Jesse Hahn — OGILVIE

Jesse Hahn P Buffalo Bisons

Age 37 RHP 6'5" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.64

FIP4.68

K%18.5%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%7.3%

ROS IP50

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4545

SL (22%)

SI (65%)

CU (14%)

FB (65%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	16	16	97	406	64	24	5	100%	6.0	15.8%	5.9%	9.9%	1.4%	3.35	3.26	+2.0
2015	26	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	16	16	97	406	64	24	5	100%	6.0	15.8%	5.9%	9.9%	1.2%	3.35	3.19	+2.1
2016	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	113	504	69	52	12	100%	4.7	12.6%	10.7%	1.9%	2.8%	5.02	4.90	-0.0
2016	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	113	504	69	52	12	100%	4.7	13.7%	10.3%	3.4%	2.4%	5.02	4.64	+0.3
2017	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	19	100	448	77	42	6	90%	4.8	16.6%	9.7%	6.8%	1.3%	4.95	3.66	+1.5
2017	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	19	100	448	77	42	6	90%	4.8	17.2%	9.4%	7.8%	1.3%	4.95	3.60	+1.6
2018	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	6	3	6	22	4	2	0	50%	1.0	18.2%	9.1%	9.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.72	—
2018	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	6	3	6	22	4	2	0	50%	1.0	18.2%	9.1%	9.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.77	—
2019	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	10	3	8	42	13	7	1	30%	0.8	31.0%	16.7%	14.3%	2.4%	8.64	3.90	+0.1
2019	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	10	3	8	42	13	7	1	30%	0.8	31.0%	16.7%	14.3%	2.4%	8.64	4.06	+0.0
2020	31	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	18	0	17	65	19	8	0	0%	1.0	29.2%	12.3%	16.9%	0.0%	0.52	2.19	+0.5
2020	31	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	18	0	17	65	19	8	0	0%	1.0	29.2%	12.3%	16.9%	0.0%	0.52	2.29	+0.5
2021	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	1	5	28	5	5	2	12%	0.6	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	7.1%	10.80	7.77	-0.2
2021	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	1	5	28	5	5	2	12%	0.6	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	7.1%	10.80	9.30	-0.3
2024	35	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	43	2	50	215	54	36	2	5%	1.2	20.8%	15.1%	5.8%	0.9%	4.29	3.74	—
2024	35	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	43	2	50	215	54	36	2	5%	1.2	20.8%	15.1%	5.8%	0.9%	4.29	3.74	—
2024	35	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	43	2	50	215	54	36	2	5%	1.2	25.1%	16.7%	8.4%	0.9%	4.29	3.62	—
2025	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	37	177	37	16	4	0%	1.0	18.6%	8.3%	10.3%	1.8%	5.79	3.57	+0.4
2025	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	37	177	37	16	4	0%	1.0	18.6%	8.3%	10.3%	1.8%	5.79	3.57	+0.4
2025	36	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	37	177	37	16	4	0%	1.0	20.9%	9.0%	11.9%	2.3%	5.79	3.80	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			71	38	243	1061	174	88	21	54%	3.4	16.4%	8.3%	8.1%	2.0%	4.59	3.88	+3.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	37	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	18	0	22	106	23	17	4	0%	1.2	18.0%	14.4%	3.6%	4.2%	6.65	5.69	—
YTD	37	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	18	0	22	106	23	17	4	0%	1.2	18.0%	14.4%	3.6%	4.2%	6.65	5.69	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	37	AAA RAW	TOR	18	0	22	106	23	17	4	0%	1.2	21.7%	16.0%	5.7%	3.8%	6.65	5.37	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	38	MLB MLE	TOR	41	0	43	182	31	22	5	0%	1.0	17.3%	11.9%	5.4%	2.9%	4.92	5.11	-0.3
2027	38	MLB CTX	TOR	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.3%	11.9%	5.4%	2.9%	4.92	5.11	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		71	38	243	1061	174	88	21	54%	3.4	16.4%	8.3%	8.1%	2.0%	4.59	3.85	+3.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		58	31	200	873	143	72	17	54%	3.4	16.4%	8.3%	8.1%	2.0%	4.59	3.85	+2.5
Career	—	MLE		202	68	456	2013	339	206	38	34%	2.3	16.9%	10.2%	6.6%	1.9%	4.60	4.00	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	30	200	884	149	90	17	34%	2.3	16.9%	10.2%	6.6%	1.9%	4.60	4.00	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jesse Hahn (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	18.5%	11.2%	2.4%	—	5.11	17.3%	5.4%	43	+0.43	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	72
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	68
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	67
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	65
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	65
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	64
Ramon E Ramirez R 2017 · 3.49 FIP	35	SU	3.49	14.0%	5.8%	1.5%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	140	63
Jason Motte R 2017 · 5.16 FIP	35	SU	5.16	16.3%	11.4%	3.6%	.193	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	113	63
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	62
Santiago Casilla R 2017 · 4.13 FIP	37	SU	4.13	22.0%	8.1%	3.4%	.289	4.14	16.8%	1.6%	44	+0.01	3.50	219	61
Chien-Ming Wang R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	36	SU	4.53	13.0%	7.8%	2.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.23	183	60
Felipe Paulino R 2019 · 5.82 FIP	35	SU	5.82	19.2%	9.4%	5.7%	.385	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	150	60
Ronald Belisario R 2019 · 4.16 FIP	36	SU	4.16	12.7%	3.9%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.10	126	58
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	58
Peter Moylan R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	37	SU	3.59	17.7%	7.9%	1.8%	.263	4.00	18.5%	8.6%	88	+0.41	3.11	174	57
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	57
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	57
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2020 · 5.02 FIP	36	SU	5.02	17.5%	12.7%	3.3%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	132	57
Matt Bush R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	37	SU	3.83	25.8%	8.7%	3.3%	.225	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	56
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	56

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	46	17.9%	11.5%	1.02	4.77
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99