Tim Mayza
P
Philadelphia Phillies
Age 34
LHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7786vR 95
ERA3.36
FIP3.55
K%21.1%
BB%6.4%
K-BB%14.7%
ROS IP11
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5594.9
Whiff%
p4124.0%
K%
p6524.9%
xwOBA vs
p780.285
FB+2.4 (64%)
SI (60%)
SL-1.0 (33%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | 26 | 1 | 56 | 236 | 62 | 26 | 0 | 4% | 2.1 | 19.4% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 3.07 | 3.11 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | 26 | 1 | 56 | 236 | 62 | 26 | 0 | 4% | 2.1 | 26.3% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 3.07 | 2.27 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 64 | 274 | 65 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 0.6% | 2.25 | 3.41 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 64 | 274 | 65 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 0.4% | 2.25 | 2.68 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 59 | 0 | 70 | 306 | 85 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.5% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 2.5% | 4.13 | 3.44 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 59 | 0 | 70 | 306 | 85 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.8% | 7.8% | 19.9% | 2.6% | 4.13 | 3.19 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 61 | 261 | 76 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 7.9% | 19.6% | 1.9% | 3.82 | 2.81 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 61 | 261 | 76 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 7.7% | 21.5% | 1.9% | 3.82 | 2.66 | +1.4 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 68 | 0 | 51 | 227 | 55 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 0.8 | 24.2% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 3.5% | 4.91 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 68 | 0 | 51 | 227 | 55 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 0.8 | 24.2% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 3.5% | 4.91 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 54 | 214 | 57 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.1% | 5.7% | 21.4% | 2.4% | 3.50 | 2.84 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 54 | 214 | 57 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.6% | 5.6% | 21.0% | 2.8% | 3.50 | 3.10 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 1 | 50 | 199 | 45 | 11 | 7 | 2% | 0.8 | 22.8% | 5.2% | 17.6% | 3.6% | 3.42 | 3.82 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 1 | 50 | 199 | 45 | 11 | 7 | 2% | 0.8 | 22.6% | 5.5% | 17.1% | 3.5% | 3.42 | 3.78 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 69 | 0 | 53 | 215 | 53 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 24.7% | 5.6% | 19.1% | 0.9% | 1.52 | 2.24 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 69 | 0 | 53 | 215 | 53 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 24.7% | 5.6% | 19.1% | 0.9% | 1.52 | 2.28 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 51 | 230 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 5.65 | 4.04 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 51 | 230 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 15.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 5.65 | 3.90 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 1 | 21 | 93 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 5% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 13.5% | 2.6% | 3.37 | 3.68 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 1 | 21 | 93 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 5% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 5.4% | 17.2% | 2.2% | 3.37 | 3.05 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 37 | 3 | 43 | 173 | 43 | 9 | 4 | 8% | 1.2 | 24.9% | 5.2% | 19.7% | 2.3% | 3.59 | 2.93 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 14.7% | 2.6% | 3.36 | 3.55 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 14.7% | 2.6% | 3.36 | 3.55 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 34 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 54 | 221 | 53 | 12 | 5 | — | — | 24.0% | 5.5% | 18.6% | 2.4% | 3.54 | 3.06 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 34 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 54 | 228 | 53 | 12 | 5 | — | — | 23.3% | 5.3% | 18.0% | 2.3% | 3.54 | 3.07 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 46 | 0 | 48 | 205 | 40 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.13 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 41 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 33 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | PHI | 36 | 0 | 37 | 158 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 4.86 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 39 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.13 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 33 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | PHI | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 4.86 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 552 | 3 | 501 | 2109 | 472 | 144 | 58 | 1% | 0.9 | 22.4% | 6.8% | 15.6% | 2.8% | 3.99 | 3.59 | +10.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 220 | 1 | 200 | 842 | 188 | 57 | 23 | 1% | 0.9 | 22.4% | 6.8% | 15.6% | 2.8% | 3.99 | 3.59 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 563 | 6 | 574 | 2428 | 550 | 201 | 48 | 1% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 2.0% | 3.56 | 3.32 | +13.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 196 | 2 | 200 | 846 | 191 | 70 | 17 | 1% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 2.0% | 3.56 | 3.32 | +4.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tim Mayza (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 17.8% | 7.1% | 2.7% | — | 4.69 | 18.4% | 10.9% | 129 | +0.34 | — | — | — |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 181 | 78 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.36 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .296 | 2.53 | 29.1% | 23.7% | 120 | -0.83 | 1.56 | 219 | 77 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.04 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.39 | 259 | 76 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.69 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | .269 | 2.57 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.12 | 2.18 | 195 | 74 |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 72 |
| Brian Duensing L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.18 | 23.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | .301 | 5.68 | 11.7% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.50 | 2.59 | 198 | 70 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 69 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.43 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | .250 | 4.09 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 32 | -0.34 | 2.72 | 166 | 69 |
| Brady Feigl L 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.55 | 22.7% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 212 | 68 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 1.7% | .310 | 3.56 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 49 | -0.33 | 3.05 | 117 | 67 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.07 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 67 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.47 | 18.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | .283 | 4.33 | 25.7% | 18.0% | 79 | +0.86 | 3.47 | 512 | 66 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | .276 | 3.68 | 19.8% | 13.1% | 75 | -0.85 | 2.22 | 405 | 65 |
| Manny Parra L 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.34 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.91 | 2.43 | 114 | 64 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.97 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 280 | 63 |
| Colt Hynes L 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.52 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 152 | 61 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.19 | 28.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .290 | 3.30 | 29.3% | 21.7% | 137 | +0.11 | 2.22 | 487 | 61 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 127 | 61 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 60 |
| Wei-Yin Chen L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.87 | 20.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 549 | 60 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 46 | 18.2% | 7.4% | 1.20 | 4.37 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |