Tim Mayza
P
Philadelphia Phillies
+0.1
WAR
Age 34
LHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA4.04
FIP4.20
xFIP3.69
SIERA3.30
K%20.2%
BB%7.5%
K-BB%12.6%
IP21
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
STUF4040
CTRL5555
CMD3535
K†4545
FB Velo
p4394.0
Whiff%
p4624.7%
K%
p6224.5%
xwOBA vs
p900.271
FB+2.4 (66%)
SI (65%)
SL-1.0 (31%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | 26 | 1 | 56 | 236 | 62 | 26 | 0 | 19.4% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 3.07 | 3.11 | +1.2 |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 42 | 0 | 64 | 274 | 65 | 30 | 1 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 0.5% | 2.25 | 3.38 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 59 | 0 | 70 | 306 | 85 | 24 | 8 | 24.5% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 4.13 | 3.55 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 57 | 0 | 61 | 261 | 76 | 20 | 5 | 27.5% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 3.82 | 2.82 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 68 | 0 | 51 | 227 | 55 | 25 | 8 | 24.2% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 4.91 | 4.31 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 62 | 0 | 54 | 214 | 57 | 12 | 6 | 27.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 3.50 | 2.82 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 65 | 1 | 50 | 199 | 45 | 11 | 7 | 22.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.42 | 3.65 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 69 | 0 | 53 | 215 | 53 | 12 | 2 | 24.7% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 1.52 | 2.27 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | New York Yankees | 59 | 0 | 51 | 230 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 5.65 | 4.10 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 19 | 1 | 21 | 93 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 3.37 | 3.59 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 10 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | PHI | 12 | — | 12 | 52 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 18.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 4.07 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 34 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 21 | 87 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 22.4% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 3.62 | 2.53 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 19.0% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 4.14 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 534 | 3 | 541 | 2290 | 517 | 195 | 44 | 22.6% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 3.55 | 3.32 | +12.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 198 | 1 | 200 | 847 | 191 | 72 | 16 | 22.6% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 3.55 | 3.32 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tim Mayza (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 18.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% | — | 4.34 | 19.0% | 11.0% | 20 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Francisley Bueno L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 3.99 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.21 | 3.51 | 138 | 78 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.75 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .310 | 3.42 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 49 | -0.33 | 2.97 | 117 | 74 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.97 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 181 | 72 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.59 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 5.0% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.32 | 182 | 70 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.83 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.6% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 127 | 70 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.48 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 3.98 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 32 | -0.50 | 2.66 | 166 | 70 |
| Colt Hynes L 2024 · 3.79 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.79 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 152 | 70 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.04 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.48 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.56 | 4.28 | 159 | 69 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.89 | 14.0% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 127 | 68 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.89 | 16.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 424 | 67 |
| Dana Eveland L 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.68 | 14.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.42 | 129 | 67 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.02 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 259 | 66 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.02 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 66 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.32 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .296 | 2.55 | 29.1% | 23.7% | 120 | -0.77 | 1.56 | 219 | 66 |
| Manny Parra L 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.33 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.90 | 2.43 | 114 | 65 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.03 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 280 | 65 |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 65 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.84 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | .269 | 2.55 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.29 | 2.19 | 195 | 64 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.59 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 190 | 63 |
| Gio Gonzalez L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.84 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 3.7% | .362 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 864 | 63 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.