12.3%	8.7%	3.7%	3.25	4.90	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	0	53	213	59	23	5	0%	1.5	21.0%	12.3%	8.7%	3.7%	3.25	4.90	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	0	53	213	59	23	5	0%	1.5	27.7%	10.8%	16.9%	2.3%	3.25	3.40	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	47	0	57	233	59	35	0	0%	1.2	20.5%	16.5%	4.0%	0.0%	2.37	3.46	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	47	0	57	233	59	35	0	0%	1.2	20.5%	16.5%	4.0%	0.0%	2.37	3.46	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	47	0	57	233	59	35	0	0%	1.2	25.3%	15.0%	10.3%	0.0%	2.37	2.87	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CHC	6	0	6	25	5	4	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	16.4%	4.4%	2.4%	5.13	5.13	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CHC	63	0	66	280	58	45	7	0%	1.1	20.8%	16.0%	4.9%	2.6%	5.13	5.18	-0.5
2028	30	MLB MLE	CHC	59	0	62	263	54	41	7	0%	1.1	20.7%	15.7%	4.9%	2.8%	5.20	5.29	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	CHC	20	0	21	89	18	14	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	16.0%	4.9%	2.6%	5.13	5.18	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	CHC	30	0	32	135	28	21	4	0%	1.1	20.7%	15.7%	4.9%	2.8%	5.20	5.29	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	53	222	46	35	6	0%	1.1	20.7%	15.8%	4.9%	2.8%	5.17	4.87	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	133	23	0%	1.1	20.7%	15.8%	4.9%	2.8%	5.17	4.87	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		123	1	160	652	142	90	14	1%	1.3	21.7%	13.8%	8.0%	2.2%	2.98	4.22	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	1	200	815	177	112	18	1%	1.3	21.7%	13.8%	8.0%	2.2%	2.98	4.22	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mitchell Tyranski (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	20.8%	16.4%	2.4%	—	5.23	20.8%	4.9%	128	+0.10	—	—	—
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	81
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	80
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.90	18.7%	4.0%	103	+0.49	3.16	199	79
Braulio Lara L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	28	SU	5.80	19.8%	17.8%	3.9%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	118	78
Bryan Harper L 2018 · 4.63 FIP	28	SU	4.63	14.9%	13.9%	1.9%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	133	77
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	76
Justin Wright L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	26	SU	4.42	14.7%	13.7%	1.5%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	109	76
Rex Brothers L 2015 · 4.05 FIP	27	SU	4.05	27.2%	23.5%	0.5%	.286	4.05	26.4%	9.1%	64	+0.00	3.10	205	75
Jack Leathersich L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	28	SU	4.55	21.7%	19.8%	1.4%	.224	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	101	74
Kit Scheetz L 2021 · 5.08 FIP	27	SU	5.08	16.2%	13.6%	2.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.34	195	74
Josh Osich L 2017 · 5.00 FIP	28	SU	5.00	21.4%	12.9%	3.8%	.328	4.47	21.1%	14.1%	143	-0.53	3.41	315	73
Sam Freeman L 2015 · 4.21 FIP	28	SU	4.21	23.4%	14.6%	2.2%	.265	3.52	22.0%	10.3%	166	-0.69	3.03	299	73
Keith Hessler L 2017 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	15.5%	11.8%	3.5%	.324	4.96	19.8%	6.5%	53	-0.22	3.31	228	73
Luke Westphal L 2016 · 4.69 FIP	27	SU	4.69	21.2%	19.7%	1.6%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	294	73
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	72
Matt Purke L 2018 · 4.29 FIP	28	SU	4.29	16.1%	16.0%	0.9%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	226	72
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	72
Travis Bergen L 2022 · 4.93 FIP	28	SU	4.93	19.3%	20.5%	1.6%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	143	72
Hunter Schryver L 2022 · 4.00 FIP	27	SU	4.00	17.7%	12.8%	1.4%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	206	71
Andrew Mitchell L 2022 · 6.04 FIP	27	SU	6.04	18.2%	17.0%	4.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	119	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	20.8%	16.1%	1.01	5.15
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99