Dylan Dodd
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.3
WAR
INJURED · Injured 15-Day (D15)
Age 28
LHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2027
ERA5.05
FIP4.55
xFIP3.27
SIERA3.09
K%20.9%
BB%6.4%
K-BB%14.6%
IP79
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2027
STUF6060
CTRL7070
CMD6060
K†5050
FB Velo
p4093.8
Whiff%
p8630.9%
K%
p5022.1%
xwOBA vs
p740.289
CT+1.3 (32%)
FB (64%)
SI (64%)
SL (4%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Rome Braves | 4 | 4 | 14 | 61 | 20 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 26 | 26 | 142 | 589 | 153 | 31 | 10 | 20.4% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 3.36 | 3.29 | +3.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 24 | 22 | 112 | 503 | 86 | 41 | 23 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 6.25 | 5.63 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 26 | 20 | 110 | 491 | 100 | 33 | 18 | 17.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.42 | 4.78 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 52 | 0 | 60 | 238 | 62 | 8 | 9 | 24.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.88 | 3.68 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 6 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 13 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 3.86 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | ATL | 36 | — | 36 | 153 | 32 | 8 | 6 | 20.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.94 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 46 | 191 | 45 | 9 | 8 | 23.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.72 | 3.52 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 77 | 324 | 67 | 18 | 12 | 20.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.66 | 4.48 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 74 | 315 | 64 | 18 | 12 | 20.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.60 | 4.56 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 72 | 304 | 61 | 19 | 12 | 19.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.63 | 4.65 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 69 | 291 | 56 | 18 | 11 | 19.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.71 | 4.76 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 12 | 12 | 66 | 278 | 52 | 18 | 11 | 18.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.82 | 4.89 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 11 | 11 | 63 | 264 | 48 | 18 | 11 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.95 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 59 | — | 59 | 249 | 43 | 17 | 10 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.09 | 5.18 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 38 | 17 | 10 | 16.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.24 | 5.34 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 138 | 72 | 448 | 1920 | 374 | 125 | 73 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.85 | 4.38 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 32 | 200 | 858 | 167 | 56 | 33 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.85 | 4.38 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dylan Dodd (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 20.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | — | 4.56 | 20.3% | 14.6% | 223 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .267 | 3.20 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 124 | 78 |
| Josh Outman L 2029 · 4.54 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.54 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | .323 | 5.68 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.14 | 4.54 | 106 | 78 |
| Jose Alvarez L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.39 | 22.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | .299 | 3.17 | 21.3% | 14.7% | 122 | -0.22 | 2.79 | 375 | 77 |
| David Huff L 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.48 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | .271 | 4.07 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.59 | 3.48 | 158 | 76 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.58 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.36 | 2.22 | 286 | 76 |
| John Lamb L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.67 | 22.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 390 | 73 |
| Matt Dermody L 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.90 | 17.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | .294 | 4.18 | 19.8% | 16.7% | 23 | -0.72 | 2.38 | 348 | 72 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.58 | 25.2% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.84 | 238 | 72 |
| Joel Bender L 2024 · 3.39 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.39 | 18.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 117 | 71 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.19 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .308 | 5.03 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.48 | 134 | 71 |
| Ivan Pelaez L 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.63 | 16.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.66 | 210 | 70 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.86 | 16.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | .270 | 4.63 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 414 | -0.23 | 3.76 | 686 | 70 |
| Franklin Morales L 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.33 | 15.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | .271 | 4.03 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.70 | 3.33 | 101 | 70 |
| Hyun Jin Ryu L 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.95 | 15.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | .241 | 3.36 | 23.2% | 18.4% | 392 | -0.59 | 2.77 | 725 | 69 |
| Andy Otero L 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.88 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | .298 | 4.35 | 14.5% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.47 | 2.86 | 200 | 69 |
| Bryan King L 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.55 | 25.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 183 | 69 |
| Duane Below L 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.65 | 12.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | .266 | 4.56 | 14.7% | 9.6% | 140 | +0.91 | 3.65 | 189 | 69 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.52 | 26.8% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .242 | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.0% | 63 | +0.92 | 3.52 | 126 | 69 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.33 | 25.5% | 9.4% | 4.0% | .329 | 4.33 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 59 | +0.00 | 2.70 | 230 | 68 |
| James Russell L 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.59 | 13.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | .331 | 4.20 | 14.1% | 8.7% | 111 | +0.61 | 2.65 | 233 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.