Zach McAllister — OGILVIE

Zach McAllister P Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 38 RHP 6'6" / 240 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.27

FIP4.29

K%23.7%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%14.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5895.1

Whiff%

p2621.9%

p3319.7%

xwOBA vs

p220.345

CT-1.1

FB-3.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	61	1	69	299	84	19	7	2%	1.1	28.1%	6.4%	21.7%	2.3%	3.00	2.82	+1.4
2015	27	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	61	1	69	299	84	19	7	2%	1.1	28.1%	6.4%	21.7%	2.3%	3.00	2.81	+1.4
2016	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	57	2	56	249	57	21	6	4%	1.0	23.2%	9.0%	14.2%	2.6%	3.36	3.70	+0.6
2016	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	57	2	56	249	57	21	6	4%	1.0	22.9%	8.4%	14.5%	2.4%	3.36	3.58	+0.6
2017	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	50	0	62	249	66	21	8	0%	1.2	26.5%	8.4%	18.1%	3.2%	2.61	3.70	+0.6
2017	29	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	50	0	62	249	66	21	8	0%	1.2	26.5%	8.4%	18.1%	3.2%	2.61	3.66	+0.7
2018	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	51	226	48	11	8	0%	1.0	19.6%	4.5%	15.1%	4.2%	6.53	4.32	+0.1
2018	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	51	226	48	11	8	0%	1.0	21.2%	4.9%	16.4%	3.5%	6.53	3.90	+0.4
2019	31	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	9	0	12	60	19	3	5	0%	1.4	27.9%	5.3%	22.6%	8.5%	8.03	6.10	—
2019	31	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	9	0	12	60	19	3	5	0%	1.4	31.7%	5.0%	26.7%	8.3%	8.03	6.02	—
2021	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	2	11	54	10	5	2	18%	1.0	18.5%	9.3%	9.3%	3.7%	4.22	4.74	—
2021	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	2	11	54	10	5	2	18%	1.0	18.5%	9.3%	9.3%	3.7%	4.22	5.07	—
2022	34	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	56	0	68	300	90	27	7	0%	1.2	26.4%	9.4%	17.0%	2.4%	3.99	3.41	—
2022	34	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	56	0	68	300	90	27	7	0%	1.2	30.0%	9.0%	21.0%	2.3%	3.99	2.98	—
2023	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	3	60	267	79	26	8	5%	1.1	25.8%	9.1%	16.7%	2.7%	4.48	3.57	+0.7
2023	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	3	60	267	79	26	8	5%	1.1	25.8%	9.1%	16.7%	2.7%	4.48	3.57	+0.7
2023	35	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	3	60	267	79	26	8	5%	1.1	29.6%	9.7%	19.9%	3.0%	4.48	3.50	+0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			215	3	234	1009	248	72	31	1%	1.1	24.6%	7.1%	17.4%	3.1%	3.77	3.63	+2.6
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	38	MLB	NYY	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	23.7%	9.1%	14.6%	3.0%	4.27	4.29	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	39	MLB MLE	NYY	47	0	50	209	47	20	7	0%	1.1	22.5%	9.8%	12.8%	3.5%	4.54	4.73	-0.1
2028	40	MLB MLE	NYY	41	0	43	180	39	19	7	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.5%	10.9%	3.9%	4.91	5.16	-0.3
2027	39	MLB CTX	NYY	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.5%	9.8%	12.8%	3.5%	4.54	4.73	—
2028	40	MLB CTX	NYY	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.4%	10.5%	10.9%	3.9%	4.91	5.16	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		215	3	234	1009	248	72	31	1%	1.1	24.6%	7.1%	17.4%	3.1%	3.77	3.61	+2.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		184	3	200	864	212	62	27	1%	1.1	24.6%	7.1%	17.4%	3.1%	3.77	3.61	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		348	8	389	1704	427	133	53	2%	1.1	25.0%	7.8%	17.2%	3.1%	4.05	3.67	+2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		179	4	200	875	219	69	27	2%	1.1	25.0%	7.8%	17.2%	3.1%	4.05	3.67	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach McAllister (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	23.7%	9.1%	3.0%	—	4.93	22.0%	11.9%	92	+0.64	—	—	—
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	84
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	81
Ryan Madson R 2018 · 3.49 FIP	37	SU	3.49	23.4%	6.1%	2.9%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	1.42	240	73
Juan Sandoval R 2019 · 5.41 FIP	38	SU	5.41	15.9%	7.2%	5.0%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	225	69
Peter Moylan R 2017 · 3.63 FIP	38	SU	3.63	18.9%	9.1%	1.8%	.211	4.77	17.8%	6.2%	28	+1.14	3.11	174	68
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	67
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	65
Ervin Santana R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	38	SU	4.40	18.8%	7.6%	3.5%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	720	64
Ronald Belisario R 2019 · 4.16 FIP	36	SU	4.16	12.7%	3.9%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.10	126	61
Joe Blanton R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	36	SU	4.94	20.0%	5.6%	5.1%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	240	58
Matt Belisle R 2018 · 4.60 FIP	38	SU	4.60	15.4%	6.2%	3.7%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	174	58
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	57
Chien-Ming Wang R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	36	SU	4.53	13.0%	7.8%	2.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.23	183	56
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	55
Santiago Casilla R 2018 · 4.14 FIP	38	SU	4.14	16.8%	15.2%	1.0%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	54
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2020 · 5.02 FIP	36	SU	5.02	17.5%	12.7%	3.3%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	132	54
Tony Pena Jr. R 2017 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	10.9%	4.3%	1.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	128	49
Daniel Bard R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	38	SU	4.95	20.3%	19.8%	1.9%	.224	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	200	49
Brad Ziegler R 2018 · 4.03 FIP	38	SU	4.03	16.4%	6.2%	2.8%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	2.63	257	43
Neal Cotts L 2017 · 3.21 FIP	37	SU	3.21	25.5%	8.0%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	156	38

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	50	22.6%	9.7%	1.33	4.54
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63