Jared Koenig
P
Nashville Sounds
Age 32
LHP
6'5" / 244 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 55 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7584vR 93
ERA3.59
FIP3.80
K%23.5%
BB%7.2%
K-BB%16.3%
ROS IP55
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7896.5
Whiff%
p3322.9%
K%
p6725.4%
xwOBA vs
p900.263
FB+0.7 (49%)
SI (48%)
CU (5%)
CH-0.5 (19%)
CT-0.9 (27%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 27 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 24 | 21 | 121 | 505 | 100 | 43 | 14 | 88% | 5.1 | 16.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.26 | 5.63 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 24 | 21 | 121 | 505 | 100 | 43 | 14 | 88% | 5.1 | 19.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 3.26 | 4.01 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 23 | 146 | 627 | 126 | 45 | 17 | 77% | 4.9 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 4.98 | 3.97 | +2.5 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 23 | 146 | 627 | 126 | 45 | 17 | 77% | 4.9 | 20.1% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 2.7% | 4.98 | 3.81 | +2.7 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 1 | 59 | 278 | 70 | 27 | 8 | 2% | 1.2 | 21.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 3.81 | 4.15 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 1 | 59 | 278 | 70 | 27 | 8 | 2% | 1.2 | 25.2% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 3.81 | 3.86 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 6 | 69 | 288 | 74 | 21 | 4 | 10% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 7.2% | 16.6% | 1.6% | 2.36 | 2.86 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 6 | 69 | 288 | 74 | 21 | 4 | 10% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 7.3% | 18.4% | 1.4% | 2.36 | 2.62 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 72 | 0 | 66 | 268 | 68 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.4% | 7.1% | 18.3% | 2.3% | 2.86 | 3.14 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 72 | 0 | 66 | 268 | 68 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.4% | 7.1% | 18.3% | 2.2% | 2.86 | 3.08 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 20 | 0 | 17 | 84 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | 5.94 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | MIL | 53 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 55 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 16.3% | 2.5% | 3.59 | 3.80 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | MIL | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 55 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 16.3% | 2.5% | 3.59 | 3.80 | +0.5 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 72 | 317 | 73 | 27 | 7 | — | — | 23.0% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 2.2% | 4.13 | 2.92 | +1.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 62 | 263 | 73 | 27 | 7 | — | — | 27.7% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 2.6% | 4.78 | 3.50 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 53 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 3.98 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 46 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.28 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 50 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 3.98 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 42 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.28 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 295 | 11 | 331 | 1412 | 307 | 109 | 34 | 4% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 2.4% | 3.76 | 3.55 | +7.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 178 | 7 | 200 | 853 | 186 | 66 | 21 | 4% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 2.4% | 3.76 | 3.55 | +4.3 | ||
| Career | — | 255 | 51 | 478 | 2050 | 409 | 172 | 61 | 20% | 1.9 | 20.0% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 3.77 | 4.12 | +7.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 107 | 21 | 200 | 858 | 171 | 72 | 26 | 20% | 1.9 | 20.0% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 3.77 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jared Koenig (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.80 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 2.5% | — | 4.32 | 21.5% | 13.3% | 109 | +0.52 | — | — | — |
| Buddy Boshers L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 71 |
| Fernando Abad L 2025 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.48 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% | .281 | 2.35 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.13 | 2.35 | 306 | 71 |
| Phil Coke L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 69 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.63 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 4.2% | .286 | 5.07 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 32 | +0.44 | 2.37 | 296 | 69 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.51 | 20.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 241 | 68 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.73 | 19.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | .290 | 3.42 | 24.5% | 19.8% | 117 | -1.31 | 1.52 | 350 | 68 |
| Zach Phillips L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 202 | 68 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2027 · 3.05 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.05 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 1.2% | .352 | 3.71 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 89 | +0.66 | 3.05 | 117 | 68 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.05 | 25.9% | 12.7% | 2.8% | .276 | 4.90 | 17.3% | 2.6% | 35 | +0.85 | 3.72 | 181 | 67 |
| Neal Cotts L 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 67 |
| Dan Jennings L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 67 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 66 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2027 · 2.78 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.78 | 27.9% | 7.1% | 2.1% | .304 | 2.62 | 28.3% | 21.7% | 119 | -0.16 | 1.56 | 219 | 66 |
| Craig Breslow L 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 65 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.24 | 25.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | .337 | 2.70 | 30.2% | 22.6% | 143 | -0.54 | 2.22 | 487 | 65 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.52 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 152 | 65 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 2.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.66 | 26.7% | 9.3% | 1.2% | .315 | 4.91 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 34 | +2.25 | 2.48 | 420 | 65 |
| Josh Edgin L 2025 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 65 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.45 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 2.6% | .325 | 4.79 | 16.0% | 3.0% | 27 | +0.34 | 3.77 | 127 | 65 |
| Dana Eveland L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.83 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .272 | 4.91 | 14.7% | 10.0% | 21 | +1.08 | 2.42 | 129 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 57 | 22.2% | 7.8% | 1.09 | 3.93 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Kelvin Herrera ('19) | 5 | 59 | 23.8% | 7.3% | 1.03 | 3.58 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Trevor Gott ('23) | 4 | 51 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.79 | 3.97 |