Patrick Sandoval
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 29
LHP
6'3" / 190 lbs
AAA
Svc 5.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 1.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98108vR 117
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%21.6%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%11.7%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 93 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3893.7
Whiff%
p5826.5%
K%
p5422.9%
xwOBA vs
p390.325
CH+2.9 (28%)
SL+0.9 (29%)
SI (17%)
CU (9%)
FB-9.6 (33%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Astros | 6 | 6 | 13 | 67 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 2.2 | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 6.07 | 4.25 | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Astros | 6 | 6 | 13 | 67 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 2.2 | 16.4% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 1.5% | 6.07 | 3.33 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | 13 | 8 | 53 | 229 | 51 | 25 | 4 | 62% | 4.1 | 15.1% | 13.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.30 | 4.89 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | 13 | 8 | 53 | 229 | 51 | 25 | 4 | 62% | 4.1 | 22.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 1.7% | 5.30 | 3.57 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 7 | 43 | 190 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 70% | 4.3 | 20.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 0.6% | 4.22 | 3.06 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 7 | 43 | 190 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 70% | 4.3 | 26.3% | 8.9% | 17.4% | 0.5% | 4.22 | 2.26 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 20 | 122 | 482 | 145 | 29 | 5 | 77% | 4.7 | 22.9% | 6.9% | 16.0% | 1.4% | 2.06 | 2.81 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 20 | 122 | 482 | 145 | 29 | 5 | 77% | 4.7 | 30.1% | 6.0% | 24.1% | 1.0% | 2.06 | 1.97 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 28 | 120 | 554 | 140 | 61 | 14 | 93% | 4.0 | 22.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 5.49 | 4.04 | +1.9 |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 28 | 120 | 554 | 140 | 61 | 14 | 93% | 4.0 | 25.3% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 2.5% | 5.49 | 3.81 | +2.2 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 9 | 6 | 37 | 159 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 67% | 4.1 | 20.8% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 5.65 | 5.88 | -0.6 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 9 | 6 | 37 | 159 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 67% | 4.1 | 20.8% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 5.65 | 5.83 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 17 | 14 | 87 | 363 | 94 | 36 | 11 | 82% | 5.1 | 25.9% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 3.1% | 3.62 | 3.89 | +1.3 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 17 | 14 | 87 | 363 | 94 | 36 | 11 | 82% | 5.1 | 25.9% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 3.62 | 3.82 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 27 | 27 | 149 | 638 | 151 | 60 | 8 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 1.3% | 2.91 | 3.01 | +4.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 27 | 27 | 149 | 638 | 151 | 60 | 8 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 1.3% | 2.91 | 2.98 | +4.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 28 | 28 | 145 | 652 | 128 | 72 | 12 | 100% | 5.2 | 19.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 1.9% | 4.11 | 3.89 | +2.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 28 | 28 | 145 | 652 | 128 | 72 | 12 | 100% | 5.2 | 19.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 1.8% | 4.11 | 3.90 | +2.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 16 | 16 | 80 | 353 | 81 | 33 | 8 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 2.3% | 5.08 | 3.64 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 16 | 16 | 80 | 353 | 81 | 33 | 8 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 2.3% | 5.08 | 3.61 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 9 | 9 | 28 | 121 | 27 | 14 | 2 | 100% | 3.1 | 12.9% | 15.4% | -2.5% | 1.5% | 3.21 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 59 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 2.6% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 59 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 93 | 395 | 86 | 41 | 9 | — | — | 21.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 2.3% | 3.99 | 4.45 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 69 | 292 | 86 | 41 | 9 | — | — | 29.5% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 5.36 | 4.10 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 15 | 15 | 88 | 373 | 78 | 38 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.53 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 14 | 14 | 82 | 348 | 70 | 37 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.76 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 15 | 15 | 88 | 372 | 78 | 38 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.54 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 14 | 14 | 82 | 346 | 70 | 37 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.77 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 153 | 146 | 776 | 3348 | 742 | 335 | 83 | 95% | 5.1 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 4.15 | 3.86 | +14.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 38 | 200 | 863 | 191 | 86 | 21 | 95% | 5.1 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 4.15 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 191 | 169 | 875 | 3808 | 820 | 385 | 82 | 88% | 4.6 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 2.1% | 3.99 | 3.74 | +17.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 39 | 200 | 870 | 187 | 88 | 19 | 88% | 4.6 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 2.1% | 3.99 | 3.74 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Patrick Sandoval (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 21.6% | 10.0% | 2.6% | — | 4.64 | 20.6% | 10.1% | 171 | +0.32 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Bollinger L 2024 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.53 | 17.1% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 112 | 63 |
| Alejandro Astorga L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.78 | 15.0% | 9.1% | 1.5% | .290 | 4.17 | 14.4% | 6.2% | 116 | +0.39 | 3.78 | 311 | 62 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.98 | 22.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 122 | 62 |
| Marlon Arias L 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.14 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.25 | 3.89 | 154 | 62 |
| Brandon Mann L 2029 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 4.14 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.59 | 3.60 | 190 | 62 |
| Orlando Lara L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.00 | 15.2% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .348 | 4.09 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 230 | +0.09 | 3.82 | 426 | 62 |
| Nico Tellache L 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.65 | 13.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 160 | 61 |
| Everett Teaford L 2028 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 61 |
| Tomas Solis L 2029 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.35 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .264 | 5.50 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +1.15 | 4.35 | 327 | 61 |
| Danny Duffy L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.59 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .301 | 4.33 | 22.6% | 14.1% | 248 | -0.26 | 3.29 | 915 | 60 |
| Carlos Teller L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.14 | 14.3% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .297 | 4.77 | 12.6% | 1.1% | 148 | -0.37 | 3.72 | 333 | 60 |
| Yusei Kikuchi L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.25 | 24.2% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .306 | 4.45 | 25.7% | 16.5% | 425 | +1.20 | 3.25 | 1,019 | 60 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.47 | 18.7% | 10.2% | 1.2% | .345 | 4.78 | 15.6% | 6.1% | 89 | +1.31 | 3.42 | 383 | 60 |
| James Gillheeney L 2024 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.80 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 129 | 60 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2029 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | .301 | 4.61 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.10 | 4.24 | 445 | 60 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.16 | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .367 | 4.34 | 14.6% | 9.1% | 128 | +0.18 | 3.97 | 280 | 59 |
| Kramer Sneed L 2024 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.29 | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.3% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 116 | 58 |
| John Gast L 2023 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.80 | 14.1% | 7.9% | 1.6% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 122 | 58 |
| Jo-Jo Reyes L 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.53 | 14.9% | 6.4% | 1.6% | .326 | 3.42 | 16.3% | 10.7% | 90 | -0.11 | 3.06 | 240 | 58 |
| Darin Gorski L 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.39 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 206 | 58 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 88 | 21.0% | 10.3% | 1.07 | 4.46 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Kyle Wright ('23) | 3 | 83 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 1.12 | 3.97 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Tyler Skaggs ('19) | 4 | 85 | 22.9% | 8.2% | 1.09 | 4.24 |