Matt Dermody — OGILVIE

Matt Dermody P Worcester Red Sox

Age 36 LHP 6'5" / 211 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97105vR 114

ERA4.23

FIP4.23

K%21.7%

BB%7.2%

K-BB%14.5%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1992.3

Whiff%

p5025.2%

p1015.8%

xwOBA vs

p610.301

CT+1.1

FB-0.7

CH-1.2

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	35	1	77	340	62	13	2	3%	2.2	14.0%	4.4%	9.6%	0.7%	4.21	2.85	—
2015	25	A+ RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	35	1	77	340	62	13	2	3%	2.2	18.2%	3.8%	14.4%	0.6%	4.21	2.33	—
2016	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	52	0	57	237	52	8	2	0%	1.1	17.1%	3.9%	13.2%	0.4%	2.35	2.38	+1.5
2016	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	52	0	57	237	52	8	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	3.4%	18.6%	0.8%	2.35	2.16	+1.7
2017	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	1	65	281	54	14	12	2%	1.2	17.6%	5.2%	12.4%	4.7%	3.86	4.87	-0.2
2017	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	1	65	281	54	14	12	2%	1.2	19.2%	5.0%	14.2%	4.3%	3.86	4.48	+0.1
2018	28	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	5	0	5	25	6	4	0	0%	1.0	24.0%	16.0%	8.0%	0.0%	7.20	3.10	—
2018	28	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	5	0	5	25	6	4	0	0%	1.0	24.0%	16.0%	8.0%	0.0%	7.20	3.10	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	15	0	23	102	23	3	4	0%	1.5	19.8%	3.1%	16.8%	4.3%	5.48	4.18	—
2019	29	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	15	0	23	102	23	3	4	0%	1.5	22.5%	2.9%	19.6%	3.9%	5.48	3.75	—
2020	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	+0.1
2020	30	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	+0.0
2022	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	13	80	351	71	19	11	62%	3.8	17.9%	5.5%	12.4%	3.5%	3.92	4.22	+0.6
2022	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	13	80	351	71	19	11	62%	3.8	20.2%	5.4%	14.8%	3.1%	3.92	3.82	+1.0
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	10	53	233	53	12	9	91%	4.8	20.0%	4.6%	15.4%	3.5%	4.75	3.93	+0.6
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	10	53	233	53	12	9	91%	4.8	20.0%	4.6%	15.4%	3.5%	4.75	3.93	+0.6
2023	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	10	53	233	53	12	9	91%	4.8	22.7%	5.2%	17.6%	3.9%	4.75	3.99	+0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			31	1	31	138	23	6	9	3%	1.0	16.7%	4.3%	12.3%	6.5%	5.74	5.94	-0.5
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	BOS	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	21.7%	7.2%	14.5%	3.0%	4.23	4.23	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	BOS	21	0	22	92	19	7	3	0%	1.0	20.8%	8.1%	12.7%	3.4%	4.48	4.64	-0.0
2027	37	MLB CTX	BOS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.8%	8.1%	12.7%	3.4%	4.48	4.64	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		31	1	32	139	23	6	9	3%	1.0	16.7%	4.4%	12.3%	6.5%	5.74	5.81	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		198	6	200	881	146	38	57	3%	1.0	16.7%	4.4%	12.3%	6.5%	5.74	5.81	-2.9
Career	—	MLE		196	25	362	1572	274	76	42	13%	1.8	17.4%	4.8%	12.6%	2.7%	3.98	3.69	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	14	200	869	151	42	23	13%	1.8	17.4%	4.8%	12.6%	2.7%	3.98	3.69	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Matt Dermody (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.23	21.7%	7.2%	3.0%	—	4.64	20.8%	12.7%	22	+0.41	—	—	—
Fernando Abad L 2022 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	15.6%	7.0%	2.7%	.290	4.37	21.1%	17.1%	38	+0.24	2.37	306	75
Neal Cotts L 2016 · 4.37 FIP	36	SU	4.37	18.0%	6.8%	3.5%	.290	3.21	25.5%	17.5%	48	-1.16	3.21	156	74
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	74
Wilfredo Ledezma L 2017 · 3.35 FIP	36	SU	3.35	26.7%	8.3%	2.7%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.58	109	69
Craig Breslow L 2017 · 4.22 FIP	36	SU	4.22	14.5%	7.5%	2.5%	.308	5.13	17.8%	2.7%	19	+0.91	4.22	159	69
Jerry Blevins L 2019 · 4.09 FIP	35	SU	4.09	26.2%	9.9%	3.5%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	166	66
Tony Sipp L 2019 · 3.28 FIP	36	SU	3.28	19.6%	9.8%	1.1%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	195	66
Brandon Mann L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	34	SU	3.59	17.8%	11.4%	1.0%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	190	62
Jorge De La Rosa L 2017 · 4.09 FIP	36	SU	4.09	20.5%	7.8%	3.2%	.260	4.07	19.3%	9.8%	56	-0.02	3.86	405	57
Phil Coke L 2016 · 3.04 FIP	34	SP-	3.04	18.0%	6.7%	1.1%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	101	48
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	40
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	39
Tommy Hunter R 2022 · 3.98 FIP	36	SU	3.98	22.1%	4.5%	4.0%	.292	5.22	18.9%	14.2%	24	+1.24	2.78	316	39
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	38
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	38
Peter Moylan R 2015 · 3.11 FIP	36	SU	3.11	18.4%	8.2%	0.9%	.259	3.84	18.2%	9.1%	145	+0.73	3.11	174	37
Carlos Torres R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	36	SU	4.28	17.8%	9.0%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	326	37
Santiago Casilla R 2016 · 3.69 FIP	36	SU	3.69	27.0%	7.1%	3.6%	.278	4.13	19.8%	8.7%	103	+0.44	3.50	219	37
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	36
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	36