Edwin Escobar
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 34
LHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION24 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.89
FIP5.01
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.4%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%8.8%
IP24
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p2192.4
Whiff%
p1720.6%
K%
p1014.7%
xwOBA vs
p100.383
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | 20 | 7 | 51 | 224 | 24 | 25 | 8 | 9.6% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 4.97 | 5.93 | -0.8 |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 44 | 19 | 122 | 542 | 82 | 46 | 12 | 13.7% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 4.59 | 4.20 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 31 | 0 | 46 | 206 | 47 | 32 | 7 | 20.1% | 16.3% | 3.2% | 4.86 | 5.24 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 24 | — | 24 | 103 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 20.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.89 | 5.01 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 22 | — | 22 | 92 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 19.7% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 5.09 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 95 | 26 | 219 | 972 | 137 | 108 | 27 | 14.1% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 4.73 | 4.82 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 24 | 200 | 889 | 125 | 99 | 25 | 14.1% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 4.73 | 4.82 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Edwin Escobar (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.01 | 20.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | — | 5.27 | 19.7% | 7.8% | 22 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 127 | 77 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.88 | 14.0% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 127 | 76 |
| Josh Outman L 2026 · 6.40 FIP | 34 | SU | 6.40 | 12.9% | 18.5% | 3.7% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.70 | 106 | 74 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.07 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 296 | 69 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.09 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 4.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 154 | 67 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.65 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.32 | 182 | 66 |
| Santiago Gutierrez L 2025 · 6.95 FIP | 33 | SU | 6.95 | 17.1% | 13.4% | 6.6% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 341 | 65 |
| Anthony Gose L 2026 · 6.20 FIP | 34 | SU | 6.20 | 21.3% | 14.3% | 5.6% | .286 | 5.71 | 19.8% | 2.1% | 19 | -0.49 | 3.88 | 192 | 64 |
| Paul Oseguera L 2024 · 5.58 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.58 | 5.6% | 12.5% | 2.5% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 162 | 62 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 181 | 61 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2025 · 6.22 FIP | 33 | SU | 6.22 | 8.7% | 13.0% | 4.0% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 395 | 61 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 61 |
| Boone Logan L 2025 · 5.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.55 | 24.1% | 12.1% | 5.4% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 113 | 61 |
| Gio Gonzalez L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.88 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 3.8% | .362 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 864 | 60 |
| J.P. Howell L 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.94 | 11.5% | 13.5% | 3.9% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 106 | 58 |
| Tomas Solis L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.86 | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | .322 | 7.02 | 8.9% | 1.4% | 57 | +1.16 | 4.35 | 327 | 58 |
| Jonathon Niese L 2024 · 5.56 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.56 | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.2% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 368 | 57 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.69 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | .269 | 2.57 | 24.9% | 15.9% | 60 | -2.12 | 2.18 | 195 | 57 |
| Blaine Hardy L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.38 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 4.7% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.76 | 417 | 55 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.85 | 16.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 424 | 53 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.