Jeffrey Springs P Athletics
+0.5 WAR
Age 33 LHP 6'3" / 218 lbs MLB peak 0.7 · 2027
ERA4.37
FIP4.77
xFIP3.86
SIERA3.83
K%20.6%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%13.1%
IP142
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2027
STUF5050
CTRL5555
CMD4545
K†4545
FB Velo
p1091.2
Whiff%
p6127.0%
K%
p5623.3%
xwOBA vs
p820.281
SL+3.0 (34%)
FB+1.9 (43%)
CH (20%)
CT (3%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201522AHickory Crawdads203116100.00
201623A+High Desert Mavericks3198033192291021.0%10.1%3.0%3.734.27+0.8
201724A+Down East Wood Ducks3117112472146361323.8%8.8%3.5%3.694.10+1.5
201825MLBTexas Rangers5128937612932629.9%8.9%1.6%3.862.55+2.7
201926MLBTexas Rangers332411874723520.6%14.8%2.5%5.664.63+0.2
202027MLBBoston Red Sox1602099286528.3%6.1%5.5%7.084.51+0.1
202128MLBTampa Bay Rays430451796313935.2%7.3%5.3%3.433.95+0.5
202229MLBTampa Bay Rays3325135549144311426.2%5.6%2.6%2.463.02+3.5
202330MLBTampa Bay Rays331655244143.6%7.3%1.7%0.561.28+0.7
202431MLBTampa Bay Rays1919652807316824.0%5.7%3.0%3.883.46+1.1
202532MLBAthletics3230171713138542819.4%7.6%4.2%4.114.71+1.1
▸ 2026 Season
202633MLBAthletics442591208022.0%8.8%0.0%1.462.36+0.7
ROS33MLBOAK18189741081321319.7%7.9%3.1%3.554.14+1.3
2026 Total33MLBOAK122501101401320.1%8.0%2.5%3.133.78+2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202734MLBOAK181810042079341418.9%8.0%3.3%4.414.70+0.7
202835MLBOAK15158134062281218.1%8.3%3.4%4.684.85+0.3
202936MLBOAK12126527453211019.4%7.7%3.5%4.724.75+0.2
203037MLBOAK52522184117818.6%8.0%3.6%4.844.92+0.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career298111802334382326910524.6%8.0%3.1%3.633.77+13.9
/ 200 IP7428200833205672624.6%8.0%3.1%3.633.77+3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jeffrey Springs (OGILVIE) 4.94 18.5%7.6%3.8% 4.76 18.8%10.7%245 -0.18
Arturo Lopez L 2026 · 5.12 FIP 33 SP- 5.12 11.5%7.9%3.6%.341 4.91 11.3%5.2%224 -0.21 4.33 445 64
Everett Teaford L 2024 · 4.43 FIP 31 SP- 4.43 13.9%7.6%2.8%.324 4.43 103 62
Jorge Castillo L 2026 · 4.49 FIP 33 SP- 4.49 16.8%9.2%3.0%.292 4.82 12.4%7.2%186 +0.33 4.49 408 61
Tomas Solis L 2026 · 4.90 FIP 33 SP- 4.90 12.4%8.5%3.2%.273 5.92 10.1%2.4%117 +1.02 4.17 327 61
Daniel Rodriguez L 2025 · 3.84 FIP 32 SP- 3.84 13.1%9.7%1.1%.335 4.77 20.8%13.0%112 +0.93 2.89 391 61
Cesár Ramos L 2026 · 4.24 FIP 33 SP- 4.24 16.7%8.3%2.7%.295 2.79 225 60
Jonathan Sánchez L 2029 · 4.73 FIP 36 SP- 4.73 18.1%8.3%3.8%.339 4.73 109 60
Wandy Rodriguez L 2029 · 3.85 FIP 36 SP- 3.85 19.4%8.5%2.4%.312 3.85 101 59
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2026 · 4.23 FIP 33 SP- 4.23 17.7%8.2%2.9%.266 3.69 146 58
Roy Merritt L 2024 · 3.92 FIP 31 SP- 3.92 16.2%5.8%2.6%.339 3.92 129 56
Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 6.01 FIP 33 SP- 6.01 15.7%7.3%6.0%.289 4.07 24.3%17.1%98 -1.94 3.45 512 55
Edgar Osuna L 2024 · 5.08 FIP 31 SP- 5.08 10.0%7.2%3.5%.373 5.04 175 55
Travis Blackley L 2026 · 3.85 FIP 33 SP- 3.85 11.6%10.7%0.7%.301 6.89 6.1%-3.6%27 +3.04 3.85 225 55
Orlando Lara L 2025 · 4.40 FIP 32 SP- 4.40 14.7%6.5%3.1%.346 4.07 22.0%14.2%104 -0.33 3.83 426 55
Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.31 FIP 33 SP- 4.31 19.4%11.6%2.5%.322 4.75 19.5%7.4%204 +0.44 3.00 650 52
Jaime García L 2025 · 4.94 FIP 32 SP- 4.94 19.8%11.4%3.8%.286 2.96 540 49
Eric Stults L 2028 · 4.27 FIP 35 SP 4.27 14.5%5.9%3.0%.266 4.27 138 49
Gio Gonzalez L 2026 · 3.83 FIP 33 SP- 3.83 21.7%9.6%2.5%.300 4.84 22.2%9.8%32 +1.01 2.84 864 47
John Lannan L 2024 · 4.85 FIP 31 SP 4.85 8.2%7.7%2.7%.317 3.81 284 45
James Russell L 2026 · 4.26 FIP 33 SP- 4.26 16.2%3.2%3.9%.287 2.65 233 45

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.