Jesse Hahn P Buffalo Bisons
Age 37 RHP 6'5" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION22 act + 50 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.72
FIP4.77
K%19.4%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%6.6%
ROS IP50
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
K: -1.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -4.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -1.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +5.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: -0.26 (72 IP)-0.3WAR
0.0-0.22627
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4040
CTRL4545
CMD4545
K†4545
SL (22%)
SI (65%)
CU (14%)
FB (65%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201526MLBOakland Athletics16169740664245100%6.015.8%5.9%9.9%1.3%3.353.23+2.4
201526MLBOakland Athletics16169740664245100%6.015.8%5.9%9.9%1.2%3.353.19+2.4
201627MIX2 levels2424113504695212100%4.712.6%10.7%1.9%2.9%5.024.97+0.6
201627MIX2 levels2424113504695212100%4.713.7%10.3%3.4%2.4%5.024.64+1.0
201728MIX3 levels21191004487742690%4.816.6%9.7%6.8%1.3%4.953.67+2.0
201728MIX3 levels21191004487742690%4.817.2%9.4%7.8%1.3%4.953.60+2.1
201829MIX3 levels6362242050%1.018.2%9.1%9.1%0.0%0.002.72
201829MIX3 levels6362242050%1.018.2%9.1%9.1%0.0%0.002.77
201930MIX3 levels103842137130%0.831.0%16.7%14.3%2.4%8.643.90+0.1
201930MIX3 levels103842137130%0.831.0%16.7%14.3%2.4%8.644.06+0.0
202031MLBKansas City Royals180176519800%1.029.2%12.3%16.9%0.0%0.522.19+0.5
202031MLBKansas City Royals180176519800%1.029.2%12.3%16.9%0.0%0.522.29+0.5
202132MIX2 levels8152855212%0.617.9%17.9%0.0%7.1%10.807.77-0.2
202132MIX2 levels8152855212%0.617.9%17.9%0.0%7.1%10.809.30-0.3
202435AAATacoma Rainiers43250215543625%1.222.1%17.6%4.5%0.8%4.293.90
202435AAATacoma Rainiers43250215543625%1.225.1%16.7%8.4%0.9%4.293.62
202536MIX2 levels38037177371640%1.019.7%9.7%10.0%1.5%5.793.51+0.5
202536MIX2 levels38037177371640%1.020.9%9.0%11.9%2.3%5.793.80+0.3
▸ 2026 Season
202637AAABuffalo Bisons18022106231740%1.219.1%16.8%2.3%4.2%6.655.90-0.3
ROS37MLBTOR48050211412750%1.019.4%12.8%6.6%2.4%4.724.77-0.1
ROS37MLBTOR505214310%1.019.4%12.8%6.6%2.4%4.724.77-0.0
2026 TOT37MLBTOR723176444920.2%13.9%6.3%2.8%5.305.11-0.3
2026 FULL37MLBTOR52143119.4%12.8%6.6%2.4%4.724.39+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202738MLBTOR41043182332550%1.018.3%13.5%4.8%2.8%5.015.20-0.3
202738MLBTOR018.3%13.5%4.8%2.8%5.015.20
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career76382481082178912250%3.316.5%8.4%8.1%2.0%4.603.86+4.5
/ 200 IP6131200873144731850%3.316.5%8.4%8.1%2.0%4.603.86+3.6
Career2026845620133452163834%2.317.2%10.7%6.4%1.9%4.604.04+7.3
/ 200 IP8930200884152951634%2.317.2%10.7%6.4%1.9%4.604.04+3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jesse Hahn (OGILVIE) 4.77 19.4%12.8%2.4% 5.20 18.3%4.8%43 +0.43
Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.09 FIP 36 SU 4.09 16.4%10.0%2.0%.267 6.61 11.9%-0.6%77 +2.52 4.09 145 70
Zack Segovia R 2025 · 4.36 FIP 36 SU 4.36 17.6%13.6%1.9%.353 3.41 144 66
Jean Machi R 2024 · 3.92 FIP 35 SU 3.92 18.6%6.6%2.8%.285 3.92 186 65
Salvador Valdez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP 36 SW 4.24 17.1%8.2%2.8%.405 3.65 326 65
Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.26 FIP 38 SU 4.26 20.9%9.4%3.2%.272 3.34 26.2%15.2%185 -0.92 2.67 295 64
Jason Motte R 2024 · 5.16 FIP 35 SU 5.16 16.3%11.4%3.6%.193 3.11 113 63
Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 37 SU 4.04 22.0%8.1%3.2%.289 4.08 16.8%1.6%44 +0.04 3.51 219 62
Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.56 FIP 36 SU 4.56 15.8%7.1%3.5%.354 3.32 119 62
Ramon E Ramirez R 2024 · 3.63 FIP 35 SU 3.63 14.0%5.8%1.8%.286 2.35 140 60
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2025 · 5.07 FIP 36 SU 5.07 17.5%12.7%3.3%.381 3.32 132 59
Chien-Ming Wang R 2025 · 4.52 FIP 36 SU 4.52 13.0%7.8%2.8%.305 4.13 183 57
Joaquín Benoit R 2027 · 3.73 FIP 38 SU 3.73 24.8%8.7%3.0%.179 4.04 23.5%12.9%98 +0.31 3.72 164 56
Logan Duran R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 37 SP- 3.58 15.5%8.9%1.2%.427 3.36 187 56
Matt Bush R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 37 SU 3.83 26.6%9.3%3.3%.225 2.86 249 56
Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.59 FIP 35 SU 4.59 19.4%6.7%4.2%.277 3.83 208 56
Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 37 SU 3.58 17.7%7.9%1.8%.263 3.98 18.5%8.6%88 +0.40 3.10 174 55
Jonathan Castellanos R 2026 · 5.02 FIP 37 SW 5.02 11.0%9.0%3.1%.348 3.56 394 54
Matt Belisle R 2026 · 3.61 FIP 37 SU 3.61 21.9%6.5%2.8%.241 4.59 15.4%9.2%34 +0.98 2.51 174 54
Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.65 FIP 37 SU 3.65 23.4%6.1%3.2%.327 1.42 240 54
Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.74 FIP 36 SU 4.74 12.7%3.9%4.0%.322 2.10 126 52

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION24618.9%13.1%1.004.85
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72