Matt Dermody
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 36
LHP
6'5" / 211 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98107vR 117
ERA4.29
FIP4.29
K%23.1%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%14.5%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1992.3
Whiff%
p5025.2%
K%
p1015.8%
xwOBA vs
p610.301
CT+1.1
FB-0.7
CH-1.2
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | 35 | 1 | 77 | 340 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 3% | 2.2 | 14.0% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 0.7% | 4.21 | 2.83 | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | 35 | 1 | 77 | 340 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 3% | 2.2 | 18.2% | 3.8% | 14.4% | 0.6% | 4.21 | 2.33 | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 52 | 0 | 57 | 237 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 3.9% | 13.2% | 0.3% | 2.35 | 2.34 | +1.5 |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 52 | 0 | 57 | 237 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 3.4% | 18.6% | 0.8% | 2.35 | 2.16 | +1.6 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 1 | 65 | 281 | 54 | 14 | 12 | 2% | 1.2 | 17.6% | 5.2% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 3.86 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 1 | 65 | 281 | 54 | 14 | 12 | 2% | 1.2 | 19.2% | 5.0% | 14.2% | 4.3% | 3.86 | 4.48 | +0.1 |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 5 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 16.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 7.20 | 3.10 | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 5 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 16.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 7.20 | 3.10 | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 15 | 0 | 23 | 102 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.8% | 3.1% | 16.8% | 4.3% | 5.48 | 4.19 | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 15 | 0 | 23 | 102 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.5% | 2.9% | 19.6% | 3.9% | 5.48 | 3.75 | — |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.29 | +0.0 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 13 | 80 | 351 | 71 | 19 | 11 | 62% | 3.8 | 17.9% | 5.5% | 12.4% | 3.5% | 3.92 | 4.23 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 13 | 80 | 351 | 71 | 19 | 11 | 62% | 3.8 | 20.2% | 5.4% | 14.8% | 3.1% | 3.92 | 3.82 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 10 | 53 | 233 | 53 | 12 | 9 | 91% | 4.8 | 21.2% | 5.3% | 15.8% | 3.5% | 4.75 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 10 | 53 | 233 | 53 | 12 | 9 | 91% | 4.8 | 22.7% | 5.2% | 17.6% | 3.9% | 4.75 | 3.99 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | BOS | 24 | 0 | 25 | 105 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | BOS | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 4.53 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 4.53 | 4.69 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 31 | 1 | 32 | 139 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 3% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 4.4% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 5.74 | 5.81 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 198 | 6 | 200 | 881 | 146 | 38 | 57 | 3% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 4.4% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 5.74 | 5.81 | -1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 196 | 25 | 362 | 1572 | 277 | 78 | 42 | 13% | 1.8 | 17.6% | 4.9% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 3.98 | 3.71 | +7.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 108 | 14 | 200 | 869 | 153 | 43 | 23 | 13% | 1.8 | 17.6% | 4.9% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 3.98 | 3.71 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Dermody (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 23.1% | 8.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.69 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 22 | +0.40 | — | — | — |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2025 · 3.56 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.56 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 117 | 72 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.97 | 15.6% | 7.0% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.65 | 22.4% | 17.7% | 38 | +0.68 | 2.35 | 306 | 72 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.09 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 166 | 71 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | .290 | 3.24 | 25.5% | 17.5% | 48 | -1.59 | 3.24 | 156 | 71 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.47 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 109 | 71 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.28 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 1.1% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.18 | 195 | 69 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.03 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 3.1% | .260 | 3.99 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 56 | -0.04 | 3.68 | 405 | 68 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.22 | 14.5% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .308 | 5.02 | 17.8% | 2.7% | 19 | +0.80 | 4.22 | 159 | 67 |
| Brandon Mann L 2024 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 63 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 40 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 39 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 38 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 38 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.96 | 22.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | .292 | 5.23 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 24 | +1.27 | 2.82 | 316 | 37 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 37 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.70 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .278 | 4.06 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.36 | 3.51 | 219 | 37 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.21 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.2% | .341 | 7.33 | 8.3% | -0.9% | 22 | +4.12 | 3.21 | 209 | 37 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 37 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 37 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.10 | 18.4% | 8.2% | 0.9% | .259 | 3.82 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 145 | +0.72 | 3.10 | 174 | 37 |