Sean Nolin
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.0
WAR
Age 36
LHP
6'4" / 250 lbs
AAA
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
xFIP7.78
SIERA6.07
K%23.1%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%14.1%
IP16
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL4545
CMD3030
K†4040
FB Velo
p1090.7
Whiff%
p1720.7%
K%
p1016.3%
xwOBA vs
p490.313
CT+0.8
FB-2.1
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 20 | 18 | 76 | 335 | 53 | 31 | 9 | 14.5% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 3.66 | 4.93 | +0.1 |
| 2018 | 28 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 29 | 3 | 40 | 176 | 45 | 15 | 4 | 20.7% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 4.24 | 3.85 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 19 | 18 | 96 | 417 | 90 | 32 | 18 | 18.7% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.34 | 5.13 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 22 | 14 | 75 | 326 | 74 | 28 | 11 | 20.4% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 3.96 | 4.59 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 9 | 7 | 33 | 151 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 19.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.45 | 5.96 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 16 | — | 16 | 70 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 16.2% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 5.12 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | MIA | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 16.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 5.02 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 99 | 60 | 321 | 1405 | 259 | 123 | 57 | 18.4% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 4.49 | 4.89 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 37 | 200 | 876 | 162 | 77 | 36 | 18.4% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 4.49 | 4.89 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Nolin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.12 | 16.2% | 10.7% | 3.0% | — | 5.22 | 16.1% | 5.3% | 20 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 14.5% | 7.5% | 2.7% | .308 | 5.15 | 17.8% | 2.7% | 19 | +0.81 | 4.28 | 159 | 80 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.19 | 15.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .290 | 4.32 | 22.4% | 17.7% | 38 | +0.13 | 2.38 | 306 | 73 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.40 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .290 | 3.21 | 25.5% | 17.5% | 48 | -1.19 | 3.21 | 156 | 71 |
| Zach Duke L 2026 · 5.75 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.75 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.7% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.41 | 215 | 67 |
| J.P. Howell L 2024 · 5.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.97 | 11.5% | 13.5% | 3.9% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 106 | 65 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.42 | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.3% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 138 | 65 |
| Jon Lester L 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.99 | 15.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .272 | 5.26 | 14.5% | 6.5% | 141 | +0.27 | 2.69 | 1,144 | 62 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.98 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 3.4% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.66 | 166 | 62 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.03 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 3.1% | .260 | 4.12 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 56 | +0.09 | 3.99 | 405 | 62 |
| Brian Duensing L 2026 · 5.91 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.91 | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63 | 198 | 60 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2026 · 5.57 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.57 | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 237 | 59 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.57 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 395 | 59 |
| Marlon Arias L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 154 | 58 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.79 | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% | .337 | 4.94 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 119 | +0.15 | 4.49 | 408 | 58 |
| David Huff L 2026 · 6.27 FIP | 36 | SU | 6.27 | 14.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 158 | 56 |
| Chris Narveson L 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.63 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 249 | 42 |
| Wade LeBlanc L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.64 | 16.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 609 | 40 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 39 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.73 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 109 | 38 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.90 | 17.5% | 12.7% | 3.0% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 132 | 36 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.