Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 17 | 95 | 413 | 91 | 26 | 13 | 77% | 4.3 | 16.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 3.68 | 5.46 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 17 | 95 | 413 | 91 | 26 | 13 | 77% | 4.3 | 22.0% | 6.3% | 15.7% | 3.1% | 3.68 | 3.78 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A+ | Rome Braves | 37 | 3 | 61 | 263 | 72 | 13 | 10 | 8% | 1.6 | 21.1% | 5.7% | 15.4% | 5.6% | 4.90 | 5.09 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A+ | Rome Braves | 37 | 3 | 61 | 263 | 72 | 13 | 10 | 8% | 1.6 | 27.4% | 4.9% | 22.4% | 3.8% | 4.90 | 3.51 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 40 | 0 | 57 | 248 | 51 | 18 | 10 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.13 | 7.23 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 40 | 0 | 57 | 248 | 51 | 18 | 10 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.6% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 4.0% | 4.13 | 4.55 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 35 | 4 | 55 | 242 | 59 | 14 | 8 | 11% | 1.6 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 13.4% | 4.9% | 5.89 | 4.92 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 35 | 4 | 55 | 242 | 59 | 14 | 8 | 11% | 1.6 | 24.4% | 5.8% | 18.6% | 3.3% | 5.89 | 3.61 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 11 | 0 | 18 | 77 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 18.9% | 5.7% | 13.2% | 0.0% | 2.95 | 2.22 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 11 | 0 | 18 | 77 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 2.95 | 1.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 3.4% | 4.55 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 3.4% | 4.55 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 3.4% | 4.55 | 4.25 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 64 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 3.4% | 4.55 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 145 | 24 | 286 | 1243 | 229 | 85 | 68 | 17% | 2.0 | 18.4% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 4.41 | 5.43 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 101 | 17 | 200 | 869 | 160 | 59 | 48 | 17% | 2.0 | 18.4% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 4.41 | 5.43 | -0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake McSteen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 21.5% | 8.0% | 3.2% | — | 4.63 | 21.3% | 12.9% | 20 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 77 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 76 |
| Josh Outman L 2027 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.70 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | .323 | 5.71 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.01 | 4.70 | 106 | 74 |
| David Huff L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 74 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 73 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 73 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 73 |
| Chris Narveson L 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 72 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 72 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 71 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.69 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | .315 | 4.13 | 20.6% | 15.0% | 125 | -0.56 | 4.07 | 424 | 71 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.16 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 190 | 70 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.44 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.2% | .290 | 3.67 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.23 | 3.44 | 152 | 70 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.41 | 20.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% | .357 | 5.09 | 15.5% | 7.9% | 25 | +1.68 | 2.59 | 183 | 70 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.29 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .269 | 3.00 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.29 | 1.67 | 421 | 70 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 70 |
| Felix Doubront L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 4.0% | .304 | 3.39 | 17.6% | 12.6% | 126 | -1.06 | 3.39 | 291 | 69 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 68 |
| Chad Bell L 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 18.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 393 | 68 |
| Franklin Morales L 2025 · 3.36 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.36 | 15.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | .271 | 4.06 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.70 | 3.36 | 101 | 68 |