Reid VanScoter
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 27
LHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124133vR 142
ERA5.48
FIP5.48
K%14.3%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%4.7%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 25 | 25 | 143 | 605 | 157 | 35 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.0% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 1.2% | 3.27 | 2.92 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 25 | 25 | 143 | 605 | 157 | 35 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 26.0% | 5.8% | 20.2% | 1.0% | 3.27 | 2.19 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 22 | 22 | 101 | 412 | 85 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 4.01 | 4.42 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 22 | 22 | 101 | 412 | 85 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 4.6 | 20.6% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 1.7% | 4.01 | 3.18 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 21 | 21 | 87 | 396 | 72 | 34 | 11 | 100% | 4.1 | 14.7% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.38 | 6.10 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 21 | 21 | 87 | 396 | 72 | 34 | 11 | 100% | 4.1 | 18.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 5.38 | 4.26 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 27 | 0 | 31 | 136 | 42 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 2.93 | 2.22 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SEA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 42 | 28 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.3% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.48 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.3% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.48 | 5.48 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 101 | 432 | 84 | 40 | 11 | — | — | 19.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 4.70 | 4.49 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 14.3% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.48 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 43 | 28 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 15.1% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.42 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 42 | 27 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.5% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.43 | 5.50 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 10 | 61 | 257 | 40 | 26 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.5% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.52 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 15.1% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.42 | 5.45 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.5% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.43 | 5.50 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 41 | 173 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.5% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.52 | 5.61 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 19 | 17 | 104 | 441 | 68 | 44 | 17 | 89% | 5.5 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.46 | 5.15 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 130 | 84 | 33 | 93% | 5.6 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.46 | 5.15 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 95 | 68 | 362 | 1549 | 282 | 123 | 42 | 72% | 3.8 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 3.95 | 4.07 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 38 | 200 | 856 | 156 | 68 | 23 | 72% | 3.8 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 3.95 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reid VanScoter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.48 | 14.3% | 9.6% | 3.6% | — | 5.52 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 194 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 4.31 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 300 | -0.22 | 3.88 | 523 | 85 |
| Justin Marks L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .323 | 3.78 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.78 | 3.75 | 324 | 79 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.77 | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .278 | 5.20 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 45 | +0.43 | 4.77 | 118 | 79 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 78 |
| Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.39 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 310 | 78 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | .246 | 6.63 | 13.0% | 0.2% | 68 | +1.65 | 4.98 | 179 | 77 |
| Enrique Lechuga L 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.64 | 10.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .354 | 3.90 | 10.5% | 4.4% | 59 | -0.74 | 3.90 | 137 | 77 |
| Chris Reed L 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 76 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.01 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 381 | 74 |
| Matt Walker L 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 156 | 74 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2023 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 73 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 72 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 71 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.70 | 17.0% | 12.8% | 2.6% | .308 | 4.02 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 81 | -0.68 | 3.38 | 353 | 71 |
| Brian Holmes L 2025 · 6.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 6.01 | 15.5% | 11.7% | 5.0% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 205 | 71 |
| Michael Sansone L 2025 · 5.64 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.64 | 17.0% | 9.3% | 5.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 255 | 70 |
| Scott DeCecco L 2023 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.58 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.58 | 125 | 69 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.86 | 13.0% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .366 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 147 | 69 |
| Eric Jokisch L 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.96 | 12.4% | 9.6% | 3.1% | .330 | 3.92 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 283 | -1.04 | 3.80 | 412 | 68 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2024 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.77 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 154 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 66 | 15.1% | 9.8% | 1.45 | 5.46 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |