José Soriano
P
Los Angeles Angels
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
MLB
Svc 3.0 · Ctrl thru 2028
peak 2.9 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION111 act + 72 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10798vR 89
ERA3.77
FIP3.71
K%24.2%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP72
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 183 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.3
Whiff%
p9031.8%
K%
p6424.7%
xwOBA vs
p410.322
FB+8.6 (49%)
SI (26%)
CU (26%)
SL (5%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | 14 | 14 | 57 | 236 | 45 | 30 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 13.0% | 15.9% | -2.9% | 1.2% | 1.58 | 4.67 | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | 14 | 14 | 57 | 236 | 45 | 30 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 19.1% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 0.8% | 1.58 | 3.56 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 13 | 11 | 52 | 218 | 39 | 18 | 2 | 85% | 4.0 | 12.2% | 10.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.92 | 4.09 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 13 | 11 | 52 | 218 | 39 | 18 | 2 | 85% | 4.0 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 0.9% | 2.92 | 3.14 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Burlington Bees | 14 | 14 | 46 | 198 | 42 | 35 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | 15.7% | 20.9% | -5.2% | 0.8% | 4.47 | 4.86 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Burlington Bees | 14 | 14 | 46 | 198 | 42 | 35 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | 21.2% | 17.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 4.47 | 3.83 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 18 | 82 | 346 | 92 | 51 | 5 | 90% | 4.1 | 19.2% | 17.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.51 | 4.90 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 18 | 82 | 346 | 92 | 51 | 5 | 90% | 4.1 | 26.6% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 1.4% | 2.51 | 3.51 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 2 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 1.8 | 30.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 14.73 | 2.47 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 2 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 1.8 | 30.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 14.73 | 2.28 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 1.9 | 32.7% | 7.7% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 1.31 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 1.9 | 32.7% | 7.7% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 1.41 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 2 | 65 | 289 | 87 | 37 | 5 | 4% | 1.2 | 28.1% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 1.9% | 3.86 | 3.45 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 2 | 65 | 289 | 87 | 37 | 5 | 4% | 1.2 | 30.1% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 1.7% | 3.86 | 3.13 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 22 | 20 | 113 | 468 | 97 | 44 | 8 | 91% | 5.1 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 1.8% | 3.42 | 3.51 | +2.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 22 | 20 | 113 | 468 | 97 | 44 | 8 | 91% | 5.1 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 1.7% | 3.42 | 3.47 | +2.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 31 | 31 | 169 | 724 | 152 | 78 | 12 | 100% | 5.5 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 1.7% | 4.26 | 3.63 | +3.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 31 | 31 | 169 | 724 | 152 | 78 | 12 | 100% | 5.5 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 1.7% | 4.26 | 3.61 | +3.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 20 | 20 | 111 | 466 | 115 | 52 | 12 | 100% | 5.5 | 24.7% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 2.6% | 3.49 | 3.84 | +2.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 72 | 304 | 73 | 33 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.2% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 2.3% | 3.77 | 3.71 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 72 | 304 | 74 | 33 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.2% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 2.3% | 3.74 | 3.68 | +0.9 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 183 | 770 | 188 | 85 | 19 | — | — | 24.5% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 2.5% | 3.60 | 3.79 | +3.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 183 | 772 | 188 | 85 | 19 | — | — | 24.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 3.59 | 3.78 | +3.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 28 | 28 | 166 | 699 | 167 | 77 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.9% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 4.17 | 4.18 | +2.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 158 | 668 | 156 | 75 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | 4.27 | 4.34 | +2.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 25 | 25 | 149 | 627 | 142 | 72 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.55 | +1.5 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 23 | 139 | 585 | 128 | 70 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.78 | +1.0 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 21 | 21 | 128 | 541 | 114 | 67 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.88 | 5.04 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 20 | 20 | 118 | 497 | 100 | 63 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.2% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 5.14 | 5.32 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 18 | 18 | 107 | 452 | 87 | 60 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.3% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.43 | 5.62 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 28 | 28 | 166 | 701 | 168 | 77 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.9% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 4.15 | 4.16 | +2.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 158 | 667 | 156 | 75 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 4.25 | 4.32 | +2.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 25 | 25 | 149 | 629 | 142 | 73 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 4.52 | +1.5 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 23 | 139 | 587 | 128 | 70 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.75 | +1.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 21 | 21 | 128 | 540 | 114 | 66 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.85 | 5.01 | +0.6 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 20 | 20 | 118 | 498 | 101 | 64 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.2% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 5.11 | 5.29 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 18 | 18 | 107 | 452 | 87 | 60 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.3% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.39 | 5.58 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 285 | 245 | 1471 | 6216 | 1388 | 712 | 162 | 86% | 5.2 | 22.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.10 | +22.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 33 | 200 | 845 | 189 | 97 | 22 | 86% | 5.2 | 22.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.10 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 198 | 139 | 713 | 3017 | 623 | 382 | 53 | 70% | 3.6 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 3.48 | 3.92 | +12.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 39 | 200 | 846 | 175 | 107 | 15 | 70% | 3.6 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 3.48 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| José Soriano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.00 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 2.1% | — | 4.35 | 23.3% | 12.0% | 472 | +0.35 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Chatwood R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.33 | 19.0% | 11.9% | 2.4% | .279 | 4.46 | 20.6% | 5.2% | 199 | +0.13 | 3.22 | 537 | 56 |
| Ryne Nelson R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.58 | 21.3% | 6.6% | 2.6% | .249 | 5.16 | 17.5% | 11.6% | 83 | +1.58 | 3.47 | 824 | 55 |
| Rafael Montero R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.0% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .339 | 3.46 | 28.7% | 22.8% | 47 | -0.39 | 2.38 | 663 | 53 |
| Mitch Atkins R 2029 · 3.37 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.37 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.49 | 14.3% | 6.2% | 78 | +1.12 | 3.37 | 205 | 53 |
| Daniel Ponce de Leon R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.06 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 2.5% | .246 | 5.00 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 182 | +0.94 | 3.39 | 768 | 53 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.52 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 1.8% | .286 | 4.03 | 15.7% | 6.4% | 120 | +0.51 | 3.52 | 248 | 51 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .287 | 4.90 | 20.9% | 2.1% | 72 | +0.46 | 4.44 | 200 | 50 |
| Brad Peacock R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.89 | 20.9% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .302 | 3.31 | 29.4% | 20.4% | 289 | -0.58 | 2.88 | 533 | 49 |
| Nate Karns R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.03 | 23.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 4.09 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 140 | +0.06 | 3.92 | 287 | 49 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.49 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.6% | .282 | 4.42 | 17.2% | 8.6% | 206 | +0.93 | 3.49 | 355 | 49 |
| Taylor Jungmann R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.82 | 18.8% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 435 | 48 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.95 | 16.2% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .343 | 4.35 | 13.8% | 8.1% | 251 | +0.40 | 3.26 | 493 | 48 |
| Nathan Wiles R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.34 | 19.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 399 | 48 |
| Yariel Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.80 | 25.1% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .275 | 3.77 | 24.2% | 12.3% | 89 | -0.03 | 2.60 | 196 | 48 |
| Michael Bowden R 2027 · 3.25 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.25 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 1.4% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 141 | 48 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.82 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .265 | 5.66 | 17.5% | 5.3% | 119 | +1.84 | 3.75 | 299 | 47 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2025 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.78 | 14.6% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .277 | 4.85 | 14.9% | 5.0% | 55 | +1.07 | 3.78 | 254 | 47 |
| Joe Wieland R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.50 | 18.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 270 | 47 |
| Hector Noesí R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 47 |
| David Phelps R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.94 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | .299 | 2.83 | 29.9% | 20.6% | 142 | -1.11 | 2.51 | 373 | 47 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 141 | 22.1% | 11.7% | 1.10 | 4.56 |
| Gio Gonzalez ('20) | 6 | 141 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 0.85 | 3.85 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Julio Teheran ('23) | 7 | 147 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 1.34 | 4.12 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Aaron Sanchez ('22) | 7 | 93 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 0.98 | 4.32 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |