Jeffrey Springs — OGILVIE

Jeffrey Springs P Athletics

Age 33 LHP 6'3" / 218 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION138 act + 12 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.49

FIP4.91

K%18.1%

BB%8.4%

K-BB%9.7%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 150 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.3

Whiff%

p3222.8%

p1917.7%

xwOBA vs

p290.337

SL+3.0 (28%)

FB+1.9 (43%)

CH (25%)

CT (3%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	2	0	3	11	6	1	0	0%	1.7	54.5%	9.1%	45.5%	0.0%	0.00	-0.35	—
2015	22	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	2	0	3	11	6	1	0	0%	1.7	54.5%	9.1%	45.5%	0.0%	0.00	0.40	—
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	9	80	331	92	29	10	29%	2.6	21.0%	10.1%	10.9%	3.2%	3.73	4.37	—
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	9	80	331	92	29	10	29%	2.6	27.8%	8.8%	19.0%	3.0%	3.73	3.51	—
2017	24	A+ MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	31	17	112	472	146	36	13	55%	3.6	23.8%	8.8%	15.0%	3.5%	3.69	4.10	—
2017	24	A+ RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	31	17	112	472	146	36	13	55%	3.6	30.9%	7.6%	23.3%	2.8%	3.69	2.97	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	51	2	89	376	129	32	6	4%	1.7	29.9%	8.9%	21.1%	1.6%	3.86	2.58	+2.1
2018	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	51	2	89	376	129	32	6	4%	1.7	34.3%	8.5%	25.8%	1.6%	3.86	2.15	+2.6
2019	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	2	41	187	47	23	5	6%	1.3	20.6%	14.8%	5.8%	2.5%	5.66	4.60	-0.0
2019	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	2	41	187	47	23	5	6%	1.3	25.1%	12.3%	12.8%	2.7%	5.66	4.07	+0.2
2020	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	16	0	20	99	28	6	5	0%	1.3	28.3%	6.1%	22.2%	5.2%	7.08	4.32	+0.1
2020	27	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	16	0	20	99	28	6	5	0%	1.3	28.3%	6.1%	22.2%	5.1%	7.08	4.43	+0.0
2021	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	43	0	45	179	63	13	9	0%	1.0	35.2%	7.3%	27.9%	5.2%	3.43	3.89	+0.4
2021	28	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	43	0	45	179	63	13	9	0%	1.0	35.2%	7.3%	27.9%	5.0%	3.43	3.77	+0.4
2022	29	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	33	25	135	549	144	31	14	76%	4.1	26.2%	5.6%	20.6%	2.6%	2.46	3.04	+3.1
2022	29	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	33	25	135	549	144	31	14	76%	4.1	26.2%	5.6%	20.6%	2.6%	2.46	3.00	+3.2
2023	30	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	3	3	16	55	24	4	1	100%	5.3	43.6%	7.3%	36.4%	1.9%	0.56	1.36	+0.8
2023	30	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	3	3	16	55	24	4	1	100%	5.3	43.6%	7.3%	36.4%	1.9%	0.56	1.36	+0.8
2023	30	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	3	3	16	55	24	4	1	100%	5.3	43.6%	7.3%	36.4%	1.8%	0.56	1.66	+0.7
2024	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	19	65	280	73	16	8	100%	3.4	23.4%	5.4%	18.0%	3.1%	3.88	3.50	+1.1
2024	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	19	65	280	73	16	8	100%	3.4	23.4%	5.4%	18.0%	3.1%	3.88	3.50	+1.1
2024	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	19	65	280	73	16	8	100%	3.4	26.1%	5.7%	20.4%	2.9%	3.88	3.19	+1.4
2025	32	MLB MLE	Athletics	32	30	171	713	138	54	28	94%	5.3	19.4%	7.6%	11.8%	4.0%	4.11	4.64	+0.5
2025	32	MLB MLE	Athletics	32	30	171	713	138	54	28	94%	5.3	19.4%	7.6%	11.8%	4.0%	4.11	4.64	+0.5
2025	32	MLB RAW	Athletics	32	30	171	713	138	54	28	94%	5.3	19.4%	7.6%	11.8%	3.9%	4.11	4.56	+0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			204	94	620	2627	602	209	103	46%	3.0	22.9%	8.0%	15.0%	3.9%	4.14	4.33	+1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	33	MLB MLE	Athletics	28	28	138	610	109	54	33	100%	4.9	17.7%	9.1%	8.6%	5.7%	5.87	5.89	-1.5
YTD	33	MLB MLE	Athletics	28	28	138	610	109	54	33	100%	4.9	17.7%	9.1%	8.6%	5.7%	5.87	5.89	-1.5
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	33	A RAW	OAK	1	1	3	16	4	0	0	100%	3.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	3.00	0.99	—
2026	33	MLB RAW	OAK	27	27	135	594	105	54	33	100%	5.0	17.7%	9.1%	8.6%	5.6%	5.93	5.81	-1.4
SO FAR	33	MLB RAW	OAK	27	27	135	594	105	54	33	100%	5.0	17.7%	9.1%	8.6%	5.6%	5.93	5.81	-1.4
ROS	33	MLB MLE	OAK	2	2	12	52	9	4	2	100%	6.2	18.1%	8.4%	9.7%	4.1%	4.49	4.91	-0.0
ROS	33	MLB CTX	OAK	2	2	12	51	9	4	2	100%	6.0	18.1%	8.4%	9.7%	4.1%	4.49	4.91	-0.0
2026 TOT	33	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	150	662	118	58	35	—	—	17.9%	8.8%	9.1%	5.3%	5.76	5.81	-1.5
FULL	33	MLB A+C	OAK	—	—	147	622	118	58	35	—	—	19.0%	9.4%	9.6%	5.6%	5.87	5.78	-1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	OAK	20	20	122	517	90	46	26	100%	6.1	17.3%	9.0%	8.4%	5.0%	5.61	5.90	-1.3
2028	35	MLB MLE	OAK	18	18	110	464	76	44	25	100%	6.1	16.4%	9.5%	6.9%	5.3%	5.98	6.23	-1.5
2027	34	MLB CTX	OAK	19	19	122	515	89	46	26	100%	6.4	17.3%	9.0%	8.4%	5.0%	5.61	5.90	-1.3
2028	35	MLB CTX	OAK	18	18	110	464	76	44	25	100%	6.1	16.4%	9.5%	6.9%	5.3%	5.98	6.23	-1.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		244	134	864	3661	777	304	156	55%	3.5	21.2%	8.3%	12.9%	4.3%	4.59	4.69	+2.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		56	31	200	847	180	70	36	55%	3.5	21.2%	8.3%	12.9%	4.3%	4.59	4.69	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		322	135	916	3862	910	316	140	42%	2.8	23.6%	8.2%	15.4%	3.6%	4.03	4.13	-2.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	29	200	844	199	69	30	42%	2.8	23.6%	8.2%	15.4%	3.6%	4.03	4.13	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeffrey Springs (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.81	19.3%	7.4%	3.7%	—	6.06	16.9%	7.7%	232	+1.25	—	—	—
Cesár Ramos L 2017 · 4.23 FIP	33	SW	4.23	16.7%	8.3%	2.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	225	58
Francisco Liriano L 2017 · 4.35 FIP	33	SW	4.35	19.4%	11.6%	2.6%	.322	4.74	19.5%	7.4%	204	+0.39	3.14	650	56
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	33	SP-	4.21	17.7%	8.2%	2.9%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	146	55
Wandy Rodriguez L 2015 · 3.83 FIP	36	SP-	3.83	19.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	101	55
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	54
Jaime García L 2018 · 4.88 FIP	32	SW	4.88	19.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	540	50
Wade LeBlanc L 2018 · 4.23 FIP	33	SP	4.23	19.6%	5.9%	3.7%	.271	5.12	16.4%	10.2%	227	+0.89	3.65	609	50
Edgar Osuna L 2019 · 5.09 FIP	31	SW	5.09	10.0%	7.2%	3.5%	.373	—	—	—	—	—	5.05	175	46
Jonathan Sánchez L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	36	SP	4.73	18.1%	8.3%	3.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	109	45
Eric Stults L 2015 · 4.27 FIP	35	SP	4.27	14.5%	5.9%	3.0%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	138	44
Chris Narveson L 2015 · 4.79 FIP	33	SW	4.79	23.6%	8.0%	4.9%	.333	4.59	14.1%	4.5%	193	-0.20	4.59	249	43
Wei-Yin Chen L 2018 · 4.29 FIP	33	SP	4.29	19.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.279	4.85	20.5%	15.3%	68	+0.56	3.68	549	43
Tsuyoshi Wada L 2015 · 3.66 FIP	34	SP	3.66	16.8%	7.1%	2.0%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	119	42
Roenis Elías L 2022 · 4.06 FIP	33	SW	4.06	17.4%	7.2%	2.8%	.316	6.66	17.4%	12.2%	21	+2.60	3.15	564	42
Orlando Lara L 2017 · 4.39 FIP	32	SP	4.39	14.7%	6.5%	3.1%	.346	4.09	22.0%	14.2%	104	-0.30	3.85	426	42
Luke Westphal L 2022 · 4.35 FIP	33	SW	4.35	24.2%	13.4%	2.9%	.302	5.24	15.2%	-1.2%	26	+0.89	2.97	294	42
David Huff L 2016 · 4.06 FIP	31	SW	4.06	19.5%	4.9%	3.6%	.384	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	158	42
John Lannan L 2016 · 4.83 FIP	31	SP-	4.83	8.2%	7.7%	2.6%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	284	40
Josh Outman L 2017 · 5.08 FIP	32	SP-	5.08	12.7%	10.7%	3.1%	.322	6.73	12.9%	-5.6%	34	+1.65	4.53	106	39
Jorge Castillo L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	33	SP	4.50	16.8%	9.2%	3.0%	.292	4.95	12.4%	7.2%	186	+0.45	4.50	408	39

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	122	17.8%	8.6%	1.79	5.27
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75