Tristan Garnett P Reading Fightin Phils
Age 28 LHP 6'6" / 240 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97106vR 115
ERA4.23
FIP4.23
K%24.3%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
K: +0.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +2.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.21 (48 IP)+0.2WAR
0.10.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202123ROKFCL Phillies70126214620%1.815.4%12.1%3.3%4.5%6.575.81
202123ROKFCL Phillies70126214620%1.822.6%9.7%12.9%3.2%6.574.40
202224MIX3 levels2303513649520%1.528.7%4.3%24.4%2.3%1.802.50
202224MIX3 levels2303513649520%1.536.0%3.7%32.4%1.5%1.801.47
202325MIX2 levels46051205561820%1.121.4%10.0%11.4%1.7%1.943.49
202325MIX2 levels46051205561820%1.127.3%8.8%18.5%1.0%1.942.47
202426MIX3 levels34041180562620%1.224.4%15.9%8.5%1.1%2.633.68
202426MIX3 levels34041180562620%1.231.1%14.4%16.7%1.1%2.632.90
202527MIX3 levels25031136441510%1.227.5%12.1%15.4%1.0%2.032.88
202527MIX3 levels25031136441510%1.232.4%11.0%21.3%0.7%2.032.13
▸ 2026 Season
202628AAReading Fightin Phils25030135331230%1.219.8%9.8%10.0%2.7%4.204.13+0.1
ROS28MLBPHI180187819820%1.024.3%10.9%13.4%2.6%4.234.23+0.1
ROS28MLBPHI024.3%10.9%13.4%2.6%4.234.23
2026 TOT28MLBPHI482135220524.4%9.6%14.8%2.4%4.214.17+0.2
2026 FULL28MLBPHI0200024.3%10.9%13.4%2.6%4.233.85+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBPHI190208420920%1.124.0%10.9%13.0%2.8%4.314.37+0.0
202729MLBPHI606256310%1.024.0%10.9%13.0%2.8%4.314.37+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career607287310%1.124.0%10.9%13.1%2.8%4.313.98+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084421191300%1.124.0%10.9%13.1%2.8%4.313.98+3.3
Career160020085420092170%1.323.5%10.8%12.7%1.9%2.703.54+4.3
/ 200 IP160020085320092160%1.323.5%10.8%12.7%1.9%2.703.54+4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Tristan Garnett (OGILVIE) 4.23 24.3%10.9%2.6% 4.37 24.0%13.0%20 +0.14
Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.40 FIP 28 SU 3.40 26.5%11.9%1.9%.310 3.21 27.0%15.3%106 -0.19 2.33 455 83
Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP 28 SU 4.24 21.3%9.8%3.1%.308 5.05 13.8%-5.1%35 +0.81 3.43 134 82
Edward Paredes L 2027 · 3.49 FIP 29 SU 3.49 24.1%13.0%1.4%.225 3.53 23.7%14.0%86 +0.04 2.29 130 82
Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 3.31 FIP 28 SU 3.31 23.2%9.5%1.8%.348 4.21 19.2%8.0%39 +0.90 3.04 153 81
Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.61 FIP 28 SU 3.61 24.7%12.4%1.8%.336 3.52 20.7%8.3%27 -0.09 3.41 160 81
Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP 28 SU 3.84 21.1%7.3%2.9%.267 3.21 23.3%15.2%73 -0.63 2.44 124 80
Mike Dunn L 2028 · 3.76 FIP 30 SU 3.76 27.7%11.9%2.7%.294 4.09 22.5%10.9%110 +0.33 3.72 181 80
Antonio Bastardo L 2027 · 3.04 FIP 29 SU 3.04 26.8%10.0%1.7%.238 5.18 22.6%11.3%88 +2.14 3.04 145 80
Kevin Siegrist L 2026 · 4.00 FIP 28 SU 4.00 25.0%11.6%2.8%.327 2.67 176 79
Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 4.69 FIP 27 SU 4.69 24.6%11.0%4.1%.296 2.67 29.5%21.7%40 -2.02 2.51 160 79
Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP 29 SU 4.06 18.8%11.2%2.1%.291 3.73 15.1%2.7%48 -0.33 3.73 108 78
Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.62 FIP 28 SU 3.62 17.8%9.7%1.5%.321 3.39 19.2%13.8%66 -0.23 2.95 101 78
Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 3.63 FIP 28 SU 3.63 25.2%8.8%2.8%.314 1.84 238 77
Josh Smoker L 2026 · 4.20 FIP 28 SU 4.20 25.5%9.4%3.8%.329 4.44 20.2%11.3%59 +0.24 2.66 230 77
Josh Edgin L 2027 · 3.58 FIP 29 SU 3.58 22.1%13.2%1.2%.359 3.67 23.2%13.6%80 +0.09 3.36 113 77
Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.01 FIP 27 SU 4.01 22.8%10.1%2.9%.336 2.69 221 77
Trevor Lane L 2026 · 4.04 FIP 28 SU 4.04 22.2%12.7%2.2%.317 2.07 246 77
Aaron Brown L 2025 · 3.88 FIP 27 SU 3.88 22.9%13.5%1.8%.317 4.79 19.4%6.7%129 +0.91 3.88 269 76
Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 3.80 FIP 28 SU 3.80 26.8%8.9%3.4%.242 4.68 22.9%11.7%109 +0.88 3.80 172 76
Brendan Cellucci L 2026 · 4.71 FIP 28 SU 4.71 22.3%12.5%3.5%.333 3.96 265 76