Patrick Sandoval
P
Worcester Red Sox
+0.3
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 29
LHP
6'3" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.9 · 2027
ERA4.31
FIP4.21
xFIP4.04
SIERA4.26
K%22.1%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%12.4%
IP94
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2027
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD4545
K†5050
FB Velo
p3893.7
Whiff%
p5826.5%
K%
p5422.9%
xwOBA vs
p390.325
CH+2.9 (28%)
SL+0.9 (29%)
SI (17%)
CU (9%)
FB-9.6 (33%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Astros | 6 | 6 | 13 | 67 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 11.2% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 6.07 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | 13 | 8 | 53 | 229 | 51 | 25 | 4 | 15.1% | 13.6% | 2.4% | 5.30 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ | Buies Creek Astros | 10 | 7 | 43 | 190 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 20.1% | 10.7% | 0.6% | 4.22 | 3.10 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 21 | AA | Mobile BayBears | 26 | 20 | 122 | 482 | 145 | 29 | 5 | 22.9% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 2.06 | 2.79 | +3.5 |
| 2019 | 22 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 30 | 28 | 120 | 554 | 140 | 61 | 14 | 22.7% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 5.49 | 4.06 | +1.7 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 9 | 6 | 37 | 159 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 20.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.65 | 5.27 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 17 | 14 | 87 | 363 | 94 | 36 | 11 | 25.9% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 3.62 | 3.76 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 27 | 27 | 149 | 638 | 151 | 60 | 8 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 1.1% | 2.91 | 2.92 | +4.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 28 | 28 | 145 | 652 | 128 | 72 | 12 | 19.6% | 11.0% | 1.7% | 4.11 | 3.80 | +2.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 16 | 16 | 80 | 353 | 81 | 33 | 8 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 2.3% | 5.08 | 3.60 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 2 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 8.44 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | BOS | 28 | — | 28 | 119 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 4.30 | 4.26 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 34 | 152 | 30 | 19 | 3 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 2.0% | 4.96 | 3.58 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 17 | 17 | 91 | 385 | 81 | 38 | 10 | 21.2% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.35 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 16 | 16 | 88 | 372 | 76 | 37 | 10 | 20.6% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 4.41 | 4.46 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 15 | 15 | 84 | 357 | 71 | 36 | 10 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 4.51 | 4.57 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 15 | 15 | 81 | 341 | 66 | 35 | 10 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.70 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 14 | 14 | 77 | 324 | 67 | 31 | 9 | 20.6% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.57 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | BOS | 13 | 13 | 72 | 305 | 61 | 30 | 9 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.72 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | BOS | 12 | 12 | 68 | 285 | 54 | 29 | 9 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 4.88 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 184 | 162 | 853 | 3720 | 808 | 373 | 75 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.0% | 4.04 | 3.64 | +16.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 38 | 200 | 873 | 190 | 87 | 18 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.0% | 4.04 | 3.64 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Patrick Sandoval (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.26 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 2.5% | — | 4.46 | 20.6% | 10.6% | 264 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.72 | 18.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .329 | 3.96 | 22.1% | 15.6% | 150 | -0.76 | 1.36 | 350 | 69 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.66 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | .342 | 2.89 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.77 | 2.89 | 101 | 68 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.43 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .300 | 3.46 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -0.97 | 2.83 | 223 | 67 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.42 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.24 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.18 | 3.24 | 163 | 67 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.62 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .318 | 6.63 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +3.01 | 2.70 | 230 | 67 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.47 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.55 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.08 | 2.37 | 130 | 67 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.64 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.27 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.37 | 1.32 | 182 | 66 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.51 | 3.70 | 110 | 66 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 66 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.63 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.3% | .359 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.20 | 3.62 | 113 | 66 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.07 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.37 | 2.50 | 190 | 66 |
| Colt Hynes L 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.42 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.68 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.26 | 3.42 | 152 | 66 |
| Scott Alexander L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.29 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 1.4% | .290 | 4.54 | 13.3% | 5.0% | 45 | +1.25 | 2.82 | 414 | 65 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 65 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 65 |
| Yusei Kikuchi L 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.17 | 24.2% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .306 | 4.43 | 25.7% | 16.5% | 425 | +1.26 | 3.17 | 1,006 | 64 |
| Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.95 | 24.4% | 11.1% | 2.7% | .269 | 4.54 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 108 | +0.59 | 3.79 | 470 | 64 |
| Brandon Mann L 2029 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 64 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2025 · 3.35 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.35 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.5% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 64 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.23 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.7% | .241 | 3.08 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.15 | 2.32 | 455 | 64 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.