Brooks Raley
P
New York Mets
Age 38
LHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7483vR 92
ERA2.98
FIP3.15
K%23.5%
BB%7.4%
K-BB%16.1%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1090.1
Whiff%
p3623.3%
K%
p6124.3%
xwOBA vs
p660.296
SL+2.6 (39%)
FB+0.7 (22%)
SI (22%)
CH (12%)
CT-1.2 (27%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | 21 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.1% | 7.1% | 25.0% | 3.4% | 4.95 | 3.14 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | 21 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.1% | 7.1% | 25.0% | 3.6% | 4.95 | 3.25 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 50 | 209 | 66 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 0.8 | 31.7% | 7.8% | 23.9% | 2.8% | 4.68 | 2.93 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 50 | 209 | 66 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 0.8 | 31.6% | 7.7% | 23.9% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 2.98 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 60 | 0 | 54 | 219 | 61 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.9% | 6.8% | 21.0% | 1.4% | 2.68 | 2.41 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 60 | 0 | 54 | 219 | 61 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.9% | 6.8% | 21.0% | 1.4% | 2.68 | 2.39 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 67 | 0 | 56 | 240 | 64 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 25.8% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 1.7% | 2.75 | 3.03 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 67 | 0 | 56 | 240 | 64 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 26.7% | 9.2% | 17.5% | 1.7% | 2.75 | 2.92 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 36 | MLB | New York Mets | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 36.0% | 12.0% | 24.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.58 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 36 | MLB | New York Mets | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 36.0% | 12.0% | 24.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.81 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 37 | MIX | 4 levels | 38 | 1 | 35 | 135 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 3% | 0.9 | 25.3% | 6.1% | 19.2% | 0.0% | 1.82 | 1.74 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 37 | MIX | 4 levels | 38 | 1 | 35 | 135 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 3% | 0.9 | 28.1% | 5.2% | 23.0% | 0.0% | 1.82 | 1.51 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | MLB | New York Mets | 39 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.3% | 8.1% | 16.2% | 1.4% | 2.04 | 2.81 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 38 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 7.4% | 16.1% | 2.0% | 2.98 | 3.15 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 38 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 7.4% | 16.1% | 2.0% | 2.98 | 3.15 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 38 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 56 | 235 | 57 | 18 | 4 | — | — | 24.0% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 1.6% | 2.38 | 2.94 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 38 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 56 | 236 | 57 | 18 | 4 | — | — | 23.9% | 7.8% | 16.1% | 1.6% | 2.38 | 2.94 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 39 | MLB | NYM | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 45 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 2.5% | 3.73 | 3.97 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 40 | MLB | NYM | 40 | 0 | 42 | 175 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.14 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 41 | MLB | NYM | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 39 | MLB | NYM | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 38 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 2.5% | 3.73 | 3.97 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 40 | MLB | NYM | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.14 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 41 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 389 | 0 | 358 | 1492 | 387 | 120 | 31 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.0% | 8.0% | 17.9% | 2.1% | 3.35 | 3.05 | +9.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 217 | 0 | 200 | 833 | 216 | 67 | 17 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.0% | 8.0% | 17.9% | 2.1% | 3.35 | 3.05 | +5.5 | ||
| Career | — | 292 | 1 | 256 | 1060 | 295 | 83 | 18 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.9% | 7.8% | 20.0% | 1.7% | 2.98 | 2.66 | +8.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 228 | 1 | 200 | 827 | 230 | 65 | 14 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.9% | 7.8% | 20.0% | 1.7% | 2.98 | 2.66 | +6.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brooks Raley (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.65 | 22.9% | 7.1% | 2.2% | — | 4.36 | 21.2% | 12.5% | 125 | +0.71 | — | — | — |
| Neal Cotts L 2025 · 3.24 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.24 | 25.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 156 | 79 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.99 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 405 | 72 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.47 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 109 | 67 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.61 | 18.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .211 | 4.77 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 28 | +1.16 | 3.10 | 174 | 36 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 35 |
| Ryan Madson R 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.65 | 23.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 240 | 35 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 35 |
| Ervin Santana R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.38 | 18.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 720 | 33 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.04 | 23.2% | 13.3% | 0.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 102 | 32 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.59 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 174 | 31 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 31 |
| Brad Ziegler R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.88 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | 257 | 28 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2024 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 28 |
| Zack Segovia R 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 28 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.66 | 13.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | .388 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 119 | 27 |
| Hector Navarro R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.41 | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 126 | 27 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2024 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.52 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 183 | 26 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.08 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 0.9% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 219 | 25 |
| Luis Ayala R 2026 · 2.99 FIP | 38 | SU | 2.99 | 10.9% | 4.5% | 0.4% | .320 | 3.94 | 15.9% | 4.2% | 14 | +0.95 | 2.99 | 119 | 24 |
| Tony Pena Jr. R 2024 · 3.54 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.54 | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 128 | 23 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 45 | 21.7% | 8.2% | 1.03 | 3.91 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Trevor Gott ('23) | 4 | 51 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.79 | 3.97 |
| Adam Warren ('19) | 5 | 67 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 1.08 | 3.55 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |