Shane Greene
P
Round Rock Express
+0.1
WAR
Age 37
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
xFIP4.36
SIERA4.75
K%23.3%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.9%
IP18
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†5555
FB Velo
p3393.3
Whiff%
p2922.4%
K%
p4321.2%
xwOBA vs
p440.318
CT+1.0
FB-0.7
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 25 | 23 | 119 | 525 | 71 | 34 | 15 | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 5.99 | 4.54 | +1.0 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 53 | 6 | 71 | 301 | 76 | 22 | 4 | 23.0% | 8.2% | 1.2% | 5.05 | 2.84 | +1.8 |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 71 | 0 | 68 | 283 | 73 | 30 | 6 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 2.0% | 2.66 | 3.38 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 66 | 0 | 63 | 279 | 65 | 18 | 12 | 23.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.12 | 4.45 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 65 | 0 | 63 | 252 | 64 | 16 | 8 | 25.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.30 | 3.41 | +1.1 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 28 | 0 | 28 | 109 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 19.3% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 2.60 | 3.37 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 32 | 0 | 28 | 132 | 29 | 16 | 6 | 21.2% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 6.43 | 5.29 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 33 | MLB | New York Yankees | 29 | 0 | 37 | 176 | 41 | 20 | 4 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | 5.54 | 3.98 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 14 | 7 | 32 | 138 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 21.6% | 11.5% | 2.1% | 1.67 | 3.85 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 6 | 1 | 8 | 49 | 11 | 14 | 0 | — | — | — | 16.88 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | TEX | 18 | — | 18 | 77 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 22.8% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | TEX | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 22.0% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.58 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 389 | 37 | 517 | 2244 | 467 | 199 | 60 | 20.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.58 | 3.93 | +8.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 150 | 14 | 200 | 868 | 181 | 77 | 23 | 20.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.58 | 3.93 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Shane Greene (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 22.8% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.58 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 20 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.87 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .289 | 4.16 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.29 | 3.50 | 219 | 82 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 80 |
| Jean Machi R 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 75 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.47 | 23.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.43 | 240 | 75 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 75 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 138 | 74 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.83 | 26.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 249 | 73 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2025 · 3.46 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.46 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .298 | 5.44 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.98 | 3.21 | 225 | 73 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 72 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.51 | 21.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% | .241 | 4.33 | 15.4% | 9.2% | 34 | +0.82 | 2.49 | 174 | 72 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 72 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 70 |
| Jason Motte R 2024 · 5.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.24 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 113 | 69 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2024 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.50 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 140 | 68 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.30 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 326 | 68 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.52 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 2.2% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 144 | 65 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.18 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 65 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.61 | 17.7% | 7.9% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.02 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 88 | +0.41 | 3.11 | 174 | 65 |
| Joe Blanton R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.01 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 240 | 65 |
| Logan Duran R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.65 | 15.5% | 8.9% | 1.3% | .427 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 187 | 63 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.