Clarke Schmidt — OGILVIE

Clarke Schmidt P New York Yankees

+0.3 WAR

INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)

Age 30 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs MLB Svc 4.0 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 1.0 · 2028

ERA3.99

FIP4.08

xFIP4.44

SIERA4.37

K%23.7%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%14.9%

IP86

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.0peak

2028

K†5560

FB Velo

p4794.3

Whiff%

p5826.6%

p5523.1%

xwOBA vs

p900.272

SL+8.3 (25%)

CT+4.9 (43%)

SI (8%)

CU (18%)

FB-4.2 (13%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2018	22	ROK	GCL Yankees East	6	5	15	59	20	4	1	23.1%	8.5%	2.4%	4.20	3.53	+0.2
2019	23	AA	Trenton Thunder	19	18	91	375	102	28	4	20.0%	8.4%	1.1%	3.47	3.09	+2.2
2020	24	MLB	New York Yankees	3	1	6	33	7	5	0	—	—	—	7.11	—	—
2021	25	MLB	New York Yankees	12	10	44	196	52	17	7	25.4%	7.6%	3.5%	2.84	3.83	+0.6
2022	26	MLB	New York Yankees	37	11	91	375	102	29	6	25.7%	7.9%	1.6%	3.18	2.78	+2.5
2023	27	MLB	New York Yankees	33	32	159	694	149	46	24	21.5%	6.6%	3.1%	4.64	3.85	+2.6
2024	28	MLB	New York Yankees	19	19	97	396	111	32	10	26.3%	8.5%	2.2%	2.89	3.16	+2.3
2025	29	MLB	New York Yankees	16	16	86	343	84	31	9	23.1%	9.5%	2.6%	3.03	3.80	+1.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	NYY	26	—	26	109	26	10	3	24.0%	8.8%	2.7%	3.96	4.07	+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	31	MLB	NYY	15	15	83	350	82	31	10	23.4%	8.9%	2.8%	4.09	4.17	+0.9
2028	32	MLB	NYY	14	14	80	337	83	28	10	24.8%	8.2%	2.9%	4.05	4.02	+1.0
2029	33	MLB	NYY	14	14	76	321	77	27	10	24.1%	8.4%	3.0%	4.11	4.15	+0.8
2030	34	MLB	NYY	13	13	72	305	71	26	9	23.4%	8.6%	3.1%	4.22	4.29	+0.6
2031	35	MLB	NYY	12	12	68	288	65	25	9	22.7%	8.8%	3.2%	4.35	4.44	+0.4
2032	36	MLB	NYY	12	12	64	269	59	24	9	21.9%	9.1%	3.3%	4.50	4.60	+0.3
2033	37	MLB	NYY	59	—	59	250	53	23	9	21.1%	9.3%	3.4%	4.66	4.77	+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			145	112	589	2471	575	198	58	23.2%	8.0%	2.3%	3.59	3.44	+12.4
/ 200 IP	—			49	38	200	840	195	67	20	23.2%	8.0%	2.3%	3.59	3.44	+4.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Clarke Schmidt (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.07	24.0%	8.8%	2.7%	—	4.11	24.1%	15.6%	239	+0.04	—	—	—
Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.73 FIP	31	SW	3.73	24.5%	8.2%	3.0%	.325	3.80	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.07	3.65	137	61
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.38 FIP	31	SW	3.38	26.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.241	3.98	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.60	3.38	212	61
Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.17 FIP	30	SU	3.17	22.8%	6.1%	2.2%	.279	3.79	21.2%	11.5%	181	+0.62	3.17	272	60
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP	30	SW	4.06	24.4%	11.8%	2.8%	.301	3.94	24.1%	15.2%	140	-0.12	1.69	468	60
Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.33 FIP	32	SW	3.33	23.7%	7.2%	2.4%	.342	4.98	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.65	3.33	122	60
Joakim Soria R 2027 · 3.48 FIP	31	SW	3.48	23.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.57	2.00	380	60
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2027 · 3.11 FIP	31	SW	3.11	22.5%	9.7%	1.2%	.298	5.81	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.70	3.11	148	59
Ryan Cook R 2027 · 3.85 FIP	31	SW	3.85	25.1%	10.8%	2.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	102	59
Pedro Báez R 2026 · 2.89 FIP	30	SW	2.89	26.2%	8.9%	1.6%	.280	3.33	23.7%	15.4%	87	+0.44	2.29	332	59
Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP	31	SW	3.46	20.7%	9.1%	1.7%	.241	5.68	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.22	3.46	160	59
Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.18 FIP	30	SU	3.18	24.4%	10.2%	1.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	186	59
Gregory Infante R 2026 · 2.97 FIP	30	SW	2.97	22.8%	8.2%	1.4%	.251	4.16	22.0%	17.4%	50	+1.19	2.97	230	59
Matt Bush R 2026 · 2.88 FIP	30	SW	2.88	24.7%	6.0%	2.0%	.232	3.96	22.2%	12.7%	75	+1.08	2.88	249	59
Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.79 FIP	30	SW	3.79	24.5%	10.6%	2.6%	.307	3.35	25.3%	16.0%	74	-0.44	2.91	210	58
Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 2.93 FIP	30	SU	2.93	27.1%	6.6%	2.3%	.292	4.62	22.6%	14.0%	137	+1.69	2.93	176	58
David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.62 FIP	30	SU	4.62	22.9%	7.6%	4.5%	.287	3.18	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.44	2.56	268	58
Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.26 FIP	33	SU	4.26	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.44	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.82	1.94	112	58
Tony Barnette R 2028 · 3.05 FIP	32	SW	3.05	19.9%	6.1%	1.6%	.281	3.28	23.4%	17.0%	84	+0.23	2.56	144	58
Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.56 FIP	30	SW	3.56	23.3%	8.5%	2.5%	.288	4.73	20.6%	9.9%	86	+1.17	2.72	392	58
Jose De La Torre R 2026 · 3.08 FIP	30	SU	3.08	22.0%	8.0%	1.5%	.248	2.59	20.5%	14.7%	19	-0.49	2.59	130	58

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2020

Service 4.860 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$4M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$0.0M