Will Johnston
P
Midland RockHounds
Age 25
LHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109118vR 127
ERA4.78
FIP4.78
K%22.8%
BB%12.9%
K-BB%9.9%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 86 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 4 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 25% | 1.7 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.40 | 5.35 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 4 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 25% | 1.7 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.40 | 5.50 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 15 | 100 | 413 | 137 | 40 | 8 | 56% | 3.7 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 3.88 | 4.21 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 15 | 100 | 413 | 137 | 40 | 8 | 56% | 3.7 | 33.2% | 9.7% | 23.5% | 1.9% | 3.88 | 2.60 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 6 | 70 | 301 | 87 | 38 | 7 | 14% | 1.6 | 23.6% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 4.89 | 4.04 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 6 | 70 | 301 | 87 | 38 | 7 | 14% | 1.6 | 28.9% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 2.3% | 4.89 | 3.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 16 | 1 | 16 | 73 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 6% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 17.4% | 1.1% | 4.2% | 5.51 | 6.05 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 68 | 38 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.78 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.78 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 86 | 369 | 82 | 48 | 11 | — | — | 22.1% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.92 | 5.02 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 22.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 68 | 37 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.71 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 67 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.71 | 4.72 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.71 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 74 | 40 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.34 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 105 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 90 | 23 | 193 | 817 | 193 | 107 | 24 | 26% | 2.1 | 23.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.35 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 93 | 24 | 200 | 848 | 200 | 111 | 25 | 26% | 2.1 | 23.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.35 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Will Johnston (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.78 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.71 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 139 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Tony Cingrani L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 85 |
| Brian Flynn L 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 84 |
| Sean Mellen L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 84 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .294 | 4.22 | 19.9% | 7.8% | 96 | +0.29 | 3.65 | 308 | 82 |
| Colton Johnson L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 82 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.57 | 25.3% | 15.3% | 3.0% | .284 | 5.07 | 23.3% | 7.2% | 42 | +0.50 | 3.33 | 152 | 81 |
| Paul Fry L 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 4.0% | .338 | 3.46 | 24.6% | 14.6% | 159 | -1.54 | 1.78 | 560 | 80 |
| Will Gilbert L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 80 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .269 | 4.20 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.05 | 3.46 | 145 | 79 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.3% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .348 | 3.96 | 25.6% | 15.1% | 25 | -0.18 | 3.26 | 128 | 79 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2029 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 79 |
| Kyle Bird L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.73 | 24.4% | 11.3% | 2.3% | .250 | 5.55 | 20.6% | 6.3% | 47 | +1.82 | 2.68 | 379 | 79 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.13 | 21.9% | 12.0% | 2.5% | .322 | 4.78 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 110 | +0.65 | 4.13 | 265 | 78 |
| Erik Rivera L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 78 |
| Nick Swiney L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.7% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .307 | 4.67 | 15.1% | 1.5% | 49 | -0.17 | 2.29 | 290 | 77 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 77 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .276 | 3.94 | 26.5% | 12.9% | 82 | -0.23 | 2.83 | 271 | 77 |
| Michael Theofanopoulos L 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 201 | 77 |
| Trent Szkutnik L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.35 | 18.4% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 429 | 77 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2025 · 3.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.70 | 19.2% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .335 | 4.27 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 80 | +0.57 | 3.54 | 206 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 23.0% | 12.6% | 1.13 | 4.74 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |