Jackson Jobe
P
FCL Tigers
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
ROK
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 0.5 · 2027
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION4 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 108
ERA4.51
FIP4.73
K%23.0%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7896.5
Whiff%
p4624.7%
K%
p2117.9%
xwOBA vs
p250.341
SL+0.8 (31%)
SI (13%)
CU (8%)
FB-2.2 (44%)
CH-3.8 (17%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 77 | 333 | 81 | 30 | 14 | 100% | 3.7 | 18.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.84 | 5.16 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 77 | 333 | 81 | 30 | 14 | 100% | 3.7 | 24.3% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 4.2% | 3.84 | 4.52 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 16 | 16 | 64 | 258 | 84 | 6 | 9 | 100% | 4.0 | 24.7% | 3.1% | 21.7% | 5.8% | 2.81 | 4.60 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 16 | 16 | 64 | 258 | 84 | 6 | 9 | 100% | 4.0 | 32.6% | 2.3% | 30.2% | 3.5% | 2.81 | 2.58 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 23 | 21 | 96 | 391 | 98 | 46 | 4 | 91% | 4.2 | 21.9% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 0.9% | 2.26 | 3.52 | +2.0 |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 23 | 21 | 96 | 391 | 98 | 46 | 4 | 91% | 4.2 | 25.1% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 1.0% | 2.26 | 3.04 | +2.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 10 | 10 | 49 | 218 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 4.9 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.22 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 10 | 10 | 49 | 218 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 4.9 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.22 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.2 | — | — | — | — | 2.08 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | DET | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 63 | 32 | 9 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | DET | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 23.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | DET | — | — | 69 | 291 | 68 | 32 | 9 | — | — | 23.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.43 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | DET | — | — | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 23.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | DET | 22 | 22 | 129 | 545 | 134 | 57 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.44 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | DET | 24 | 24 | 141 | 595 | 151 | 61 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 25.3% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.34 | +1.7 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | DET | 23 | 23 | 139 | 586 | 147 | 60 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +1.7 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | DET | 22 | 22 | 135 | 569 | 142 | 58 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.9% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.45 | +1.5 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | DET | 21 | 21 | 129 | 543 | 132 | 57 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 4.54 | 4.61 | +1.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | DET | 20 | 20 | 121 | 510 | 121 | 55 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.82 | +0.8 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | DET | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 59 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | DET | 16 | 16 | 95 | 401 | 102 | 41 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 25.3% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.27 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | DET | 18 | 18 | 108 | 456 | 115 | 46 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +1.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | DET | 19 | 19 | 114 | 481 | 120 | 49 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.9% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 4.37 | +1.4 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | DET | 19 | 19 | 113 | 477 | 116 | 50 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 3.2% | 4.46 | 4.53 | +1.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | DET | 18 | 18 | 109 | 460 | 109 | 50 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.74 | +0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 112 | 110 | 650 | 2756 | 663 | 291 | 86 | 98% | 5.8 | 24.0% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.12 | +9.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 848 | 204 | 89 | 26 | 98% | 5.8 | 24.0% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 72 | 70 | 290 | 1217 | 254 | 125 | 40 | 97% | 4.0 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 3.13 | 4.44 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 48 | 200 | 838 | 175 | 86 | 27 | 97% | 4.0 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 3.13 | 4.44 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jackson Jobe (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 23.0% | 11.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.38 | 25.0% | 14.7% | 409 | -0.35 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 83 |
| Trent Palmer R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 80 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 77 |
| Cole Sands R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.57 | 23.3% | 11.5% | 1.8% | .269 | 3.64 | 25.1% | 17.3% | 216 | +0.07 | 2.28 | 473 | 76 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 75 |
| Emerson Hancock R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.65 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 3.7% | .288 | 4.28 | 18.7% | 10.9% | 389 | -0.37 | 3.21 | 630 | 75 |
| David Griffin R 2027 · 4.52 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.52 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 5.47 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.95 | 4.52 | 239 | 75 |
| Yoel Tejeda Jr. R 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.66 | 21.5% | 12.3% | 1.5% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 158 | 74 |
| Drew Rasmussen R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.62 | 24.6% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .312 | 3.26 | 22.7% | 16.2% | 237 | -0.36 | 1.21 | 621 | 74 |
| Burch Smith R 2029 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 74 |
| Angel Jimenez R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.95 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 194 | 73 |
| Luke Gabrysh R 2025 · 5.55 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.55 | 21.8% | 13.7% | 4.7% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 138 | 73 |
| Carson Seymour R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.11 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 2.5% | .292 | 4.64 | 19.9% | 9.2% | 315 | +0.53 | 3.28 | 538 | 73 |
| Corbin Martin R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.88 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 4.0% | .315 | 5.69 | 19.7% | 8.1% | 143 | +0.81 | 3.26 | 440 | 73 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.20 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 26.8% | 18.7% | 54 | -0.22 | 3.63 | 209 | 73 |
| Yariel Rodríguez R 2029 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.80 | 25.1% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .275 | 3.77 | 24.2% | 12.3% | 89 | -0.03 | 2.60 | 196 | 73 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 73 |
| Michael Forret R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.32 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 3.0% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 253 | 72 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 72 |
| Kyle Bradish R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.59 | 26.4% | 10.6% | 2.5% | .333 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 17.2% | 345 | -0.39 | 2.15 | 702 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 124 | 24.5% | 10.5% | 1.26 | 4.48 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Zack Godley ('20) | 6 | 94 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.13 | 4.86 |
| Jhoulys Chacín ('22) | 7 | 108 | 19.4% | 9.3% | 1.13 | 4.51 |
| Héctor Santiago ('21) | 6 | 99 | 20.3% | 10.5% | 1.56 | 4.48 |
| Vince Velasquez ('23) | 9 | 85 | 24.9% | 9.3% | 1.48 | 4.88 |
| Jimmy Nelson ('21) | 5 | 117 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 0.97 | 4.08 |