Dylan Dodd — OGILVIE

Dylan Dodd P Atlanta Braves

Age 28 LHP 6'2" / 210 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8190vR 98

ERA3.98

FIP3.83

K%24.0%

BB%4.9%

K-BB%19.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL7070

CMD6060

K†5055

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4594.2

Whiff%

p7429.1%

p7426.6%

xwOBA vs

p850.278

CT+1.3 (34%)

FB (61%)

SI (60%)

SL (5%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	4	14	61	20	3	4	100%	3.5	32.8%	4.9%	27.9%	6.6%	9.00	4.55	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	4	14	61	20	3	4	100%	3.5	32.8%	4.9%	27.9%	6.6%	9.00	4.60	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	26	142	589	153	31	10	100%	5.5	20.4%	6.0%	14.3%	2.1%	3.36	3.31	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	26	142	589	153	31	10	100%	5.5	26.0%	5.3%	20.7%	1.7%	3.36	2.52	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	22	112	503	86	41	23	92%	4.7	14.3%	7.7%	6.6%	5.0%	6.25	5.61	-0.9
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	22	112	503	86	41	23	92%	4.7	14.3%	7.7%	6.6%	5.0%	6.25	5.61	-0.9
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	22	112	503	86	41	23	92%	4.7	17.1%	8.2%	8.9%	4.6%	6.25	5.33	-0.5
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	20	110	491	100	33	18	77%	4.2	16.9%	6.0%	10.9%	4.2%	5.42	4.76	+0.2
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	20	110	491	100	33	18	77%	4.2	16.9%	6.0%	10.9%	4.2%	5.42	4.76	+0.2
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	20	110	491	100	33	18	77%	4.2	20.4%	6.7%	13.6%	3.7%	5.42	4.31	+0.8
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	60	238	62	8	9	0%	1.2	23.8%	3.2%	20.5%	4.0%	3.88	3.71	+0.6
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	60	238	62	8	9	0%	1.2	23.8%	3.2%	20.5%	4.0%	3.88	3.71	+0.6
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	60	238	62	8	9	0%	1.2	26.1%	3.4%	22.7%	3.8%	3.88	3.38	+0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			80	7	117	486	94	30	20	9%	1.5	19.3%	6.2%	13.2%	4.1%	4.40	4.49	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	53	0	58	231	68	16	11	0%	1.1	27.9%	6.8%	21.1%	5.0%	2.93	4.34	+0.1
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	53	0	58	231	68	16	11	0%	1.1	27.9%	6.8%	21.1%	5.0%	2.93	4.34	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	ATL	9	0	13	54	21	3	5	0%	1.4	38.9%	5.6%	33.3%	9.3%	4.85	5.60	—
2026	28	MLB RAW	ATL	44	0	45	177	47	13	6	0%	1.0	26.6%	7.3%	19.2%	3.4%	2.38	3.65	+0.5
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	ATL	44	0	45	177	47	13	6	0%	1.0	26.6%	7.3%	19.2%	3.4%	2.38	3.65	+0.5
ROS	28	MLB MLE	ATL	6	0	6	25	6	1	1	0%	1.0	24.0%	4.9%	19.1%	3.9%	3.98	3.83	+0.1
ROS	28	MLB CTX	ATL	6	0	6	25	6	1	1	0%	1.0	24.0%	4.9%	19.1%	3.9%	3.98	3.83	+0.1
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	64	256	74	17	12	—	—	28.9%	6.7%	22.2%	4.7%	3.03	4.29	+0.2
FULL	28	MLB A+C	ATL	—	—	51	216	74	17	12	—	—	34.2%	8.0%	26.2%	5.5%	3.80	4.26	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ATL	127	0	133	563	124	30	22	0%	1.1	22.1%	5.3%	16.8%	3.8%	4.39	4.39	+0.2
