Seth Clark — OGILVIE

Seth Clark P Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 26 LHP 6'3" / 220 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122130vR 138

ERA5.53

FIP5.53

K%19.6%

BB%17.0%

K-BB%2.7%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	1	0	1	3	2	0	0	0%	1.0	66.7%	0.0%	66.7%	0.0%	0.00	-2.53	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	1	0	1	3	2	0	0	0%	1.0	66.7%	0.0%	66.7%	0.0%	0.00	-0.90	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	1	54	223	65	28	3	3%	1.5	22.5%	15.0%	7.5%	2.1%	2.15	4.23	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	1	54	223	65	28	3	3%	1.5	22.5%	15.0%	7.5%	2.1%	2.15	4.23	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	1	54	223	65	28	3	3%	1.5	29.1%	12.6%	16.6%	1.3%	2.15	2.97	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	52	241	58	35	8	0%	1.2	18.9%	16.2%	2.7%	3.8%	4.13	5.66	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	52	241	58	35	8	0%	1.2	18.9%	16.2%	2.7%	3.8%	4.13	5.66	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	52	241	58	35	8	0%	1.2	24.1%	14.5%	9.5%	3.3%	4.13	4.88	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	28	0	32	152	35	27	1	0%	1.1	17.7%	20.4%	-2.7%	0.7%	6.25	4.56	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	28	0	32	152	35	27	1	0%	1.1	17.7%	20.4%	-2.7%	0.7%	6.25	4.56	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	28	0	32	152	35	27	1	0%	1.1	23.0%	17.8%	5.3%	0.7%	6.25	3.86	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	7	0	5	34	7	15	2	0%	0.7	—	—	—	—	18.00	—	—
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	7	0	5	34	7	15	2	0%	0.7	—	—	—	—	18.00	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	TEX	7	0	5	34	7	15	2	0%	0.7	20.6%	44.1%	-23.5%	5.9%	18.00	10.18	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TEX	44	0	46	196	39	32	6	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.3%	3.7%	2.9%	5.44	5.45	-0.5
2028	28	MLB MLE	TEX	43	0	45	190	38	30	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	15.9%	4.2%	3.0%	5.41	5.45	-0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	TEX	41	0	43	182	36	29	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	15.8%	4.3%	3.2%	5.46	5.52	-0.5
2027	27	MLB CTX	TEX	16	0	17	72	14	12	2	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.3%	3.7%	2.9%	5.44	5.45	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	TEX	26	0	27	114	23	18	3	0%	1.0	20.1%	15.9%	4.2%	3.0%	5.41	5.45	-0.3
2029	29	MLB CTX	TEX	29	0	30	127	25	20	4	0%	1.0	20.1%	15.8%	4.3%	3.2%	5.46	5.52	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		70	0	74	311	62	50	10	0%	1.1	20.1%	15.9%	4.1%	3.1%	5.44	5.10	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	168	136	27	0%	1.1	20.1%	15.9%	4.1%	3.1%	5.44	5.10	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		115	1	144	653	132	118	17	1%	1.3	20.2%	18.1%	2.0%	2.6%	4.30	5.12	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		159	1	200	905	182	164	23	1%	1.3	20.2%	18.1%	2.0%	2.6%	4.30	5.12	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Seth Clark (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.53	19.6%	17.0%	2.8%	—	5.47	20.1%	4.1%	134	-0.06	—	—	—
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	89
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	89
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	87
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	84
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	84
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.90	18.7%	4.0%	103	+0.49	3.16	199	83
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	83
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	83
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	82
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	82
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	82
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	80
Sean Keselica L 2019 · 4.47 FIP	26	SU	4.47	18.0%	14.5%	1.9%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	235	79
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	78
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	78
Justin Wright L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	26	SU	4.42	14.7%	13.7%	1.5%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	109	78
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	78
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	78
Hunter Schryver L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	26	SU	4.88	21.0%	14.1%	3.2%	.294	4.00	17.7%	4.9%	37	-0.88	3.58	206	77
Brendan Cellucci L 2023 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	21.2%	14.6%	3.3%	.381	4.25	23.2%	9.2%	137	-0.74	3.98	288	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	39	20.0%	16.1%	1.16	5.45
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91