Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -2.53 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.90 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 54 | 223 | 65 | 28 | 3 | 3% | 1.5 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 2.15 | 4.30 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 54 | 223 | 65 | 28 | 3 | 3% | 1.5 | 29.1% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 1.3% | 2.15 | 2.97 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 52 | 241 | 58 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.9% | 16.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.13 | 5.52 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 52 | 241 | 58 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.1% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.13 | 4.88 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 28 | 0 | 32 | 152 | 35 | 27 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 20.4% | -2.7% | 0.6% | 6.25 | 4.51 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 28 | 0 | 32 | 152 | 35 | 27 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 17.8% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 6.25 | 3.86 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 7 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 0.7 | — | — | — | — | 18.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.85 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.5% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.85 | 4.85 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 28 | 131 | 28 | 28 | 5 | — | — | 21.2% | 21.0% | 0.2% | 3.6% | 7.20 | 3.98 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.5% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.85 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.82 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.82 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.82 | 4.46 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 119 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.82 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 115 | 1 | 144 | 653 | 132 | 118 | 16 | 1% | 1.3 | 20.2% | 18.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.30 | 5.07 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 159 | 1 | 200 | 905 | 182 | 164 | 23 | 1% | 1.3 | 20.2% | 18.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.30 | 5.07 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Seth Clark (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.85 | 21.5% | 13.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.84 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 23 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 86 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 86 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 85 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 84 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.48 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.82 | 2.92 | 226 | 84 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 83 |
| Jeff Belge L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 83 |
| Tom Windle L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.64 | 19.0% | 11.8% | 3.0% | .269 | 4.43 | 17.2% | 1.8% | 74 | -0.21 | 3.79 | 330 | 82 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.71 | 23.1% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .246 | 4.16 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 121 | +0.45 | 3.20 | 194 | 81 |
| Andy Fisher L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.21 | 21.5% | 15.4% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.23 | 17.2% | 6.3% | 52 | +0.02 | 3.14 | 167 | 81 |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 81 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.33 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.16 | 2.35 | 120 | 80 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 80 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.64 | 21.0% | 14.1% | 2.8% | .294 | 3.83 | 17.7% | 4.9% | 37 | -0.81 | 3.54 | 206 | 80 |
| Adam McCreery L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.23 | 20.7% | 14.5% | 1.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 207 | 80 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2029 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 80 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .197 | 4.72 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.75 | 3.97 | 133 | 79 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 79 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 79 |
| Andy Oliver L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 79 |