2028	30	MLB MLE	ATL	119	0	125	529	113	30	21	0%	1.1	21.4%	5.6%	15.8%	4.0%	4.51	4.60	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	ATL	121	0	127	536	118	28	21	0%	1.0	22.1%	5.3%	16.8%	3.8%	4.39	4.39	+0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	ATL	113	0	119	502	107	28	20	0%	1.1	21.4%	5.6%	15.8%	4.0%	4.51	4.60	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		320	7	368	1549	326	88	62	2%	1.2	21.0%	5.7%	15.4%	4.0%	4.42	4.23	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		174	4	200	841	177	48	34	2%	1.2	21.0%	5.7%	15.4%	4.0%	4.42	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		185	72	497	2113	416	130	84	39%	2.7	19.7%	6.1%	13.5%	4.0%	4.64	4.39	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	29	200	851	167	52	34	39%	2.7	19.7%	6.1%	13.5%	4.0%	4.64	4.39	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dylan Dodd (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.33	20.4%	3.9%	3.8%	—	4.49	21.7%	16.3%	259	+0.16	—	—	—
David Huff L 2015 · 3.40 FIP	30	SW	3.40	17.1%	3.8%	2.3%	.271	4.06	19.5%	14.6%	52	+0.66	3.40	158	74
Josh Outman L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	31	SU	4.53	15.3%	3.7%	4.1%	.323	5.73	12.8%	-1.0%	86	+1.20	4.53	106	71
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	68
Travis Wood L 2015 · 3.25 FIP	28	SW	3.25	28.2%	8.1%	2.7%	.293	5.07	16.4%	6.7%	155	+1.82	3.25	256	67
Jose Alvarez L 2017 · 3.52 FIP	28	SU	3.52	22.2%	3.4%	3.4%	.299	3.23	21.3%	14.7%	122	-0.29	2.78	375	67
Josh Smoker L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	28	SU	4.20	25.5%	9.4%	3.8%	.329	4.35	20.2%	11.3%	59	+0.15	2.71	230	65
Nestor Bautista L 2018 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	21.9%	4.3%	3.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	1.76	108	65
Joel Bender L 2018 · 3.42 FIP	26	SU	3.42	18.6%	4.9%	2.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	117	65
Matt Dermody L 2017 · 4.87 FIP	27	SU	4.87	17.6%	5.2%	4.7%	.294	4.18	19.8%	16.7%	23	-0.69	2.38	348	64
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	64
Kevin Chapman L 2016 · 3.35 FIP	28	SU	3.35	23.2%	9.5%	1.8%	.348	4.08	19.2%	8.0%	39	+0.73	3.01	153	64
Daniel Stumpf L 2019 · 3.56 FIP	28	SU	3.56	25.2%	8.8%	2.7%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	1.84	238	64
Brady Feigl L 2019 · 3.62 FIP	28	SU	3.62	25.4%	3.8%	4.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.69	212	64
Ivan Pelaez L 2021 · 4.66 FIP	27	SU	4.66	16.9%	5.1%	4.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.66	210	64
Tyler Webb L 2018 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	23.2%	7.4%	2.2%	.280	4.53	21.9%	10.4%	115	+1.21	3.10	337	64
Reid Love L 2018 · 3.98 FIP	26	SW	3.98	19.6%	7.2%	3.0%	.373	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	280	63
Fernando Abad L 2015 · 5.47 FIP	29	SU	5.47	22.0%	7.8%	5.9%	.256	3.65	20.5%	11.9%	90	-1.82	2.37	306	63
Chad Bell L 2017 · 4.57 FIP	28	SW	4.57	19.4%	8.9%	3.6%	.341	4.38	18.8%	11.4%	57	-0.19	3.39	393	63
Andy Otero L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	29	SP-	3.89	24.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.298	4.36	14.5%	5.6%	68	+0.47	2.86	200	63
Tony Cingrani L 2017 · 4.46 FIP	28	SU	4.46	29.5%	6.8%	5.5%	.294	1.68	37.9%	32.6%	23	-2.78	1.68	186	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	133	21.3%	4.9%	1.50	4.46
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46
Zach Plesac ('23)	2.3	93	18.4%	6.3%	1.39	4.20
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Yonny Chirinos ('24)	1.7	84	18.9%	6.6%	1.38	4.37
Mike Minor ('22)	3.8	126	22.3%	7.2%	1.44	4.38