Andre Pallante
P
St. Louis Cardinals
+1.1
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 215 lbs
MLB
Svc 3.0 · Ctrl thru 2028
peak 1.1 · 2026
ERA4.70
FIP4.71
xFIP5.41
SIERA5.42
K%16.7%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%7.5%
IP154
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2026
K†4040
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p2922.4%
K%
p1013.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.363
SL (27%)
SI (20%)
CU (18%)
FB-3.2 (50%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 23 | 22 | 99 | 449 | 86 | 46 | 8 | 15.7% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 3.81 | 4.42 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 47 | 10 | 108 | 457 | 73 | 38 | 9 | 16.0% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 3.17 | 3.83 | +1.8 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 67 | 0 | 78 | 340 | 57 | 32 | 6 | 14.2% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 4.52 | 4.25 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 33 | 23 | 138 | 584 | 103 | 61 | 8 | 17.5% | 10.6% | 1.4% | 3.60 | 3.72 | +2.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 31 | 31 | 163 | 715 | 111 | 62 | 21 | 15.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 5.31 | 4.61 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 3 | 3 | 15 | 70 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 10.0% | 11.4% | 1.4% | 4.80 | 4.49 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | STL | 23 | 23 | 129 | 543 | 85 | 52 | 14 | 15.7% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 4.42 | 4.38 | +1.3 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | STL | — | — | 144 | 613 | 92 | 60 | 15 | 15.0% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 4.46 | 4.39 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | STL | 24 | 24 | 134 | 564 | 87 | 54 | 14 | 15.5% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 4.80 | 4.79 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | STL | 22 | 22 | 122 | 513 | 77 | 50 | 13 | 15.0% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 4.84 | 4.87 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | STL | 20 | 20 | 110 | 463 | 67 | 45 | 12 | 14.4% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.91 | 4.96 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | STL | 18 | 18 | 98 | 415 | 58 | 41 | 11 | 13.9% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 5.00 | 5.06 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | STL | 16 | 16 | 88 | 371 | 49 | 37 | 10 | 13.2% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 5.11 | 5.18 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | STL | 14 | 14 | 78 | 330 | 48 | 31 | 10 | 14.6% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 5.07 | 5.04 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | STL | 13 | 13 | 69 | 291 | 40 | 28 | 9 | 13.9% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 5.13 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | STL | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 34 | 25 | 8 | 13.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 5.25 | 5.33 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | STL | 53 | — | 53 | 222 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 12.3% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 5.39 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 204 | 89 | 600 | 2615 | 412 | 253 | 57 | 15.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 4.17 | 4.19 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 30 | 200 | 871 | 137 | 84 | 19 | 15.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 4.17 | 4.19 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andre Pallante (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 17.4% | 9.2% | 2.7% | — | 4.87 | 15.0% | 5.3% | 365 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Nate Long R 2028 · 4.69 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.69 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 2.7% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 151 | 56 |
| Greg Peavey R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.37 | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 147 | 56 |
| Kyle Drabek R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.93 | 12.8% | 9.6% | 1.2% | .271 | 4.17 | 11.3% | 0.7% | 69 | +0.24 | 3.93 | 206 | 56 |
| James Naile R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.80 | 11.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .329 | 3.67 | 17.2% | 11.1% | 136 | -1.13 | 3.39 | 709 | 55 |
| Brandon Sinnery R 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.75 | 11.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 154 | 55 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.79 | 14.6% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .277 | 4.94 | 14.9% | 5.0% | 55 | +1.15 | 3.79 | 254 | 55 |
| Juan Carlos Sulbaran R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.69 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 3.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 278 | 54 |
| Mario Gonzalez R 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.36 | 12.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.12 | 16.2% | 10.8% | 233 | -0.24 | 3.93 | 368 | 54 |
| Manuel Flores R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.00 | 13.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% | .317 | 3.58 | 14.4% | 9.2% | 263 | -0.42 | 3.48 | 515 | 54 |
| Sean Furney R 2023 · 4.32 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.32 | 9.6% | 10.1% | 1.4% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.32 | 141 | 53 |
| Jhoulys Chacín R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.85 | 15.2% | 8.8% | 1.7% | .278 | 3.79 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 517 | -0.06 | 3.68 | 887 | 53 |
| Scott Copeland R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.00 | 10.9% | 7.0% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.18 | 15.8% | 7.3% | 314 | +0.18 | 3.55 | 569 | 53 |
| Chris Tillman R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.14 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.94 | 16.2% | 5.9% | 316 | +0.80 | 4.04 | 489 | 53 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.64 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 1.3% | .286 | 4.84 | 17.9% | 10.4% | 249 | +1.20 | 3.64 | 605 | 52 |
| Toru Murata R 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.02 | 13.3% | 6.9% | 2.1% | .261 | 3.63 | 12.9% | 7.2% | 102 | -0.39 | 3.63 | 267 | 52 |
| Matt Benedict R 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.97 | 10.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 130 | 52 |
| Chase Anderson R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.07 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | .296 | 4.40 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 451 | +0.33 | 3.30 | 1,146 | 52 |
| Elih Villanueva R 2028 · 3.82 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.82 | 11.0% | 5.5% | 1.7% | .269 | 5.50 | 14.1% | 8.1% | 57 | +1.68 | 3.82 | 225 | 52 |
| Yovani Gallardo R 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.91 | 15.3% | 8.6% | 1.8% | .302 | 4.74 | 15.8% | 5.6% | 393 | +0.83 | 3.91 | 577 | 52 |
| Tom Koehler R 2028 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.43 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 2.9% | .279 | 4.50 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 287 | +0.07 | 4.37 | 474 | 52 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-1
MLB Debut 2022
Service 3.843 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2028
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $4M | +1.1 | $9M | +$5M |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $3M | +0.8 | $3M | +$0.5M |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $3M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $9M | $15M | +$5M | ||