Rodney Boone — OGILVIE

Rodney Boone P Akron RubberDucks

Age 26 LHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.7 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.54

FIP4.54

K%18.2%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%10.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†4545

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	114	467	137	29	18	100%	5.0	22.2%	7.2%	15.0%	4.3%	3.54	4.51	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	114	467	137	29	18	100%	5.0	29.3%	6.2%	23.1%	3.9%	3.54	3.51	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	18	17	80	348	90	32	14	94%	4.4	19.9%	10.6%	9.3%	4.7%	4.95	5.36	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	18	17	80	348	90	32	14	94%	4.4	19.9%	10.6%	9.3%	4.7%	4.95	5.36	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	18	17	80	348	90	32	14	94%	4.4	25.9%	9.2%	16.7%	4.0%	4.95	4.33	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	9	7	39	157	35	14	4	78%	4.3	18.1%	9.8%	8.2%	3.2%	3.26	4.56	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	9	7	39	157	35	14	4	78%	4.3	18.1%	9.8%	8.2%	3.2%	3.26	4.56	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	9	7	39	157	35	14	4	78%	4.3	22.3%	8.9%	13.4%	2.5%	3.26	3.72	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	18	18	78	315	72	22	5	100%	4.3	18.5%	7.7%	10.8%	2.1%	2.31	3.64	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	18	18	78	315	72	22	5	100%	4.3	18.5%	7.7%	10.8%	2.1%	2.31	3.64	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	18	18	78	315	72	22	5	100%	4.3	22.9%	7.0%	15.9%	1.6%	2.31	2.93	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	CLE	1	1	6	25	5	2	1	100%	6.0	18.2%	8.2%	10.0%	2.8%	4.54	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CLE	12	12	69	292	55	25	8	100%	5.8	18.7%	8.4%	10.3%	2.9%	4.54	4.55	+0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	CLE	11	11	67	283	54	24	8	100%	6.1	18.9%	8.6%	10.3%	3.0%	4.58	4.62	+0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	CLE	11	11	64	270	51	24	9	100%	5.8	18.9%	8.9%	10.1%	3.1%	4.66	4.73	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	CLE	4	4	26	110	21	9	3	100%	6.5	18.7%	8.4%	10.3%	2.9%	4.54	4.55	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CLE	7	7	40	169	32	15	5	100%	5.7	18.9%	8.6%	10.3%	3.0%	4.58	4.62	+0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	CLE	8	8	45	190	36	17	6	100%	5.6	18.9%	8.9%	10.1%	3.1%	4.66	4.73	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	19	111	469	89	41	14	100%	5.8	18.9%	8.7%	10.2%	3.0%	4.60	4.26	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	160	74	25	100%	6.0	18.9%	8.7%	10.2%	3.0%	4.60	4.26	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		68	65	311	1287	260	110	48	96%	4.6	20.2%	8.5%	11.6%	3.7%	3.56	4.53	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		44	42	200	828	167	71	31	96%	4.6	20.2%	8.5%	11.6%	3.7%	3.56	4.53	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rodney Boone (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.54	18.2%	8.2%	2.8%	—	4.63	18.9%	10.2%	200	+0.09	—	—	—
James Paxton L 2015 · 4.22 FIP	26	SP	4.22	18.9%	9.4%	2.8%	.288	2.95	27.7%	21.7%	468	-1.27	2.46	924	84
Miguel Pena L 2017 · 3.97 FIP	26	SP	3.97	16.8%	8.2%	2.3%	.288	5.08	16.0%	9.0%	68	+1.11	2.98	282	82
Christian MacLeod L 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.60	19.5%	5.2%	212	+0.08	3.90	277	82
Aríel Miranda L 2015 · 3.46 FIP	26	SP	3.46	18.3%	10.2%	1.1%	.280	5.12	19.2%	10.2%	364	+1.66	3.46	431	81
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	80
Tyler Skaggs L 2017 · 4.23 FIP	26	SP	4.23	20.8%	7.7%	3.5%	.310	3.51	23.9%	16.0%	205	-0.72	3.18	372	79
Pete Hansen L 2023 · 4.18 FIP	23	SP	4.18	20.1%	9.9%	2.8%	.283	3.89	17.8%	10.2%	362	-0.29	3.77	475	79
Ryan Bollinger L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	27	SP	3.56	17.1%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	112	77
Matt Lujan L 2015 · 4.06 FIP	26	SP	4.06	15.5%	10.0%	1.8%	.326	4.84	16.0%	7.6%	119	+0.78	4.06	227	77
Eric Jokisch L 2015 · 4.34 FIP	26	SP	4.34	11.1%	7.1%	2.3%	.307	4.05	14.7%	6.8%	342	-0.29	3.78	412	76
Felix Doubront L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP	3.92	18.0%	8.4%	2.3%	.304	4.12	23.7%	14.7%	42	+0.20	3.44	291	76
Chipper Smith L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	25	SP-	3.81	15.6%	9.5%	1.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	76
Jordan Fowler L 2023 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP	4.08	13.2%	7.9%	2.0%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	124	76
Misael Siverio L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	26	SP	3.89	16.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.343	4.32	17.3%	8.2%	63	+0.43	3.89	185	76
Marco Tovar L 2015 · 3.78 FIP	26	SP	3.78	17.1%	7.8%	2.1%	.323	4.70	13.0%	6.1%	120	+0.92	3.78	327	76
Austin Krob L 2023 · 3.59 FIP	23	SP	3.59	19.9%	10.7%	1.5%	.329	4.00	17.4%	7.1%	171	+0.41	3.59	280	76
Juan Pablo Oramas L 2016 · 3.46 FIP	26	SP	3.46	18.6%	9.7%	1.3%	.334	3.92	19.3%	9.9%	209	+0.46	3.46	440	76
A.J. Block L 2021 · 3.72 FIP	23	SP-	3.72	22.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.262	5.74	20.1%	8.4%	51	+2.02	3.65	203	75
Alejandro Soto L 2015 · 4.41 FIP	29	SP	4.41	12.8%	7.0%	2.7%	.367	4.07	14.6%	9.1%	128	-0.34	3.96	280	74
John Gast L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SP	3.96	14.1%	7.9%	1.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	122	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	68	18.7%	8.5%	1.15	4.58
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41