Chandler Jozwiak

Chandler Jozwiak P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 27 LHP 6'0" / 190 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113122vR 130

ERA5.08

FIP5.08

K%18.3%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%6.3%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	7	0	9	46	14	3	0	0%	1.3	30.4%	6.5%	23.9%	0.0%	5.79	1.36	—
2021	22	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	7	0	9	46	14	3	0	0%	1.3	30.4%	6.5%	23.9%	0.0%	5.79	1.06	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	0	57	225	67	20	1	0%	1.4	20.0%	8.3%	11.8%	0.7%	2.35	2.86	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	40	0	57	225	67	20	1	0%	1.4	29.8%	8.9%	20.9%	0.4%	2.35	2.04	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	62	259	49	16	3	0%	1.4	14.8%	7.0%	7.8%	1.6%	2.74	3.62	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	62	259	49	16	3	0%	1.4	14.8%	7.0%	7.8%	1.6%	2.74	3.62	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	62	259	49	16	3	0%	1.4	18.9%	6.2%	12.7%	1.2%	2.74	2.92	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	40	2	52	216	45	30	6	5%	1.3	16.9%	15.3%	1.6%	3.1%	3.66	5.33	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	40	2	52	216	45	30	6	5%	1.3	16.9%	15.3%	1.6%	3.1%	3.66	5.33	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	40	2	52	216	45	30	6	5%	1.3	20.8%	13.9%	6.9%	2.8%	3.66	4.61	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	MIA	3	0	3	13	2	2	0	0%	1.0	18.3%	12.0%	6.3%	3.0%	5.08	5.08	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIA	35	0	37	156	29	19	5	0%	1.1	18.7%	11.9%	6.8%	3.1%	5.06	5.09	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIA	13	0	14	59	11	7	2	0%	1.1	18.7%	11.9%	6.8%	3.1%	5.06	5.09	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	11	7	2	0%	1.1	18.7%	11.9%	6.8%	3.1%	5.06	4.71	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	101	29	0%	1.1	18.7%	11.9%	6.8%	3.1%	5.06	4.71	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		131	2	181	746	134	73	13	2%	1.4	17.9%	9.7%	8.2%	1.7%	3.04	3.75	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	2	200	826	148	80	14	2%	1.4	17.9%	9.7%	8.2%	1.7%	3.04	3.75	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chandler Jozwiak (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	18.3%	12.0%	3.0%	—	5.09	18.7%	6.8%	37	+0.01	—	—	—
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	87
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	87
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	87
Tony Cingrani L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	18.1%	13.3%	1.7%	.271	3.50	32.4%	26.1%	65	-0.69	1.68	186	84
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	84
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	84
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	83
Braulio Lara L 2016 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	17.7%	11.0%	2.5%	.289	5.80	19.8%	2.0%	40	+1.45	3.96	118	82
Jose Meraz L 2015 · 4.71 FIP	27	SU	4.71	13.3%	12.0%	2.2%	.331	4.06	15.3%	6.7%	44	-0.65	3.78	110	81
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	81
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	80
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	80
Adrian Gusman L 2019 · 4.31 FIP	27	SU	4.31	17.9%	9.7%	2.7%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	141	80
Kit Scheetz L 2021 · 5.08 FIP	27	SU	5.08	16.2%	13.6%	2.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.34	195	80
Hunter Cervenka L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	27	SU	5.91	18.9%	15.0%	4.6%	.282	3.10	25.9%	15.0%	81	-2.81	3.08	194	80
Justin Wright L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	26	SU	4.42	14.7%	13.7%	1.5%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	109	80
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	79
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	79
Andy Fisher L 2023 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	17.2%	10.9%	2.2%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	167	79
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	18.5%	12.0%	1.17	5.07
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99