Brady Singer
P
Cincinnati Reds
Age 29
RHP
6'5" / 215 lbs
MLB
Svc 5.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 2.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION90 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 109
ERA4.53
FIP4.47
K%19.8%
BB%7.8%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 154 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1090.7
Whiff%
p4724.9%
K%
p2718.9%
xwOBA vs
p110.358
SI (48%)
SL (42%)
CT (7%)
FB-5.7 (51%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 148 | 613 | 138 | 39 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 2.2% | 2.85 | 3.71 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 148 | 613 | 138 | 39 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.5% | 6.4% | 16.2% | 1.5% | 2.85 | 2.82 | — |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 12 | 12 | 64 | 263 | 61 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.2% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 3.3% | 4.06 | 4.03 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 12 | 12 | 64 | 263 | 61 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.2% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.06 | 3.89 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 133 | 609 | 133 | 53 | 15 | 100% | 4.6 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 2.6% | 5.21 | 3.74 | +2.6 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 133 | 609 | 133 | 53 | 15 | 100% | 4.6 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 2.5% | 5.21 | 3.76 | +2.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 27 | 167 | 674 | 161 | 39 | 21 | 90% | 5.6 | 23.7% | 5.8% | 17.9% | 3.4% | 3.23 | 3.68 | +3.4 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 27 | 167 | 674 | 161 | 39 | 21 | 90% | 5.6 | 23.9% | 5.8% | 18.1% | 3.1% | 3.23 | 3.51 | +3.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 29 | 29 | 160 | 702 | 133 | 49 | 20 | 100% | 5.5 | 18.9% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 5.52 | 4.06 | +2.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 29 | 29 | 160 | 702 | 133 | 49 | 20 | 100% | 5.5 | 18.9% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 5.52 | 3.98 | +2.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 32 | 32 | 180 | 762 | 170 | 54 | 22 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.3% | 7.1% | 15.2% | 3.1% | 3.71 | 3.81 | +3.3 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 32 | 32 | 180 | 762 | 170 | 54 | 22 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.3% | 7.1% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 3.71 | 3.70 | +3.6 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 32 | 32 | 170 | 716 | 163 | 60 | 19 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.8% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 2.5% | 4.03 | 3.62 | +3.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 32 | 32 | 170 | 716 | 163 | 60 | 19 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.8% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 4.03 | 3.70 | +3.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 18 | 18 | 90 | 402 | 76 | 31 | 20 | 100% | 5.0 | 18.9% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 4.72 | 5.21 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 54 | 21 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.8% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 4.53 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 54 | 21 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.8% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 4.59 | 4.53 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 154 | 676 | 130 | 52 | 30 | — | — | 19.3% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 4.64 | 4.90 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 154 | 652 | 130 | 52 | 31 | — | — | 20.0% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 4.66 | 5.00 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 26 | 26 | 158 | 668 | 129 | 54 | 27 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 5.00 | 5.06 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 25 | 25 | 147 | 622 | 115 | 52 | 26 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 5.17 | 5.29 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 26 | 26 | 158 | 667 | 129 | 54 | 27 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 5.06 | 5.12 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 24 | 24 | 147 | 621 | 115 | 52 | 27 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 5.23 | 5.35 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 241 | 238 | 1315 | 5615 | 1182 | 432 | 186 | 99% | 5.5 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 4.49 | 4.11 | +19.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 36 | 200 | 854 | 180 | 66 | 28 | 99% | 5.5 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 4.49 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 208 | 205 | 1111 | 4741 | 1008 | 354 | 143 | 99% | 5.3 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.11 | 3.91 | +19.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 853 | 181 | 64 | 26 | 99% | 5.3 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.11 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brady Singer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.21 | 21.4% | 7.9% | 2.8% | — | 5.17 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 306 | +0.96 | — | — | — |
| Miguel González R 2028 · 4.59 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.59 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 15.9% | 9.0% | 325 | -0.34 | 3.73 | 469 | 44 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2028 · 3.67 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.67 | 21.2% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .302 | 4.58 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 285 | +0.91 | 3.67 | 469 | 44 |
| Tom Koehler R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.42 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 2.9% | .279 | 4.51 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 287 | +0.09 | 4.39 | 474 | 43 |
| Mike Fiers R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.72 | 23.7% | 7.8% | 3.0% | .277 | 4.56 | 19.9% | 13.3% | 494 | +0.84 | 3.72 | 918 | 43 |
| Matt Garza R 2028 · 4.78 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.78 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% | .315 | 4.45 | 15.5% | 7.7% | 216 | -0.33 | 4.12 | 365 | 42 |
| Aníbal Sánchez R 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.89 | 20.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | .276 | 4.56 | 22.2% | 15.0% | 411 | -0.33 | 3.49 | 869 | 42 |
| Merrill Kelly R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.21 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.67 | 21.1% | 14.8% | 390 | -0.54 | 3.54 | 1,102 | 42 |
| Charlie Morton R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.55 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .302 | 3.11 | 27.7% | 18.9% | 331 | -0.44 | 2.55 | 1,534 | 42 |
| Marco Estrada R 2029 · 4.32 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.32 | 18.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .213 | 4.55 | 20.6% | 12.0% | 506 | +0.23 | 4.04 | 710 | 42 |
| Paolo Espino R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.45 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | .292 | 4.43 | 19.9% | 13.1% | 255 | +0.98 | 3.45 | 933 | 42 |
| Yovani Gallardo R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.91 | 15.3% | 8.6% | 1.8% | .302 | 4.80 | 15.8% | 5.6% | 393 | +0.89 | 3.91 | 577 | 41 |
| Chase Anderson R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.42 | 23.4% | 7.0% | 2.6% | .259 | 5.00 | 20.8% | 12.5% | 331 | +1.58 | 3.42 | 1,146 | 41 |
| Mario Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.86 | 17.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | .276 | 4.19 | 14.1% | 9.1% | 104 | +0.33 | 3.86 | 368 | 41 |
| Thad Weber R 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.82 | 13.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 11.2% | 5.7% | 202 | -0.19 | 4.55 | 363 | 41 |
| Jordan Zimmermann R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.57 | 19.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | .297 | 4.88 | 16.1% | 10.7% | 417 | +1.31 | 3.57 | 731 | 41 |
| Matt Buschmann R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.92 | 17.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.71 | 12.8% | 4.4% | 142 | +0.79 | 3.92 | 277 | 41 |
| Félix Hernández R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.65 | 23.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | .283 | 4.68 | 19.3% | 10.6% | 409 | +1.03 | 3.65 | 682 | 41 |
| Ian Kennedy R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.46 | 24.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | .293 | 4.91 | 21.1% | 13.0% | 469 | +0.45 | 2.87 | 864 | 41 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2028 · 3.80 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.80 | 20.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .309 | 4.37 | 22.0% | 16.2% | 300 | +0.57 | 2.03 | 804 | 41 |
| Cory Riordan R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.19 | 14.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 154 | 40 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 158 | 19.8% | 8.1% | 1.41 | 4.79 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |
| Ricky Nolasco ('17) | 3 | 139 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 1.38 | 4.85 |
| CC Sabathia ('19) CYAS×6HOF | 5 | 151 | 20.2% | 7.8% | 1.39 | 4.14 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |