Tristan Garnett
P
Reading Fightin Phils
+0.2
WAR
Age 28
LHP
6'6" / 240 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.23
FIP4.23
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%24.3%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%13.4%
IP26
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 7 | 0 | 12 | 62 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 15.4% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 6.57 | 5.81 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 23 | 0 | 35 | 136 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 28.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.80 | 2.50 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 46 | 0 | 51 | 205 | 56 | 18 | 2 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 1.5% | 1.94 | 3.37 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 34 | 0 | 41 | 180 | 56 | 26 | 2 | 24.4% | 15.9% | 1.3% | 2.63 | 3.76 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 25 | 0 | 31 | 136 | 44 | 15 | 1 | 27.5% | 12.1% | 1.1% | 2.03 | 2.90 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 9.82 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 26 | — | 26 | 111 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 24.3% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 30 | 129 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 24.0% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 4.91 | 3.71 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 26 | — | 26 | 109 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 24.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.27 | 4.29 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 138 | 0 | 174 | 737 | 178 | 80 | 15 | 24.1% | 10.8% | 2.0% | 2.59 | 3.54 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 159 | 0 | 200 | 847 | 205 | 92 | 17 | 24.1% | 10.8% | 2.0% | 2.59 | 3.54 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tristan Garnett (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.23 | 24.3% | 10.9% | 2.6% | — | 4.29 | 24.1% | 13.3% | 26 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Boone Logan L 2028 · 3.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.05 | 26.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .352 | 3.11 | 29.7% | 20.6% | 78 | +0.06 | 2.64 | 113 | 84 |
| Edward Paredes L 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.47 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.55 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.08 | 2.37 | 130 | 83 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.19 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .308 | 5.03 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.48 | 134 | 83 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.67 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 2.0% | .336 | 3.47 | 20.7% | 8.3% | 27 | -0.20 | 3.47 | 160 | 82 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.25 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.15 | 2.32 | 455 | 81 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 3.9% | .296 | 2.82 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -1.75 | 2.58 | 160 | 81 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.74 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 176 | 81 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .348 | 4.07 | 19.2% | 8.0% | 39 | +0.73 | 3.02 | 153 | 80 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 80 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.58 | 25.2% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.84 | 238 | 79 |
| Mike Dunn L 2028 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.77 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.21 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.44 | 3.70 | 181 | 79 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .267 | 3.20 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 124 | 79 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.09 | 26.3% | 8.8% | 2.0% | .306 | 2.42 | 32.5% | 28.6% | 135 | -0.67 | 1.42 | 259 | 78 |
| Josh Edgin L 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.63 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.3% | .359 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.20 | 3.62 | 113 | 78 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.35 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.5% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 77 |
| Trevor Lane L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.05 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.14 | 246 | 77 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 76 |
| Tommy Layne L 2028 · 3.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.64 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.27 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.37 | 1.32 | 182 | 76 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 76 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.82 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 244 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.