Andrew Walling
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 26
LHP
6'2" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
K%21.1%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%9.8%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 0 | 11 | 52 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.1% | 17.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 6.35 | 3.34 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 0 | 11 | 52 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.1% | 17.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 6.35 | 3.36 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 56 | 231 | 73 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.7% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 3.23 | 4.20 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 56 | 231 | 73 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.6% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 1.7% | 3.23 | 2.97 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 53 | 225 | 67 | 26 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 2.19 | 4.10 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 53 | 225 | 67 | 26 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.8% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 1.8% | 2.19 | 3.02 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 43 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 54 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 0.6% | 3.97 | 3.12 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 43 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 54 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 1.0% | 3.97 | 2.76 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 11 | 1 | 10 | 58 | 16 | 15 | 2 | 9% | 0.9 | 24.3% | 27.2% | -2.9% | 3.8% | 9.58 | 6.57 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PHI | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 53 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PHI | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 70 | 309 | 69 | 43 | 8 | — | — | 22.3% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 5.26 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 21.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 4.51 | 4.13 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 53 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.51 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 51 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.56 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 48 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.65 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.51 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.56 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.65 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 101 | 0 | 106 | 447 | 95 | 50 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.24 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 179 | 94 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 145 | 1 | 178 | 775 | 176 | 111 | 14 | 1% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 3.68 | 4.00 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 163 | 1 | 200 | 869 | 197 | 125 | 16 | 1% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 3.68 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Walling (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 2.5% | — | 4.61 | 21.3% | 10.1% | 170 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 96 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 87 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 87 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 85 |
| Tom Windle L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.64 | 19.0% | 11.8% | 3.0% | .269 | 4.43 | 17.2% | 1.8% | 74 | -0.21 | 3.79 | 330 | 85 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.32 | 21.9% | 11.1% | 1.2% | .368 | 3.66 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 100 | +0.34 | 3.04 | 153 | 85 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2029 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 85 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.40 | 12.0% | 0.6% | 30 | +1.78 | 3.12 | 142 | 85 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.48 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.82 | 2.92 | 226 | 85 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 85 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 85 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.33 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.16 | 2.35 | 120 | 85 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 84 |
| Jeff Belge L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 84 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.27 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .291 | 4.01 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 49 | -0.26 | 2.69 | 221 | 84 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 83 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .197 | 4.72 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.75 | 3.97 | 133 | 83 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 83 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 83 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.49 | 17.4% | -0.3% | 22 | +0.30 | 4.19 | 151 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 21.2% | 11.2% | 1.04 | 4.56 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |