Peter Van Loon
P
Chesapeake Baysox
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 210 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.65
FIP4.65
K%22.2%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%11.7%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 6 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 33% | 2.2 | 22.3% | 0.0% | 22.3% | 2.3% | 3.46 | 2.47 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 6 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 33% | 2.2 | 30.2% | 0.0% | 30.2% | 1.9% | 3.46 | 1.64 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 24 | 14 | 89 | 374 | 97 | 32 | 7 | 58% | 3.7 | 20.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 3.25 | 3.87 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 24 | 14 | 89 | 374 | 97 | 32 | 7 | 58% | 3.7 | 25.9% | 8.6% | 17.4% | 1.9% | 3.25 | 3.02 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 18 | 11 | 54 | 241 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 61% | 3.0 | 23.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 4.2% | 6.04 | 4.76 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 18 | 11 | 54 | 241 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 61% | 3.0 | 29.0% | 9.5% | 19.5% | 5.0% | 6.04 | 4.68 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 15 | 59 | 251 | 76 | 24 | 4 | 94% | 3.7 | 25.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 1.2% | 3.19 | 3.14 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 15 | 59 | 251 | 76 | 24 | 4 | 94% | 3.7 | 30.3% | 9.6% | 20.7% | 1.6% | 3.19 | 2.63 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 1 | 54 | 238 | 61 | 24 | 6 | 3% | 1.6 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.30 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 1 | 54 | 238 | 61 | 24 | 6 | 3% | 1.6 | 25.6% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 2.5% | 4.64 | 3.62 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 66 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 64 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.70 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 60 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 58 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.38 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 188 | 91 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 97 | 43 | 269 | 1157 | 257 | 117 | 30 | 44% | 2.8 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 2.6% | 4.08 | 3.92 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 32 | 200 | 860 | 191 | 87 | 22 | 44% | 2.8 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 2.6% | 4.08 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Peter Van Loon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.75 | 22.2% | 11.5% | 133 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 85 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 83 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 80 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 79 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 79 |
| Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 79 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 77 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 77 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 76 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.79 | 16.6% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .251 | 4.85 | 16.0% | 6.7% | 234 | +1.06 | 3.76 | 399 | 76 |
| Noah Davis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.87 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .368 | 4.57 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 148 | +0.70 | 3.64 | 560 | 75 |
| Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 75 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 75 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.64 | 24.9% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .301 | 4.41 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 205 | -0.23 | 4.11 | 563 | 75 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .297 | 4.10 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | -0.05 | 3.33 | 556 | 75 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 75 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 75 |
| Nick Morreale R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.92 | 19.0% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .271 | 3.72 | 11.7% | -1.1% | 14 | -0.20 | 2.97 | 280 | 74 |
| Jose Pina R 2028 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 74 |
| Jordan Lyles R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.89 | 22.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .284 | 4.94 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 379 | +1.05 | 3.38 | 1,080 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 1.24 | 4.68 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |