Dylan Dodd
P
Atlanta Braves
Age 28
LHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 113 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 92101vR 110
ERA4.11
FIP3.98
K%24.1%
BB%5.0%
K-BB%19.0%
ROS IP113
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 153 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4594.2
Whiff%
p6828.1%
K%
p7627.0%
xwOBA vs
p900.266
CT+1.3 (34%)
FB (59%)
SI (58%)
SL (7%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 4 | 14 | 61 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 100% | 3.5 | 32.8% | 4.9% | 27.9% | 6.6% | 9.00 | 4.55 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 4 | 14 | 61 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 100% | 3.5 | 32.8% | 4.9% | 27.9% | 6.6% | 9.00 | 4.60 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 26 | 142 | 589 | 153 | 31 | 10 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.4% | 6.0% | 14.3% | 2.3% | 3.36 | 3.41 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 26 | 142 | 589 | 153 | 31 | 10 | 100% | 5.5 | 26.0% | 5.3% | 20.7% | 1.7% | 3.36 | 2.52 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 22 | 112 | 503 | 86 | 41 | 23 | 92% | 4.7 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.25 | 5.70 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 22 | 112 | 503 | 86 | 41 | 23 | 92% | 4.7 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 6.25 | 5.33 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 20 | 110 | 491 | 100 | 33 | 18 | 77% | 4.2 | 17.9% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 5.42 | 4.88 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 20 | 110 | 491 | 100 | 33 | 18 | 77% | 4.2 | 20.4% | 6.7% | 13.6% | 3.7% | 5.42 | 4.31 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 60 | 238 | 62 | 8 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.4% | 3.4% | 21.0% | 4.1% | 3.88 | 3.72 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 60 | 238 | 62 | 8 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.1% | 3.4% | 22.7% | 3.8% | 3.88 | 3.38 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 31 | 0 | 39 | 154 | 48 | 11 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.5% | 7.2% | 22.3% | 5.5% | 3.20 | 4.55 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | ATL | 108 | 0 | 113 | 479 | 115 | 24 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 5.0% | 19.0% | 4.1% | 4.11 | 3.98 | +1.9 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | ATL | 108 | 0 | 113 | 477 | 115 | 24 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 5.0% | 19.0% | 4.1% | 4.11 | 3.98 | +1.9 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 153 | 633 | 163 | 35 | 28 | — | — | 25.8% | 5.6% | 20.2% | 4.4% | 3.88 | 4.13 | +2.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 140 | 590 | 163 | 35 | 28 | — | — | 27.7% | 6.0% | 21.7% | 4.7% | 4.24 | 4.11 | +2.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 127 | 0 | 133 | 563 | 123 | 32 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 5.6% | 16.2% | 3.8% | 4.41 | 4.42 | +1.5 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 119 | 0 | 125 | 529 | 112 | 32 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 6.1% | 15.1% | 3.9% | 4.53 | 4.62 | +1.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 121 | 0 | 127 | 536 | 117 | 30 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 5.6% | 16.2% | 3.8% | 4.41 | 4.42 | +1.5 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 113 | 0 | 119 | 502 | 106 | 31 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 6.1% | 15.1% | 3.9% | 4.53 | 4.62 | +1.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 400 | 7 | 457 | 1926 | 413 | 110 | 77 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 5.7% | 15.7% | 4.0% | 4.45 | 4.20 | +6.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 3 | 200 | 843 | 181 | 48 | 34 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 5.7% | 15.7% | 4.0% | 4.45 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 163 | 72 | 478 | 2036 | 407 | 135 | 83 | 44% | 2.9 | 20.0% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 4.1% | 4.73 | 4.49 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 30 | 200 | 852 | 170 | 57 | 35 | 44% | 2.9 | 20.0% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 4.1% | 4.73 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dylan Dodd (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 21.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | — | 4.52 | 21.5% | 15.7% | 259 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| David Huff L 2028 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 75 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.92 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.70 | 2.22 | 286 | 71 |
| Ryan Magdic L 2024 · 3.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.18 | 21.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 150 | 70 |
| Josh Outman L 2029 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.70 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | .323 | 5.71 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.01 | 4.70 | 106 | 69 |
| Andy Otero L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.38 | 14.5% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.30 | 2.85 | 200 | 67 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 66 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.25 | 24.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | .268 | 3.20 | 26.6% | 13.5% | 55 | -0.05 | 3.20 | 194 | 65 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 65 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 65 |
| Reid Love L 2024 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 280 | 63 |
| Jake Higginbotham L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.53 | 23.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | .321 | 4.19 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 77 | -0.34 | 3.39 | 335 | 63 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 63 |
| Nestor Bautista L 2024 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 21.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.76 | 108 | 63 |
| Carson Teel L 2024 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.22 | 17.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 248 | 62 |
| Joel Bender L 2024 · 3.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.57 | 18.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 117 | 62 |
| Lucas Knowles L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.86 | 19.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 275 | 62 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 62 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 62 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.20 | 25.5% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .329 | 4.44 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 59 | +0.24 | 2.66 | 230 | 62 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.80 | 26.8% | 8.9% | 3.4% | .242 | 4.68 | 22.9% | 11.7% | 109 | +0.88 | 3.80 | 172 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 133 | 21.4% | 5.3% | 1.49 | 4.48 |
| Ricky Nolasco ('17) | 3 | 139 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 1.38 | 4.85 |
| Jerad Eickhoff ('19) | 4 | 109 | 21.0% | 6.9% | 1.43 | 4.12 |
| Hisashi Iwakuma ('17) | 3 | 120 | 18.5% | 5.3% | 1.33 | 3.93 |
| Jason Hammel ('18) | 4 | 161 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 1.28 | 4.65 |
| Kutter Crawford ('24) | 3 | 130 | 23.9% | 7.2% | 1.45 | 4.47 |
| Jeremy Hellickson ('19) | 5 | 126 | 17.5% | 6.6% | 1.44 | 4.49 |