Reid VanScoter — OGILVIE

Reid VanScoter P Arkansas Travelers

Age 27 LHP 6'0" / 190 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 132

ERA5.20

FIP5.20

K%14.3%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%4.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	25	25	143	605	157	35	6	100%	5.7	20.0%	6.7%	13.3%	1.2%	3.27	2.93	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	25	25	143	605	157	35	6	100%	5.7	20.0%	6.7%	13.3%	1.2%	3.27	2.93	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	25	25	143	605	157	35	6	100%	5.7	26.0%	5.8%	20.2%	1.0%	3.27	2.19	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	22	22	101	412	85	29	7	100%	4.6	16.7%	7.7%	9.0%	2.5%	4.01	4.03	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	22	22	101	412	85	29	7	100%	4.6	16.7%	7.7%	9.0%	2.5%	4.01	4.03	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	22	22	101	412	85	29	7	100%	4.6	20.6%	7.0%	13.6%	1.7%	4.01	3.18	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	21	21	87	396	72	34	11	100%	4.1	14.7%	9.4%	5.3%	4.2%	5.38	5.34	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	21	21	87	396	72	34	11	100%	4.1	14.7%	9.4%	5.3%	4.2%	5.38	5.34	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	21	21	87	396	72	34	11	100%	4.1	18.2%	8.6%	9.6%	2.8%	5.38	4.26	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	45	0	51	228	60	24	2	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.5%	10.9%	1.0%	4.21	3.15	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	45	0	51	228	60	24	2	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.5%	10.9%	1.0%	4.21	3.15	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	SEA	28	0	33	144	42	12	0	0%	1.2	29.2%	8.3%	20.8%	0.0%	2.73	1.69	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	SEA	17	0	18	84	18	12	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	14.3%	7.1%	2.4%	6.87	4.41	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	SEA	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	14.3%	9.4%	4.9%	3.2%	5.20	5.20	-0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	57	253	64	26	3	—	—	25.1%	10.4%	14.7%	1.1%	4.31	3.36	+0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SEA	65	0	68	287	43	27	9	0%	1.0	15.1%	9.6%	5.5%	3.2%	5.17	5.20	-0.5
2028	29	MLB MLE	SEA	62	0	65	274	42	27	9	0%	1.0	15.5%	9.8%	5.7%	3.4%	5.20	5.26	-0.5
2027	28	MLB CTX	SEA	25	0	26	110	17	10	4	0%	1.0	15.1%	9.6%	5.5%	3.2%	5.17	5.20	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	SEA	34	0	36	152	23	15	5	0%	1.1	15.5%	9.8%	5.7%	3.4%	5.20	5.26	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	261	40	25	9	0%	1.0	15.3%	9.7%	5.6%	3.3%	5.19	4.86	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	130	81	29	0%	1.1	15.3%	9.7%	5.6%	3.3%	5.19	4.86	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		113	68	383	1641	297	134	36	60%	3.4	18.1%	8.1%	10.0%	2.2%	4.07	3.82	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	36	200	858	155	70	19	60%	3.4	18.1%	8.1%	10.0%	2.2%	4.07	3.82	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reid VanScoter (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	14.3%	9.4%	3.2%	—	5.23	15.3%	5.6%	133	+0.03	—	—	—
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	79
Eric Jokisch L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	27	SW	4.64	12.4%	9.6%	2.5%	.330	3.93	15.2%	7.6%	283	-0.71	3.78	412	78
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	78
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	75
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	75
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	75
Matt Whitehouse L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	27	SW	4.55	17.0%	12.8%	2.3%	.308	4.07	20.1%	9.2%	81	-0.48	3.37	353	74
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	72
Ryan Kellogg L 2021 · 4.33 FIP	27	SW	4.33	12.3%	5.2%	2.9%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	446	72
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	71
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2017 · 5.46 FIP	27	SW	5.46	11.4%	9.6%	3.8%	.381	3.68	17.1%	11.8%	49	-1.78	3.68	322	71
Jose Molina L 2016 · 4.17 FIP	25	SW	4.17	14.4%	8.9%	2.1%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	144	70
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	70
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	69
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	69
Kyle Hunter L 2016 · 4.48 FIP	27	SU	4.48	11.2%	9.9%	1.9%	.295	4.50	14.0%	7.9%	72	+0.02	4.32	188	69
Eric Wooten L 2015 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	14.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	116	69
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	69
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	69
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	14.9%	9.6%	1.26	5.19
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74