Ben Holmes
P
Birmingham Barons
Age 34
LHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99109vR 118
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.4%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%14.3%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 24 | 129 | 563 | 100 | 47 | 11 | 89% | 4.8 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 4.55 | 4.23 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 24 | 129 | 563 | 100 | 47 | 11 | 89% | 4.8 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 2.0% | 4.55 | 3.75 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 1 | 91 | 354 | 79 | 31 | 4 | 3% | 2.6 | 16.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 0.8% | 1.18 | 3.44 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 1 | 91 | 354 | 79 | 31 | 4 | 3% | 2.6 | 22.3% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 1.1% | 1.18 | 2.96 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 35 | 7 | 73 | 313 | 63 | 18 | 2 | 20% | 2.1 | 15.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 0.9% | 4.17 | 3.12 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 35 | 7 | 73 | 313 | 63 | 18 | 2 | 20% | 2.1 | 20.1% | 5.8% | 14.4% | 0.6% | 4.17 | 2.47 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 9 | 67 | 266 | 64 | 22 | 6 | 45% | 3.3 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 2.83 | 3.89 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 9 | 67 | 266 | 64 | 22 | 6 | 45% | 3.3 | 24.1% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 2.3% | 2.83 | 3.34 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 61 | 277 | 64 | 29 | 12 | 100% | 4.4 | 19.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.31 | 5.63 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 61 | 277 | 64 | 29 | 12 | 100% | 4.4 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 5.31 | 4.99 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 2 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 4.8 | 20.9% | 18.6% | 2.3% | 7.0% | 6.52 | 7.52 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 2 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 4.8 | 20.9% | 18.6% | 2.3% | 7.0% | 6.52 | 7.76 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 36 | 161 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.5% | 8.0% | 15.5% | 5.7% | 5.25 | 5.23 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 36 | 161 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.1% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 4.3% | 5.25 | 4.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 15 | 0 | 16 | 67 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 3.4% | 4.52 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 3.4% | 4.52 | 4.65 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 164 | 57 | 467 | 1977 | 335 | 188 | 48 | 35% | 2.8 | 16.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 3.78 | 4.22 | +6.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 24 | 200 | 847 | 144 | 81 | 21 | 35% | 2.8 | 16.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 3.78 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Holmes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.65 | 22.8% | 13.1% | 20 | +0.31 | — | — | — |
| Luke Westphal L 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.18 | 24.2% | 13.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 5.42 | 16.1% | -3.1% | 26 | +1.24 | 2.97 | 294 | 66 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.85 | 16.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 424 | 65 |
| Gio Gonzalez L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.88 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 3.8% | .362 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 864 | 64 |
| Colt Hynes L 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.52 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 152 | 63 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.97 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 280 | 62 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 61 |
| Rich Hill L 2027 · 3.25 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.25 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .239 | 3.22 | 29.0% | 21.2% | 379 | -0.03 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 60 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 56 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 181 | 56 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.69 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | .269 | 2.57 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.12 | 2.18 | 195 | 56 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.04 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.39 | 259 | 54 |
| Dana Eveland L 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.91 | 14.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.42 | 129 | 54 |
| Neal Cotts L 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 54 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 54 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.07 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 54 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.88 | 14.0% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 127 | 54 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 127 | 52 |
| Manny Parra L 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.34 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.91 | 2.43 | 114 | 52 |
| Brady Feigl L 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.55 | 22.7% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 212 | 52 |
| Blaine Hardy L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.38 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 4.7% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.76 | 417 | 52 |