Hunter Barco
P
Indianapolis Indians
Age 25
LHP
6'4" / 229 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 71 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 92101vR 110
ERA4.00
FIP4.00
K%23.3%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%11.3%
ROS IP71
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 123 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4794.3
Whiff%
p1015.2%
K%
p1013.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.390
SI (26%)
CH-0.5 (7%)
FB-0.8 (61%)
SL-2.3 (27%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 8 | 18 | 78 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89% | 2.0 | 35.9% | 7.7% | 28.2% | 0.0% | 3.44 | 1.04 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 8 | 18 | 78 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89% | 2.0 | 35.9% | 7.7% | 28.2% | 0.0% | 3.44 | 1.03 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 16 | 66 | 266 | 83 | 22 | 5 | 89% | 3.7 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 2.0% | 3.27 | 3.51 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 16 | 66 | 266 | 83 | 22 | 5 | 89% | 3.7 | 31.2% | 8.3% | 22.9% | 1.9% | 3.27 | 2.57 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 23 | 102 | 429 | 119 | 49 | 5 | 79% | 3.5 | 23.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 1.6% | 2.73 | 3.53 | +2.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 23 | 102 | 429 | 119 | 49 | 5 | 79% | 3.5 | 27.7% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 1.2% | 2.73 | 2.85 | +3.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 17 | 7 | 52 | 248 | 55 | 28 | 6 | 41% | 3.1 | 20.3% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 5.54 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PIT | 67 | 0 | 71 | 298 | 69 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 2.4% | 4.00 | 4.00 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PIT | 68 | 0 | 71 | 300 | 70 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 2.4% | 4.00 | 4.00 | +0.7 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 123 | 546 | 124 | 64 | 13 | — | — | 22.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 2.4% | 4.65 | 4.13 | +1.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 82 | 347 | 124 | 64 | 13 | — | — | 35.9% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 3.8% | 6.94 | 4.51 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 20 | 20 | 122 | 516 | 116 | 62 | 14 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.61 | 4.60 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 20 | 20 | 120 | 509 | 114 | 60 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.60 | 4.61 | +1.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 19 | 19 | 116 | 490 | 110 | 59 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.61 | 4.60 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 19 | 19 | 114 | 481 | 108 | 57 | 13 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.60 | 4.61 | +1.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 113 | 38 | 316 | 1344 | 300 | 161 | 37 | 34% | 2.8 | 22.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.25 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 24 | 200 | 851 | 190 | 102 | 23 | 34% | 2.8 | 22.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 73 | 54 | 239 | 1021 | 243 | 115 | 19 | 74% | 3.3 | 23.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 1.8% | 3.54 | 3.52 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 45 | 200 | 856 | 204 | 96 | 16 | 74% | 3.3 | 23.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 1.8% | 3.54 | 3.52 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hunter Barco (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.31 | 24.1% | 12.1% | 2.4% | — | 4.60 | 22.5% | 10.6% | 243 | +0.29 | — | — | — |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 75 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 70 |
| Jojo Ingrassia L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.97 | 26.7% | 13.8% | 2.5% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.60 | 112 | 68 |
| Cole Reynolds L 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.26 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 2.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.81 | 108 | 67 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2025 · 5.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.49 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.8% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 121 | 67 |
| Rio Britton L 2024 · 4.77 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.77 | 22.0% | 15.8% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 128 | 66 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .322 | 5.90 | 28.8% | 13.9% | 13 | +2.06 | 3.84 | 249 | 65 |
| Connor Oliver L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.91 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 200 | 65 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.77 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 154 | 65 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 156 | 64 |
| Brandon Knarr L 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.94 | 24.8% | 16.0% | 3.5% | .450 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 256 | 64 |
| Taylor Lehman L 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.34 | 23.1% | 17.3% | 0.0% | .359 | 4.83 | 20.8% | 5.5% | 107 | +1.49 | 2.95 | 171 | 63 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 63 |
| Justin Steele L 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.95 | 20.0% | 12.9% | 1.7% | .400 | 3.63 | 24.2% | 14.1% | 203 | -0.32 | 2.71 | 785 | 63 |
| Nick Margevicius L 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.81 | 20.0% | 11.7% | 3.5% | .282 | 5.04 | 15.7% | 8.7% | 118 | +0.23 | 1.74 | 525 | 62 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 62 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.50 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .357 | 4.17 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 143 | +0.67 | 3.21 | 439 | 61 |
| Edgar Barclay L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.79 | 24.5% | 13.6% | 3.7% | .307 | 5.60 | 16.5% | 4.9% | 157 | +0.81 | 2.06 | 402 | 61 |
| Zac Lowther L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.60 | 20.9% | 10.6% | 3.5% | .328 | 5.76 | 17.8% | 7.2% | 44 | +1.16 | 3.02 | 375 | 61 |
| Jacques Pucheu L 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.21 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 134 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 108 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 4.53 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |