Anthony Kay
P
Chicago White Sox
Age 31
LHP
6'0" / 225 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION89 act + 68 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 122
ERA4.33
FIP4.26
K%19.6%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%10.3%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 157 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6895.8
Whiff%
p3022.5%
K%
p1817.6%
xwOBA vs
p190.349
SL+0.7 (28%)
SI (18%)
CT (17%)
CH (14%)
FB-5.5 (41%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 123 | 531 | 123 | 49 | 7 | 100% | 5.3 | 17.4% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 4.26 | 3.95 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 123 | 531 | 123 | 49 | 7 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 1.3% | 4.26 | 3.03 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 28 | 148 | 624 | 148 | 60 | 12 | 97% | 5.1 | 20.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 3.23 | 3.85 | +2.7 |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 28 | 148 | 624 | 148 | 60 | 12 | 97% | 5.1 | 23.7% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 1.9% | 3.23 | 3.37 | +3.5 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 13 | 0 | 21 | 98 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.4% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 5.14 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 13 | 0 | 21 | 98 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.4% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 5.14 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 13 | 60 | 282 | 68 | 31 | 12 | 68% | 3.2 | 22.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 7.05 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 13 | 60 | 282 | 68 | 31 | 12 | 68% | 3.2 | 24.1% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 4.3% | 7.05 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 14 | 4 | 23 | 107 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 29% | 1.7 | 18.9% | 16.5% | 2.4% | 7.0% | 5.40 | 7.42 | -0.8 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 14 | 4 | 23 | 107 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 29% | 1.7 | 24.3% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 5.40 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 1 | 55 | 239 | 69 | 31 | 4 | 2% | 1.2 | 26.0% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 1.8% | 4.39 | 3.57 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 1 | 55 | 239 | 69 | 31 | 4 | 2% | 1.2 | 28.9% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 1.7% | 4.39 | 3.23 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 19 | 17 | 89 | 403 | 71 | 35 | 12 | 89% | 4.7 | 17.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.35 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 68 | 288 | 56 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.26 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 56 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.26 | +0.4 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 157 | 691 | 127 | 62 | 21 | — | — | 18.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.31 | +2.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 157 | 665 | 127 | 62 | 21 | — | — | 19.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 4.28 | 4.36 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 25 | 25 | 153 | 644 | 124 | 62 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.78 | 4.86 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 23 | 23 | 140 | 591 | 108 | 60 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 5.00 | 5.14 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 21 | 21 | 127 | 538 | 94 | 57 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.4% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.27 | 5.44 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 24 | 24 | 145 | 612 | 118 | 59 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.78 | 4.86 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 22 | 22 | 133 | 562 | 103 | 57 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 5.00 | 5.14 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 115 | 486 | 85 | 52 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.4% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.27 | 5.44 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 142 | 103 | 636 | 2744 | 521 | 275 | 91 | 73% | 4.5 | 19.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 4.90 | 4.58 | +6.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 32 | 200 | 863 | 164 | 86 | 29 | 72% | 4.5 | 19.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 4.90 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 165 | 86 | 519 | 2284 | 459 | 250 | 61 | 52% | 3.1 | 20.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.38 | 4.26 | +6.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 33 | 200 | 880 | 177 | 96 | 23 | 52% | 3.1 | 20.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.38 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anthony Kay (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 23.2% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 5.13 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 420 | +0.71 | — | — | — |
| Everett Teaford L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 69 |
| Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.80 | 20.4% | 11.1% | 3.7% | .307 | 4.40 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 40 | -0.40 | 4.40 | 713 | 68 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.53 | 14.1% | 6.9% | 1.4% | .333 | 5.27 | 10.8% | 3.0% | 93 | +1.74 | 3.53 | 282 | 67 |
| Travis Blackley L 2027 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 67 |
| Greg Smith L 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.36 | 11.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 120 | 67 |
| Anthony Vasquez L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.56 | 17.1% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .322 | 6.02 | 14.6% | 7.3% | 85 | +1.46 | 4.01 | 642 | 61 |
| Santiago Gutierrez L 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.87 | 15.0% | 8.2% | 1.8% | .366 | 6.95 | 17.1% | 3.7% | 46 | +3.08 | 3.87 | 341 | 60 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.41 | 22.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 153 | 60 |
| Joey Lucchesi L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.83 | 15.2% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .293 | 3.75 | 23.0% | 15.4% | 102 | -1.08 | 3.19 | 817 | 59 |
| Yusei Kikuchi L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.19 | 27.3% | 12.8% | 5.1% | .281 | 3.76 | 25.4% | 18.1% | 522 | -1.43 | 3.25 | 1,019 | 56 |
| Clayton Richard L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.58 | 10.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | .264 | 4.19 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 424 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 574 | 56 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.76 | 23.2% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .282 | 5.12 | 22.8% | 13.0% | 175 | +1.36 | 3.76 | 686 | 55 |
| Wade LeBlanc L 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.53 | 20.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.64 | 18.7% | 13.0% | 351 | +1.11 | 3.53 | 609 | 55 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.40 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.68 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.28 | 4.40 | 408 | 53 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | .301 | 4.61 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.10 | 4.24 | 445 | 52 |
| Luke Westphal L 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.48 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .321 | 4.52 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 51 |
| Tomas Solis L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.35 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .264 | 5.50 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +1.15 | 4.35 | 327 | 51 |
| J.A. Happ L 2027 · 3.28 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.28 | 21.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | .308 | 3.72 | 23.1% | 15.9% | 518 | +0.44 | 3.28 | 1,053 | 51 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2029 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 119 | 51 |
| John Lannan L 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.76 | 8.2% | 7.7% | 2.5% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 284 | 51 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 146 | 19.7% | 10.1% | 1.30 | 4.86 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Andrew Cashner ('19) | 5 | 157 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 1.11 | 4.54 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |