Jeffrey Springs
P
Athletics
Age 33
LHP
6'3" / 218 lbs
MLB
2026 ROS PROJECTION98 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111120vR 129
ERA4.68
FIP5.10
K%19.5%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 163 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.4
Whiff%
p3923.7%
K%
p3219.5%
xwOBA vs
p340.330
SL+3.0 (32%)
FB+1.9 (44%)
CH (23%)
CT (2%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 54.5% | 9.1% | 45.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.35 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 54.5% | 9.1% | 45.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.40 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 9 | 80 | 331 | 92 | 29 | 10 | 29% | 2.6 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 3.73 | 4.13 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 9 | 80 | 331 | 92 | 29 | 10 | 29% | 2.6 | 27.8% | 8.8% | 19.0% | 3.0% | 3.73 | 3.51 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | 31 | 17 | 112 | 472 | 146 | 36 | 13 | 55% | 3.6 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 3.5% | 3.69 | 4.11 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | 31 | 17 | 112 | 472 | 146 | 36 | 13 | 55% | 3.6 | 30.9% | 7.6% | 23.3% | 2.8% | 3.69 | 2.97 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 51 | 2 | 89 | 376 | 129 | 32 | 6 | 4% | 1.7 | 29.9% | 8.9% | 21.1% | 1.6% | 3.86 | 2.56 | +2.7 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 51 | 2 | 89 | 376 | 129 | 32 | 6 | 4% | 1.7 | 34.3% | 8.5% | 25.8% | 1.6% | 3.86 | 2.15 | +3.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 2 | 41 | 187 | 47 | 23 | 5 | 6% | 1.3 | 20.6% | 14.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 5.66 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 2 | 41 | 187 | 47 | 23 | 5 | 6% | 1.3 | 25.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 5.66 | 4.07 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 16 | 0 | 20 | 99 | 28 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.3% | 6.1% | 22.2% | 5.0% | 7.08 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 16 | 0 | 20 | 99 | 28 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.3% | 6.1% | 22.2% | 5.1% | 7.08 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 43 | 0 | 45 | 179 | 63 | 13 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.2% | 7.3% | 27.9% | 5.3% | 3.43 | 3.97 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 43 | 0 | 45 | 179 | 63 | 13 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.2% | 7.3% | 27.9% | 5.0% | 3.43 | 3.77 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 33 | 25 | 135 | 549 | 144 | 31 | 14 | 76% | 4.1 | 26.2% | 5.6% | 20.6% | 2.7% | 2.46 | 3.08 | +3.7 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 33 | 25 | 135 | 549 | 144 | 31 | 14 | 76% | 4.1 | 26.2% | 5.6% | 20.6% | 2.6% | 2.46 | 3.00 | +3.8 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 3 | 3 | 16 | 55 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.3 | 43.6% | 7.3% | 36.4% | 1.9% | 0.56 | 1.39 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 3 | 3 | 16 | 55 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.3 | 43.6% | 7.3% | 36.4% | 1.8% | 0.56 | 1.66 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 19 | 65 | 280 | 73 | 16 | 8 | 100% | 3.4 | 24.0% | 5.7% | 18.3% | 3.1% | 3.88 | 3.48 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 19 | 65 | 280 | 73 | 16 | 8 | 100% | 3.4 | 26.1% | 5.7% | 20.4% | 2.9% | 3.88 | 3.19 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Athletics | 32 | 30 | 171 | 713 | 138 | 54 | 28 | 94% | 5.3 | 19.4% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 4.11 | 4.68 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Athletics | 32 | 30 | 171 | 713 | 138 | 54 | 28 | 94% | 5.3 | 19.4% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 4.11 | 4.56 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Athletics | 19 | 19 | 98 | 430 | 84 | 37 | 26 | 100% | 5.1 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 6.08 | 5.86 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 65 | 275 | 54 | 22 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 4.68 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 53 | 22 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 4.68 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 33 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 163 | 705 | 138 | 59 | 39 | — | — | 19.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 5.52 | 5.56 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 33 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 163 | 687 | 138 | 59 | 39 | — | — | 20.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 5.52 | 5.63 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 117 | 0 | 122 | 517 | 96 | 44 | 26 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 5.51 | 5.80 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 105 | 0 | 110 | 464 | 82 | 42 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.88 | 6.13 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 116 | 0 | 122 | 515 | 96 | 44 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 5.51 | 5.80 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 105 | 0 | 110 | 464 | 82 | 42 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.88 | 6.13 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 430 | 99 | 880 | 3719 | 812 | 301 | 161 | 23% | 2.0 | 21.8% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 4.3% | 4.53 | 4.65 | +7.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 98 | 22 | 200 | 845 | 185 | 68 | 37 | 23% | 2.0 | 21.8% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 4.3% | 4.53 | 4.65 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 313 | 126 | 875 | 3682 | 887 | 298 | 131 | 40% | 2.8 | 24.1% | 8.1% | 16.0% | 3.5% | 3.97 | 4.04 | +14.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 29 | 200 | 841 | 203 | 68 | 30 | 40% | 2.8 | 24.1% | 8.1% | 16.0% | 3.5% | 3.97 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeffrey Springs (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.83 | 19.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | — | 5.96 | 18.1% | 9.3% | 232 | +1.13 | — | — | — |
| Cesár Ramos L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 54 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2029 · 3.84 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 101 | 53 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.82 | 15.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | .289 | 4.16 | 24.3% | 17.1% | 98 | -1.66 | 3.47 | 512 | 52 |
| Everett Teaford L 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 51 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.23 | 19.4% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .322 | 4.77 | 19.5% | 7.4% | 204 | +0.54 | 3.07 | 650 | 51 |
| Jaime García L 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.76 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 540 | 51 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.11 | 17.7% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 146 | 51 |
| Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 46 |
| Wade LeBlanc L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.28 | 19.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | .271 | 5.15 | 16.4% | 10.2% | 227 | +0.87 | 3.53 | 609 | 44 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2024 · 5.04 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.04 | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 175 | 44 |
| David Huff L 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.00 | 19.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | .384 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 158 | 43 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 42 |
| Eric Stults L 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 41 |
| Luke Westphal L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.18 | 24.2% | 13.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 5.42 | 16.1% | -3.1% | 26 | +1.24 | 2.97 | 294 | 41 |
| Roenis Elías L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.89 | 17.4% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .316 | 6.84 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 21 | +2.95 | 3.19 | 564 | 41 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 119 | 40 |
| Orlando Lara L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.45 | 14.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | .346 | 4.05 | 22.0% | 14.2% | 104 | -0.40 | 3.82 | 426 | 40 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 33 | SW | 5.76 | 25.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | .280 | 4.71 | 21.5% | 11.3% | 89 | -1.05 | 3.76 | 686 | 39 |
| Wei-Yin Chen L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.30 | 19.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | .279 | 4.87 | 20.5% | 15.3% | 68 | +0.57 | 3.68 | 549 | 38 |
| Craig Breslow L 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 38 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 122 | 18.6% | 8.3% | 1.82 | 5.22 |
| Dan Straily ('19) | 4 | 136 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 1.72 | 4.54 |
| James Shields ('18) | 4 | 176 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 1.71 | 4.81 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |
| Matt Cain ('17) | 3 | 91 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 1.51 | 5.58 |
| Homer Bailey ('19) | 4 | 96 | 18.5% | 7.8% | 1.34 | 5.56 |
| Ricky Nolasco ('17) | 3 | 139 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 1.38 | 4.85 |