Jeff Belge
P
Tennessee Smokies
Age 28
LHP
6'5" / 225 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 28 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101111vR 120
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%22.8%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP29
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 23.1% | -3.8% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 4.40 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 23.1% | -3.8% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 4.36 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 31 | 0 | 43 | 202 | 63 | 33 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.0% | 18.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.61 | 5.03 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 31 | 0 | 43 | 202 | 63 | 33 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.2% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 2.0% | 5.61 | 3.68 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 29 | 1 | 32 | 136 | 50 | 17 | 2 | 3% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 1.8% | 3.66 | 3.51 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 29 | 1 | 32 | 136 | 50 | 17 | 2 | 3% | 1.1 | 36.8% | 12.5% | 24.3% | 1.5% | 3.66 | 2.38 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 41 | 0 | 52 | 229 | 74 | 31 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.2% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 0.9% | 3.48 | 3.27 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 41 | 0 | 52 | 229 | 74 | 31 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 32.3% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 0.9% | 3.48 | 2.54 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 38 | 0 | 48 | 196 | 47 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 3.40 | 4.45 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 38 | 0 | 48 | 196 | 47 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 1.5% | 3.40 | 3.33 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 27 | 0 | 29 | 121 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 26 | 0 | 27 | 116 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.18 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 93 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.18 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 145 | 1 | 181 | 789 | 190 | 122 | 15 | 1% | 1.2 | 24.1% | 15.4% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 3.98 | 4.09 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 160 | 1 | 200 | 872 | 210 | 135 | 17 | 1% | 1.2 | 24.1% | 15.4% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 3.98 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeff Belge (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 22.8% | 10.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.56 | 22.6% | 12.1% | 27 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 85 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 84 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.31 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .348 | 4.21 | 19.2% | 8.0% | 39 | +0.90 | 3.04 | 153 | 83 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 82 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.21 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.19 | 2.33 | 455 | 82 |
| Edward Paredes L 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 81 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 81 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.61 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 1.8% | .336 | 3.52 | 20.7% | 8.3% | 27 | -0.09 | 3.41 | 160 | 81 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 80 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 79 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 79 |
| Mike Dunn L 2028 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 79 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 79 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.20 | 25.5% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .329 | 4.44 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 59 | +0.24 | 2.66 | 230 | 79 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.93 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 244 | 78 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.63 | 25.2% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.84 | 238 | 78 |
| Josh Osich L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.01 | 21.4% | 12.9% | 3.8% | .328 | 4.42 | 21.1% | 14.1% | 143 | -0.59 | 3.47 | 315 | 77 |
| Aaron Brown L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 77 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 77 |
| Tristan Garnett L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.13 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 185 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 28 | 22.7% | 10.4% | 1.14 | 4.47 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |