Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 7 | 0 | 12 | 62 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 15.4% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.57 | 5.81 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 7 | 0 | 12 | 62 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | 6.57 | 4.40 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 0 | 35 | 136 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.7% | 4.3% | 24.4% | 2.3% | 1.80 | 2.50 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 0 | 35 | 136 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 36.0% | 3.7% | 32.4% | 1.5% | 1.80 | 1.47 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 51 | 205 | 56 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 1.7% | 1.94 | 3.49 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 51 | 205 | 56 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.3% | 8.8% | 18.5% | 1.0% | 1.94 | 2.47 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 41 | 180 | 56 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.4% | 15.9% | 8.5% | 1.1% | 2.63 | 3.68 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 41 | 180 | 56 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.1% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 1.1% | 2.63 | 2.90 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 0 | 31 | 136 | 44 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.5% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 1.0% | 2.03 | 2.88 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 0 | 31 | 136 | 44 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.4% | 11.0% | 21.3% | 0.7% | 2.03 | 2.13 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 25 | 0 | 30 | 135 | 33 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 4.20 | 4.13 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 18 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 4.23 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 48 | 213 | 52 | 20 | 5 | — | — | 24.4% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 2.4% | 4.21 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 24.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 3.85 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 3.98 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 91 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 160 | 0 | 200 | 854 | 200 | 92 | 17 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 1.9% | 2.70 | 3.54 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 160 | 0 | 200 | 853 | 200 | 92 | 16 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 1.9% | 2.70 | 3.54 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tristan Garnett (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.23 | 24.3% | 10.9% | 2.6% | — | 4.37 | 24.0% | 13.0% | 20 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.21 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.19 | 2.33 | 455 | 83 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 82 |
| Edward Paredes L 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 82 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.31 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .348 | 4.21 | 19.2% | 8.0% | 39 | +0.90 | 3.04 | 153 | 81 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.61 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 1.8% | .336 | 3.52 | 20.7% | 8.3% | 27 | -0.09 | 3.41 | 160 | 81 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 80 |
| Mike Dunn L 2028 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 80 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2027 · 3.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.04 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 1.7% | .238 | 5.18 | 22.6% | 11.3% | 88 | +2.14 | 3.04 | 145 | 80 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 79 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 79 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 78 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 78 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.63 | 25.2% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.84 | 238 | 77 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.20 | 25.5% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .329 | 4.44 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 59 | +0.24 | 2.66 | 230 | 77 |
| Josh Edgin L 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .359 | 3.67 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.09 | 3.36 | 113 | 77 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 77 |
| Trevor Lane L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.04 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 246 | 77 |
| Aaron Brown L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 76 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.80 | 26.8% | 8.9% | 3.4% | .242 | 4.68 | 22.9% | 11.7% | 109 | +0.88 | 3.80 | 172 | 76 |
| Brendan Cellucci L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.71 | 22.3% | 12.5% | 3.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.96 | 265 | 76 |